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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | Indianapolis, United States | NYSE
110.70 USD -0.92 (-0.824%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 110.41 -0.29 (-0.291%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 6:14 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:32 a.m. EDT

Allison Transmission presents a compelling long-term value proposition obscured by short-term technical weakness. The core business is generating exceptional returns on equity at 28%, and the forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7x suggests the market is pricing in a significant earnings recovery, likely driven by the recent defense sector contract wins. However, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting a lack of immediate momentum. The dividend yield sits at a modest 1.06%, though the payout ratio is a healthy 18%, ensuring capital return is secure. Investors should view this as a turnaround play where the balance sheet carries weight, but the path to profitability needs to stabilize before the full upside potential is realized.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.045618
AutoETS0.045876
AutoTheta0.046860
MSTL0.048683

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 2.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.305
Excess Kurtosis -1.04
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 211.925
Revenue per Share 53.036
Market Cap 9,141,388,288
Trailing P/E 17.60
Forward P/E 9.83
Beta 0.98
Profit Margins 12.02%
Website https://www.allisontransmission.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:32 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains subdued across most expirations, hovering between 40% and 60%. While near-term expiration calls show minimal positioning, December 2026 contracts reveal a speculative wall of open interest at the 180 strike, suggesting some traders are pricing in a significant upside move despite the current price. Conversely, put open interest clusters tightly around the 110 to 115 strike range, indicating hedging activity or defensive positioning against a potential pullback. February 2027 put volume at the 110 strike exceeds open interest, signaling active short-term hedging or bearish sentiment entering the next quarter.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.22% 1.04% 1.16% 1.49%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-21 0.29 0.217669
2026-05-18 0.29 0.254252
2026-03-09 0.29 0.248139
2025-11-21 0.27 0.320209
2025-08-20 0.27 0.309314
2025-05-19 0.27 0.254357
2025-03-03 0.27 0.273973
2024-11-18 0.25 0.212929
2024-08-19 0.25 0.289519
2024-05-17 0.25 0.332712
2024-03-01 0.25 0.331565
2023-11-10 0.23 0.433145
2023-08-11 0.23 0.389632
2023-05-12 0.23 0.481071
2023-03-03 0.23 0.472765
2022-11-18 0.21 0.482094
2022-08-19 0.21 0.542776
2022-05-13 0.21 0.552923
2022-03-04 0.21 0.513447
2021-11-19 0.19 0.524862
2021-08-13 0.19 0.493250
2021-05-14 0.19 0.416849
2021-02-19 0.19 0.498165
2020-11-13 0.17 0.420480
2020-08-21 0.17 0.476457
2020-05-15 0.17 0.503107
2020-03-06 0.17 0.440300
2019-11-14 0.15 0.322165
2019-08-22 0.15 0.340677
2019-05-17 0.15 0.343328
2019-03-01 0.15 0.306498
2018-11-16 0.15 0.314861
2018-08-17 0.15 0.313611
2018-05-18 0.15 0.347383
2018-02-16 0.15 0.381485
2017-11-17 0.15 0.385109
2017-08-17 0.15 0.432651
2017-05-18 0.15 0.407498
2017-03-02 0.15 0.415167
2016-11-09 0.15 0.500000
2016-08-18 0.15 0.542692
2016-05-19 0.15 0.555761
2016-02-25 0.15 0.644053
2015-11-12 0.15 0.558659
2015-08-13 0.15 0.512821
2015-05-14 0.15 0.479233
2015-02-26 0.15 0.466128
2014-11-06 0.15 0.445633
2014-08-14 0.12 0.400668
2014-05-15 0.12 0.407747
2014-02-27 0.12 0.405542
2013-11-14 0.12 0.467836
2013-08-15 0.12 0.538358
2013-05-15 0.12 0.509771
2013-02-21 0.06 0.263620
2012-11-14 0.06 0.278810
2012-08-13 0.06 0.314795
2012-05-16 0.06 0.317965
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.04
exDividendDate 2026-08-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.12
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010034044
lastDividendValue 0.29
lastDividendDate 2026-08-21
dividendDate 2026-08-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.36571634
Address1 One Allison Way
All Time High 137.62
All Time Low 15.82
Ask 113.5
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 771,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 812,606
Average Volume 812,606
Average Volume10Days 771,540
Beta 0.981
Bid 105.0
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 4
Book Value 23.94
City Indianapolis
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 110.7
Current Ratio 1.807
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 111.885
Day Low 109.2
Debt To Equity 211.925
Display Name Allison Transmission
Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Dividend Yield 1.04
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,790,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,790,800
Earnings Growth -0.061
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.072
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,787,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Ebitda 1,184,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.2692
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.917
Enterprise To Revenue 2.939
Enterprise Value 12,936,388,608
Eps Current Year 9.94634
Eps Forward 11.26146
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.29
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,270,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 121.3414
Fifty Day Average Change -10.641403
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08769804
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 36.571632
Fifty Two Week High 137.62
Fifty Two Week High Change -26.919998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19561109
Fifty Two Week Low 76.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change 34.689995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.45638722
Fifty Two Week Range 76.01 - 137.62
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,331,818,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.31
Float Shares 81,808,411
Forward Eps 11.26146
Forward P E 9.829986
Free Cashflow 211,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,000
Fullday Change -0.07520294
Fullday Change Percent -0.06746474
Fullday Price 110.7
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.37846002
Gross Profits 1,666,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00733
Held Percent Institutions 1.0654
Implied Shares Outstanding 82,578,038
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,270,400
Last Dividend Value 0.29
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and medium- and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles, and electrified propulsion systems worldwide. It offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction of off-highway vehicles and equipment; and wheeled and tracked defense vehicles. The company also provides its transmissions and electric propulsion solutions under the Allison Transmission brand name; and remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name. In addition, it sells branded replacement parts, support equipment, aluminum die cast components, and other products necessary to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its solutions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government. The company was formerly known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Long Name Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,141,388,288
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_13529856
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 529,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,462,617,374
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 110.55
Operating Cashflow 939,000,000
Operating Margins 0.19093001
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.17809999
Peg Ratio 0.51
Phone 317 242 5000
Post Market Change -0.29119873
Post Market Change Percent -0.26305217
Post Market Price 110.4088
Post Market Time 1,792,016,048
Previous Close 111.62
Price Eps Current Year 11.129723
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.62406
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.0766444
Profit Margins 0.120170005
Quick Ratio 0.991
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.09091
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.920006
Regular Market Change Percent -0.82423
Regular Market Day High 111.885
Regular Market Day Low 109.2
Regular Market Day Range 109.2 - 111.885
Regular Market Open 110.55
Regular Market Previous Close 111.62
Regular Market Price 110.7
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,003
Regular Market Volume 506,216
Return On Assets 0.084580004
Return On Equity 0.28349
Revenue Growth 0.924
Revenue Per Share 53.036
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 82,578,038
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.028199999
Shares Short 2,329,669
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,772,809
Short Name Allison Transmission Holdings,
Short Percent Of Float 0.039100002
Short Ratio 2.91
Source Interval 15
State IN
Symbol ALSN
Target High Price 185.0
Target Low Price 115.0
Target Mean Price 138.90909
Target Median Price 135.0
Total Cash 399,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.832
Total Debt 4,193,999,872
Total Revenue 4,401,999,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.12
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010034044
Trailing Eps 6.29
Trailing P E 17.599363
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.5237
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 117.96525
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.265251
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.061588064
Type Disp Equity
Volume 506,216
Website https://www.allisontransmission.com
Zip 46,222