Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO)Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Pekin, United States | NasdaqCM
5.62 USD
-0.25
(-4.259%) ⇩
(July 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:50 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is fundamentally broken by a brutal multi-year decline. Despite the company joining major indices and expanding production capacity, the stock has lost nearly 78% of its value over the last nine years, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending recently. This persistent downward trajectory suggests the market views the current business model as failing to generate sustainable growth or value, rendering any 'value' arguments moot. The lack of a dividend payout eliminates income appeal, leaving only the potential for a turnaround story. While the options market is aggressively betting on a rebound with heavy call positioning, this appears to be a contrarian gamble on a turnaround rather than a confirmation of underlying strength. With a trailing P/E of 15x on a shrinking business and a forward P/E of 9x implying modest recovery, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the investor until the multi-year decline trend is decisively reversed. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.075148 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.075262 |
| AutoETS | 0.075386 |
| AutoTheta | 0.078292 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 0.21 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.266 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.06 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 36.526 |
| Revenue per Share | 12.256 |
| Market Cap | 435,471,584 |
| Trailing P/E | 15.19 |
| Forward P/E | 9.21 |
| Beta | 0.14 |
| Profit Margins | 3.20% |
| Previous Name | Pacific Ethanol, Inc. |
| Website | https://www.altoingredients.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward calls, with open interest concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes ($7.00 and $8.00 for October 2026) while put activity is negligible and almost entirely in-the-money. This indicates a speculative bet on a significant upside move rather than a hedge against downside risk, despite the stock trading near its 52-week lows.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 3.932773 |
| Address1 | 1,300 South Second Street |
| All Time High | 4,672.5 |
| All Time Low | 0.22 |
| Ask | 6.38 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,268,680 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,304,298 |
| Average Volume | 2,304,298 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,268,680 |
| Beta | 0.141 |
| Bid | 4.79 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Book Value | 3.206 |
| City | Pekin |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 5.62 |
| Current Ratio | 3.807 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.078 |
| Day Low | 5.47 |
| Debt To Equity | 36.526 |
| Display Name | Alto Ingredients |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,097,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,960,000 |
| Ebitda | 44,538,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.04862 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 11.371 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.553 |
| Enterprise Value | 506,434,592 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.425 |
| Eps Forward | 0.61 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.37 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.2712 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.3487997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.066170834 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 393.2773 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 6.11 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.49000025 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.08019644 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 0.92 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.7 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 5.1086955 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 0.92 - 6.11 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,111,674,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 69,257,031 |
| Forward Eps | 0.61 |
| Forward P E | 9.213115 |
| Free Cashflow | 6,820,500 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 390 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.05015 |
| Gross Profits | 45,939,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.05993 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.50128 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 77,486,049 |
| Industry | Specialty Chemicals |
| Industry Disp | Specialty Chemicals |
| Industry Key | specialty-chemicals |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,368,489,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:15 |
| Long Business Summary | Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets specialty alcohols, renewable fuel, and essential ingredients in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Campus Production, and Western Production. It offers specialty alcohols used in mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners for health, home, and beauty markets; grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages and vinegar, as well as corn germ used in corn oils in the food and beverage markets; alcohols and other products for paint applications and fertilizers in the industrial and agriculture markets; and essential ingredients, including dried yeast, corn protein meal, corn protein feed, corn germ, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food applications, as well as yeast and gas liquid CO2 for human consumption. The company also provides fuel-grade ethanol used as transportation fuel additives and distillers corn oil used as a renewable diesel and biodiesel feedstock, as well as fuel-grade ethanol produced by third parties. In addition, it offers transportation, storage, and delivery services through third-party service providers. Further, the company operates alcohol production facilities. It sells ethanol to integrated oil companies and gasoline marketers; essential ingredient feed products to dairies and feedlots; and corn oil to poultry, renewable diesel, and biodiesel customers. The company was formerly known as Pacific Ethanol, Inc. and changed its name to Alto Ingredients, Inc. in January 2021. Alto Ingredients, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Pekin, Illinois. |
| Long Name | Alto Ingredients, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 435,471,584 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_10039433 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-07-15 |
| Net Income To Common | 28,023,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 454,455,677 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 2 |
| Open | 6.028 |
| Operating Cashflow | 35,685,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.01122 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.8 |
| Phone | 833 710 2586 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.069999695 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -1.2455462 |
| Pre Market Price | 5.55 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,110,876 |
| Prev Name | Pacific Ethanol, Inc. |
| Previous Close | 5.87 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 13.223529 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.7529631 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.47537088 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03197 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.198 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.25 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.2589436 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.078 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 5.47 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 5.47 - 6.078 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.028 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.87 |
| Regular Market Price | 5.62 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,059,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,570,438 |
| Return On Assets | 0.030469999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.1263 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.008 |
| Revenue Per Share | 12.256 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Shares Outstanding | 77,485,153 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.053200003 |
| Shares Short | 4,118,629 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,291,177 |
| Short Name | Alto Ingredients, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0555 |
| Short Ratio | 1.46 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | IL |
| Symbol | ALTO |
| Target High Price | 10.0 |
| Target Low Price | 8.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.0 |
| Target Median Price | 9.0 |
| Total Cash | 20,309,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.262 |
| Total Debt | 91,271,000 |
| Total Revenue | 916,067,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.37 |
| Trailing P E | 15.189189 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 3.41075 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.20925 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.6477314 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,570,438 |
| Website | https://www.altoingredients.com |
| Zip | 61,554 |