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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | Indianapolis, United States | NYSE
115.06 USD -0.92 (-0.793%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:16 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is exceptionally strong, driven by an 83% revenue surge and a 30% return on equity that signals a dominant competitive position, even though the trailing earnings miss creates a temporary drag on valuation. The forward P/E of 10x confirms the market expects a rapid earnings recovery, supporting a solid buy recommendation for the multi-year horizon. Conversely, the short-term outlook is tempered by technical resistance near the 50-day average and the recent earnings miss, which keeps the immediate momentum neutral rather than bullish. The dividend yield sits below inflation, offering minimal income, though the payout ratio is highly sustainable. Overall, the business quality outweighs the near-term technical headwinds.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.094619
AutoETS0.094622
MSTL0.106194
AutoTheta0.136764

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 57%
H-stat 1.64
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.550
Excess Kurtosis -0.14
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 228.639
Revenue per Share 43.713
Market Cap 9,542,614,016
Trailing P/E 17.89
Forward P/E 10.00
Beta 0.95
Profit Margins 14.88%
Website https://www.allisontransmission.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:16 a.m. EDT: Market participants are positioning for a range-bound recovery with a distinct bullish bias. Call open interest concentrates heavily at 130 and 135 strikes, signaling expectations for upside momentum, while put walls cluster at 100 and 110 to define a downside floor. Implied volatility spikes significantly on deep out-of-the-money puts, reflecting fear of a sharp drop, yet overall call volume exceeds put volume in the out-of-the-money space, suggesting speculative capital favors a rebound.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.25% 1.13% 1.22% 1.54%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-18 0.29 0.254252
2026-03-09 0.29 0.248139
2025-11-21 0.27 0.320209
2025-08-20 0.27 0.309314
2025-05-19 0.27 0.254357
2025-03-03 0.27 0.273973
2024-11-18 0.25 0.212929
2024-08-19 0.25 0.289519
2024-05-17 0.25 0.332712
2024-03-01 0.25 0.331565
2023-11-10 0.23 0.433145
2023-08-11 0.23 0.389632
2023-05-12 0.23 0.481071
2023-03-03 0.23 0.472765
2022-11-18 0.21 0.482094
2022-08-19 0.21 0.542776
2022-05-13 0.21 0.552923
2022-03-04 0.21 0.513447
2021-11-19 0.19 0.524862
2021-08-13 0.19 0.493250
2021-05-14 0.19 0.416849
2021-02-19 0.19 0.498165
2020-11-13 0.17 0.420480
2020-08-21 0.17 0.476457
2020-05-15 0.17 0.503107
2020-03-06 0.17 0.440300
2019-11-14 0.15 0.322165
2019-08-22 0.15 0.340677
2019-05-17 0.15 0.343328
2019-03-01 0.15 0.306498
2018-11-16 0.15 0.314861
2018-08-17 0.15 0.313611
2018-05-18 0.15 0.347383
2018-02-16 0.15 0.381485
2017-11-17 0.15 0.385109
2017-08-17 0.15 0.432651
2017-05-18 0.15 0.407498
2017-03-02 0.15 0.415167
2016-11-09 0.15 0.500000
2016-08-18 0.15 0.542692
2016-05-19 0.15 0.555761
2016-02-25 0.15 0.644053
2015-11-12 0.15 0.558659
2015-08-13 0.15 0.512821
2015-05-14 0.15 0.479233
2015-02-26 0.15 0.466128
2014-11-06 0.15 0.445633
2014-08-14 0.12 0.400668
2014-05-15 0.12 0.407747
2014-02-27 0.12 0.405542
2013-11-14 0.12 0.467836
2013-08-15 0.12 0.538358
2013-05-15 0.12 0.509771
2013-02-21 0.06 0.263620
2012-11-14 0.06 0.278810
2012-08-13 0.06 0.314795
2012-05-16 0.06 0.317965
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.16
dividendYield 1.01
exDividendDate 2026-05-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.1
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0094843935
lastDividendValue 0.29
lastDividendDate 2026-05-18
dividendDate 2026-05-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2951424
Address1 One Allison Way
All Time High 137.62
All Time Low 15.82
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,359,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,154,314
Average Volume 1,154,314
Average Volume10Days 2,359,420
Beta 0.946
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 4
Book Value 22.919
City Indianapolis
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 115.06
Current Ratio 1.846
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 118.59
Day Low 114.11
Debt To Equity 228.639
Display Name Allison Transmission
Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Dividend Rate 1.16
Dividend Yield 1.01
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,928,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,928,400
Earnings Growth -0.404
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.417
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Ebitda 1,103,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.30219
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.314
Enterprise To Revenue 3.721
Enterprise Value 13,582,613,504
Eps Current Year 9.9695
Eps Forward 11.50028
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.43
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 117.9338
Fifty Day Average Change -2.8738022
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.024367927
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 29.51424
Fifty Two Week High 137.62
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.559998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16392966
Fifty Two Week Low 76.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change 39.049995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5137481
Fifty Two Week Range 76.01 - 137.62
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,331,818,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.51
Float Shares 82,188,728
Forward Eps 11.50028
Forward P E 10.004973
Free Cashflow 39,125,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.42575002
Gross Profits 1,554,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00732
Held Percent Institutions 1.07129
Implied Shares Outstanding 82,935,981
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Last Dividend Value 0.29
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and medium- and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles, and electrified propulsion systems worldwide. It offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction of off-highway vehicles and equipment; and wheeled and tracked defense vehicles. The company also provides its transmissions and electric propulsion solutions under the Allison Transmission brand name; and remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name. In addition, it sells branded replacement parts, support equipment, aluminum die cast components, and other products necessary to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its solutions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government. The company was formerly known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Long Name Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,542,614,016
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_13529856
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 543,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,542,613,973
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 118.3
Operating Cashflow 811,000,000
Operating Margins 0.19488001
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.1711
Peg Ratio 0.68
Phone 317 242 5000
Previous Close 115.98
Price Eps Current Year 11.541201
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.0202885
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.614415
Profit Margins 0.14877
Quick Ratio 0.965
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.920006
Regular Market Change Percent -0.793245
Regular Market Day High 118.59
Regular Market Day Low 114.11
Regular Market Day Range 114.11 - 118.59
Regular Market Open 118.3
Regular Market Previous Close 115.98
Regular Market Price 115.06
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,203
Regular Market Volume 547,234
Return On Assets 0.08254
Return On Equity 0.30437002
Revenue Growth 0.836
Revenue Per Share 43.713
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 82,935,981
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0355
Shares Short 2,947,269
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,462,924
Short Name Allison Transmission Holdings,
Short Percent Of Float 0.049200002
Short Ratio 3.46
Source Interval 15
State IN
Symbol ALSN
Target High Price 185.0
Target Low Price 105.0
Target Mean Price 136.9
Target Median Price 135.5
Total Cash 311,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.75
Total Debt 4,351,000,064
Total Revenue 3,649,999,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.1
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0094843935
Trailing Eps 6.43
Trailing P E 17.894245
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.6753
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 107.06155
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.998451
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.07470891
Type Disp Equity
Volume 547,234
Website https://www.allisontransmission.com
Zip 46,222