Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA)Technology | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Santa Clara, United States | NasdaqGS
62.33 USD
-1.01
(-1.602%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 10:37 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:38 a.m. EDT
Ambarella presents a classic case of conflicting narratives: a recovering business trapped in a speculative price structure. Fundamentally, the company is showing signs of life with revenue growing at 13% and gross margins holding steady at 58%, while the balance sheet remains pristine with minimal debt and strong cash generation. This supports a neutral-to-slightly-positive long-term outlook, though the lack of a dividend and negative operating margins prevent a top-tier buy rating. The real story here is the options market, which is screaming volatility. Traders are building a 'straddle' scenario, betting big on a move to $75+ while simultaneously insuring against a drop back to $60 or lower. With the stock trading near its 200-day average and recent insider sales weighing on sentiment, the immediate path is choppy. The statistical forecast offers almost no guidance, confirming that the current price action is driven by noise and catalyst speculation rather than a predictable trend. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.143227 |
| AutoTheta | 0.148726 |
| AutoETS | 0.152876 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.153402 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 0.11 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.153 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.94 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 2.038 |
| Revenue per Share | 9.623 |
| Market Cap | 2,751,306,752 |
| Forward P/E | 55.62 |
| Beta | 2.38 |
| Profit Margins | -13.48% |
| Website | https://www.ambarella.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (OTM), particularly at the $70 and $75 levels, suggesting bets on a significant upside move. However, put volume is equally aggressive, with massive open interest walls at $60-$65 and heavy buying at $45, indicating a strong defensive floor is being established. The implied volatility is elevated across the board, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent price surge will reverse or continue.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.23379296 |
| Address1 | 3,001 Tasman Drive |
| All Time High | 227.59 |
| All Time Low | 5.55 |
| Ask | 74.75 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,164,430 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,640,632 |
| Average Volume | 1,640,632 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,164,430 |
| Beta | 2.381 |
| Bid | 44.64 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 14.053 |
| City | Santa Clara |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 62.33 |
| Current Ratio | 2.848 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 63.2699 |
| Day Low | 61.66 |
| Debt To Equity | 2.038 |
| Display Name | Ambarella |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,788,467,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,788,467,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,796,155,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,796,155,200 |
| Ebitda | -48,891,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.117019996 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -51.879 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 6.071 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,536,419,840 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.80441 |
| Eps Forward | 1.12058 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.3 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 408 734 0788 |
| Fifty Day Average | 70.197 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -7.866997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.11207027 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -23.379295 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 96.69 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -34.36 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3553625 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 48.3 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 14.030003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.29047626 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 48.3 - 96.69 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,349,875,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 42,140,944 |
| Forward Eps | 1.12058 |
| Forward P E | 55.622986 |
| Free Cashflow | 32,831,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 959 |
| Fullday Change | -1.0149994 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.6023355 |
| Fullday Price | 62.33 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.58522 |
| Gross Profits | 244,504,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.04323 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.86259 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 44,140,971 |
| Industry | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials |
| Industry Disp | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials |
| Industry Key | semiconductor-equipment-materials |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,817,600 |
| Long Business Summary | Ambarella, Inc. develops low-power system-on-a-chip, semiconductors, and software for edge and physical artificial intelligence, applications, and intelligent automation. The company's system-on-a-chip (SOC) integrates third generation CVflow technology with advanced video processing, image signal processing, audio processing, and system control functions on a single chip. It also offers central domain controllers, CVflow SoCs, AI neural processors, vision processor SoCs, high-definition radars, and serializer/deserializers, as well as licenses software modules. The company's solutions are used in automotive video recorders, electronic mirrors, front advanced driver assistance system camera, AI Telematics Systems, and cabin monitoring system and driver monitoring system cameras in automotive field; central domain controllers for autonomous vehicles in autonomy; enterprise and public class, and home security cameras in the field of IoT; and enterprise, home, public spaces, and consumer applications, as well as for video conferencing, access control, healthcare, medical, and virtual reality applications. It sells its solutions to original design manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, automotive market, and Tier-1 suppliers through its direct sales force and distributors. The company operates in Taiwan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and rest of North America. Ambarella, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. |
| Long Name | Ambarella, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,751,306,752 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_22816801 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,785,456,000 |
| Net Income To Common | -56,324,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,801,353,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,985,695,278 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 11 |
| Open | 62.43 |
| Operating Cashflow | 27,326,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.07531 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.28 |
| Phone | 408 734 8888 |
| Previous Close | 63.345 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 77.48537 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.435352 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 6.585209 |
| Profit Margins | -0.13481 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.239 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.0149994 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.6023355 |
| Regular Market Day High | 63.2699 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 61.66 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 61.66 - 63.2699 |
| Regular Market Open | 62.43 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 63.345 |
| Regular Market Price | 62.33 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,161,454 |
| Regular Market Volume | 134,562 |
| Return On Assets | -0.05233 |
| Return On Equity | -0.094119996 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.132 |
| Revenue Per Share | 9.623 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 44,140,971 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1168 |
| Shares Short | 5,153,912 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,364,091 |
| Short Name | Ambarella, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1412 |
| Short Ratio | 2.62 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | AMBA |
| Target High Price | 120.0 |
| Target Low Price | 65.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 89.36364 |
| Target Median Price | 90.0 |
| Total Cash | 272,332,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.17 |
| Total Debt | 12,642,000 |
| Total Revenue | 417,800,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.3 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 67.8309 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.5009003 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.08109726 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 134,562 |
| Website | https://www.ambarella.com |
| Zip | 95,054 |