Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM)Technology | Software - Application | Tysons, United States | NasdaqGS
57.37 USD
-0.27
(-0.468%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 57.37 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:45 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is mixed but leans cautiously positive due to a recent earnings beat and raised guidance, yet the underlying business quality is deteriorating. While the stock has rallied nearly 70% over the last nine years, the market has punished the company hard recently, recording four consecutive years of negative annual returns. This multi-year decline suggests investors see a structural issue in the growth story, despite the current revenue bump. The balance sheet remains healthy with strong cash flow, but the lack of dividends and the persistent earnings contraction make it a risky hold for income seekers. For traders, the options flow shows a battle between bulls targeting the $60 level and bears protecting against a drop to the $40s, creating a volatile environment where the trend is currently broken. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.020521 |
| AutoETS | 0.020527 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.020528 |
| MSTL | 0.020981 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 51% |
| H-stat | 0.90 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.344 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.96 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 62.337 |
| Revenue per Share | 21.365 |
| Market Cap | 2,816,306,432 |
| Trailing P/E | 25.38 |
| Forward P/E | 18.69 |
| Beta | 0.76 |
| Profit Margins | 11.11% |
| Website | https://www.alarm.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly higher trade, with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $60 strike across multiple expirations, suggesting a bullish bias toward upside expansion. However, there is significant put volume and open interest at lower strikes ($40-$47.50), indicating a floor is being established to prevent a deeper decline. Implied volatility is elevated relative to deep ITM strikes, reflecting uncertainty about whether the stock can break above the $60 resistance or revert to the $40s.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.13987684 |
| Address1 | 8,281 Greensboro Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 108.67 |
| All Time Low | 10.26 |
| Ask | 73.35 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 433,670 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 420,434 |
| Average Volume | 420,434 |
| Average Volume10Days | 433,670 |
| Beta | 0.757 |
| Bid | 41.69 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 17.63 |
| City | Tysons |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 57.37 |
| Current Ratio | 4.96 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 58.62 |
| Day Low | 56.935 |
| Debt To Equity | 62.337 |
| Display Name | Alarm.com |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.234 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.298 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | 167,716,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.15808 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 17.579 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.779 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,948,318,464 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.89294 |
| Eps Forward | 3.07 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.26 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 55.691 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.678997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.030148445 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 13.987684 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 58.62 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.25 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.021323781 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 41.49 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 15.879997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.38274276 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 41.49 - 58.62 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,435,325,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 46,593,990 |
| Forward Eps | 3.07 |
| Forward P E | 18.687296 |
| Free Cashflow | 100,146,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 2,051 |
| Fullday Change | -0.27000046 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.4684255 |
| Fullday Price | 57.37 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.65809 |
| Gross Profits | 698,220,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.05592 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.0189099 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 49,090,228 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for connected properties in North America and internationally. It operates in two segments, Alarm.com and Other. The company offers residential solutions, such as alarm transmission, smart signal, smart arming, and personal safety and awareness, as well as real-time alerts and always-on monitoring; video monitoring solutions, including video analytics, remote video monitoring, AI deterrence, video doorbell, intelligent integration, and cell connector; scenes, video analytics triggers, smart thermostat schedules, responsive savings, precision comfort, HVAC monitoring service, places feature, whole home water safety solution, and energy usage and solar monitoring solution. It also provides clean energy software and services SaaS platform; commercial grade video solutions, commercial video analytics, smarter access control, enterprise dashboard and multi-site management, connected fleet solution, energy savings, proactive protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, daily safeguard, and professionally supported and low cost of ownership solutions. In addition, the company offers OpenEye software comprising video surveillance as a service, cameras, recorders, and other peripherals designed for video applications; forensic video search, point-of sale system integration, customer site mapping, and large-scale camera deployments enterprise-level requirements; shooter detection systems; service provider portal, service dashboard, installation and support service provider solutions; and AI-powered enhancements to professional monitoring and false alarm reduction. Further, it provides business management services; sales, marketing, training services; and home builder program hardware and services. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tysons, Virginia. |
| Long Name | Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,816,306,432 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_302151977 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 117,901,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,617,000,054 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 58.38 |
| Operating Cashflow | 199,079,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.15068 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.41 |
| Phone | 877 389 4033 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 57.37 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,180,813 |
| Previous Close | 57.64 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 19.831036 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.2541125 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.6544287 |
| Profit Margins | 0.11112001 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.98 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.27000046 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.4684255 |
| Regular Market Day High | 58.62 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 56.935 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 56.935 - 58.62 |
| Regular Market Open | 58.38 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 57.64 |
| Regular Market Price | 57.37 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 462,989 |
| Return On Assets | 0.04991 |
| Return On Equity | 0.13311 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.092 |
| Revenue Per Share | 21.365 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.13723719 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 49,090,228 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0621 |
| Shares Short | 3,047,905 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,793,058 |
| Short Name | Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0938 |
| Short Ratio | 6.53 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | VA |
| Symbol | ALRM |
| Target High Price | 85.0 |
| Target Low Price | 40.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 63.0 |
| Target Median Price | 65.0 |
| Total Cash | 481,318,016 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 9.805 |
| Total Debt | 567,465,024 |
| Total Revenue | 1,060,984,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.26 |
| Trailing P E | 25.384954 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 49.49545 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 7.87455 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.15909645 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 462,989 |
| Website | https://www.alarm.com |
| Zip | 22,102 |