REalloys Inc. (ALOY)Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Euclid, United States | NasdaqCM
11.07 USD
-1.21
(-9.853%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:54 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is fractured between a speculative narrative and deteriorating fundamentals. While the company recently secured a rare earth supply deal and the stock rallied nearly 200% year-over-year, the underlying business is bleeding cash with operating margins in negative territory and no dividend to cushion the blow. The massive premium on deep out-of-the-money calls reveals that retail investors are betting on a miraculous turnaround or a merger catalyst, while the heavy put open interest at higher strikes acts as a ceiling, warning of potential profit-taking if the supply chain story doesn't immediately translate to earnings. With a price-to-book ratio exceeding seven times despite negative earnings and a lack of consistent profitability, this is a high-risk speculative vehicle where the current price already reflects a very optimistic view of future execution. The statistical forecast offers no guidance, confirming that the recent move was likely noise driven by the news cycle rather than a sustainable trend. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.211466 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.211467 |
| AutoTheta | 0.211476 |
| MSTL | 0.235647 |
| MSTL_70 | 0.242896 |
| MSTL_105 | 0.273897 |
| MSTL_70_105 | 0.303387 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 33% |
| H-stat | 0.65 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.148 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.90 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 1.389 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.014 |
| Market Cap | 755,317,568 |
| Forward P/E | -42.58 |
| Beta | 0.56 |
| Website | https://www.realloys.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward deep out-of-the-money strikes (1.0 strike shows massive volume spikes relative to open interest), suggesting a 'lottery ticket' mentality hoping for a massive gap-up event. Conversely, put open interest is concentrated significantly higher than call open interest at strikes like 20.0 and 25.0, creating a heavy hedge wall that suggests traders expect a significant downside correction or are protecting against a failure of the recent rally. The implied volatility surface shows extreme premiums for deep OTM calls, indicating the market prices in a binary, high-volatility event.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.23687148 |
| Address1 | 24,112 Rockwell Drive |
| All Time High | 63.0 |
| All Time Low | 1.044 |
| Ask | 13.61 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,228,610 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,377,926 |
| Average Volume | 2,377,926 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,228,610 |
| Beta | 0.564 |
| Bid | 10.95 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Book Value | 1.659 |
| City | Euclid |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 11.07 |
| Current Ratio | 5.043 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 12.095 |
| Day Low | 10.62 |
| Debt To Equity | 1.389 |
| Display Name | REalloys |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 422.642 |
| Enterprise Value | 636,499,392 |
| Eps Forward | -0.26 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 12.1932 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1232004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.09211695 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 23.68715 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 26.9 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.83 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5884758 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.64 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.43 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.96276593 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.64 - 26.9 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,470,058,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 28,798,502 |
| Forward Eps | -0.26 |
| Forward P E | -42.576923 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.19986999 |
| Gross Profits | 301,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.06498 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.07356 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 68,231,038 |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Disp | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Key | other-industrial-metals-mining |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,681,171,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:4 |
| Long Business Summary | REalloys Inc. operates as a rare earth metals and permanent magnet company in North America. The company produces rare earth metals, such as neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, terbium, samarium, gadolinium, yttrium, and scandium; and magnets, such as NdFeB Magnets, SmFe12 Magnets, and MnBi Magnets. The company was founded in 2024 and is headquartered in Euclid, Ohio. |
| Long Name | REalloys Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 755,317,568 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1934483693 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -180,531,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 755,317,590 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 12.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | -15,711,000 |
| Operating Margins | -124.16006 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.13000011 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.1743461 |
| Pre Market Price | 11.2 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,031,366 |
| Previous Close | 12.28 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 6.672694 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 501.53888 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.006 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.21 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -9.85342 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.095 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.62 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.62 - 12.095 |
| Regular Market Open | 12.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 12.28 |
| Regular Market Price | 11.07 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,307,252 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.014 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Shares Outstanding | 68,231,038 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1092 |
| Shares Short | 3,240,830 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,902,582 |
| Short Name | REalloys Inc. |
| Short Ratio | 2.08 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | OH |
| Symbol | ALOY |
| Target High Price | 19.0 |
| Target Low Price | 19.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 19.0 |
| Target Median Price | 19.0 |
| Total Cash | 42,548,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.695 |
| Total Debt | 1,411,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,506,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 10.74609 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.32390976 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.030142104 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,307,252 |
| Website | https://www.realloys.com |
| Zip | 44,117 |