Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA)Technology | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Santa Clara, United States | NasdaqGS
70.63 USD
-0.53
(-0.745%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 70.93 +0.30 (0.429%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT
Ambarella presents a classic 'story-driven' trade where the narrative of a potential acquisition by NXP is driving the price to $73.73, yet the underlying business remains fundamentally broken. The company is currently unprofitable with negative operating margins and a forward P/E of 64x, indicating that the market is pricing in a complete turnaround that has not yet materialized in earnings. While the recent 49% annual price recovery shows resilience, the lack of consecutive positive years and persistent losses prevent a long-term buy rating; the business quality is not yet unambiguous enough to ignore the valuation risks. However, the options market is screaming for a catalyst, with heavy positioning at $90 and $125 suggesting traders expect the rumor mill to explode into reality soon. This creates a high-risk, high-reward setup suitable for a tactical swing play based on the M&A catalyst, but investors should avoid treating this as a core holding until profitability is restored. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.086797 |
| AutoETS | 0.098370 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.099054 |
| AutoTheta | 0.100526 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 1.17 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.257 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.52 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 2.191 |
| Revenue per Share | 9.412 |
| Market Cap | 3,098,409,728 |
| Forward P/E | 61.56 |
| Beta | 2.12 |
| Profit Margins | -17.18% |
| Website | https://www.ambarella.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile breakout above $90, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $90 and $125 in calls, alongside significant volume spikes at strikes far out-of-the-money. Conversely, put buyers are heavily concentrated near the money ($72-$80) and deep out-of-the-money ($30-$55), creating a 'straddle' bias that anticipates a sharp move in either direction rather than a steady grind. The implied volatility skew suggests fear of a gap-up event driven by the rumored acquisition talks.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.117896855 |
| Address1 | 3,001 Tasman Drive |
| All Time High | 227.59 |
| All Time Low | 5.55 |
| Ask | 71.14 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 979,430 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,681,058 |
| Average Volume | 1,681,058 |
| Average Volume10Days | 979,430 |
| Beta | 2.119 |
| Bid | 71.24 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 13.812 |
| City | Santa Clara |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 70.63 |
| Current Ratio | 2.427 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 71.72 |
| Day Low | 68.25 |
| Debt To Equity | 2.191 |
| Display Name | Ambarella |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,788,465,600 |
| Ebitda | -62,774,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.15493 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -45.144 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 6.994 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,833,880,832 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.79024 |
| Eps Forward | 1.14729 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.6 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 408 734 0788 |
| Fifty Day Average | 74.06 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.4300003 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.046313804 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -11.789685 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 96.69 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -26.060005 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2695212 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 48.3 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 22.329998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.4623188 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 48.3 - 96.69 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,349,875,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 41,861,216 |
| Forward Eps | 1.14729 |
| Forward P E | 61.56246 |
| Free Cashflow | 47,412,876 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 959 |
| Fullday Change | -0.530006 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.744809 |
| Fullday Price | 70.9329 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.58817 |
| Gross Profits | 238,319,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.04452 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.86999 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 43,868,185 |
| Industry | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials |
| Industry Disp | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials |
| Industry Key | semiconductor-equipment-materials |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,817,600 |
| Long Business Summary | Ambarella, Inc. develops low-power system-on-a-chip, semiconductors, and software for edge and physical artificial intelligence, applications, and intelligent automation. The company's system-on-a-chip (SOC) integrates third generation CVflow technology with advanced video processing, image signal processing, audio processing, and system control functions on a single chip. It also offers central domain controllers, CVflow SoCs, AI neural processors, vision processor SoCs, high-definition radars, and serializer/deserializers, as well as licenses software modules. The company's solutions are used in automotive video recorders, electronic mirrors, front advanced driver assistance system camera, AI Telematics Systems, and cabin monitoring system and driver monitoring system cameras in automotive field; central domain controllers for autonomous vehicles in autonomy; enterprise and public class, and home security cameras in the field of IoT; and enterprise, home, public spaces, and consumer applications, as well as for video conferencing, access control, healthcare, medical, and virtual reality applications. It sells its solutions to original design manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, automotive market, and Tier-1 suppliers through its direct sales force and distributors. The company operates in Taiwan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and rest of North America. Ambarella, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. |
| Long Name | Ambarella, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,098,409,728 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_22816801 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,507,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -69,630,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,801,353,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,121,660,044 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 11 |
| Open | 70.76 |
| Operating Cashflow | 33,092,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.19347 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.28 |
| Phone | 408 734 8888 |
| Post Market Change | 0.30290222 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.42885774 |
| Post Market Price | 70.9329 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,473 |
| Previous Close | 71.16 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 89.37791 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.113669 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 7.6468635 |
| Profit Margins | -0.17185 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.899 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.14286 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.530006 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.744809 |
| Regular Market Day High | 71.72 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 68.25 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 68.25 - 71.72 |
| Regular Market Open | 70.76 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 71.16 |
| Regular Market Price | 70.63 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,328,477 |
| Return On Assets | -0.063540004 |
| Return On Equity | -0.11816 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.169 |
| Revenue Per Share | 9.412 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 43,868,185 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0928 |
| Shares Short | 4,070,707 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,945,513 |
| Short Name | Ambarella, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.11229999 |
| Short Ratio | 2.22 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | AMBA |
| Target High Price | 120.0 |
| Target Low Price | 80.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 95.0 |
| Target Median Price | 96.0 |
| Total Cash | 277,800,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.333 |
| Total Debt | 13,271,000 |
| Total Revenue | 405,187,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.6 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 69.73205 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.8979492 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.012877138 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,328,477 |
| Website | https://www.ambarella.com |
| Zip | 95,054 |