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Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU)

Technology | Semiconductors | Goleta, United States | NasdaqCM
8.66 USD -0.19 (-2.147%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 9:40 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:34 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish despite the recent headline-driven rally. While the stock snapped a losing streak on news of a $2 billion quantum push, the underlying business metrics tell a different story: revenue is contracting by 55.8%, profitability is deeply negative, and the company is burning cash with no path to positive free cash flow. The massive gap between the current price ($11.40) and the analyst mean target ($23.50) is entirely speculative, relying on a binary outcome where the government contract converts to massive sales. Until the company demonstrates top-line growth or a clear route to profitability, this remains a high-risk speculation on a narrative, not a sound investment. The options chain confirms this tension, with traders buying deep OTM calls for a moonshot while hedging with near-the-money puts, but the fundamental reality is a deteriorating business.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.201852
AutoARIMA0.312230
AutoETS0.314081
MSTL0.315297

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 2.22
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.009
Excess Kurtosis 1.62
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.552
Revenue per Share 0.253
Market Cap 167,267,232
Forward P/E -14.93
Beta -0.08
Profit Margins -205.31%
Website https://www.aeluma.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bias. Call open interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (14, 15, 17.5, 30, 35), suggesting bets on a sharp spike driven by government contract news. Conversely, put open interest is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money (10, 11, 12.5, 14), indicating a hedge against a drop below current levels. The implied volatility is elevated across all expirations, reflecting uncertainty about whether the 'government backing' catalyst will materialize into revenue or remain a one-time event.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.47005987
Address1 27 Castilian Drive
All Time High 31.79
All Time Low 1.78
Ask 11.09
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 650,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 559,893
Average Volume 559,893
Average Volume10Days 650,470
Beta -0.076
Bid 6.24
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 2.956
City Goleta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.66
Current Ratio 30.323
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 8.81
Day Low 8.53
Debt To Equity 3.552
Display Name Aeluma
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,789,588,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,789,588,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,789,588,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda -9,735,000
Ebitda Margins -2.18225
Enterprise To Ebitda -11.969
Enterprise To Revenue 26.119
Enterprise Value 116,517,192
Eps Current Year -0.595
Eps Forward -0.58
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.52
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.6996
Fifty Day Average Change -5.0396004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.3678648
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -47.00599
Fifty Two Week High 31.79
Fifty Two Week High Change -23.130001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7275873
Fifty Two Week Low 8.52
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.13999939
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.016431853
Fifty Two Week Range 8.52 - 31.79
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,677,594,600,000
Float Shares 14,687,184
Forward Eps -0.58
Forward P E -14.931035
Free Cashflow -609,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 24
Fullday Change -0.19000053
Fullday Change Percent -2.1468985
Fullday Price 8.66
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.35239
Gross Profits 1,572,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.22302
Held Percent Institutions 0.29549998
Implied Shares Outstanding 19,314,923
Industry Semiconductors
Industry Disp Semiconductors
Industry Key semiconductors
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-03-27
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Long Business Summary Aeluma, Inc. develops photonic and electronic technologies for communications and sensing in the United States. The company is involved in development of photodetectors, photodetector arrays, lasers, optical amplifiers, and other technologies. Its products are used in telecom, artificial intelligence, datacom, mobile, defense and aerospace, robotics, automotive, augmented reality/virtual reality, and quantum applications. Aeluma, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.
Long Name Aeluma, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 167,267,232
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1672359878
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -9,159,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,313,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 254,114,200
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 8.81
Operating Cashflow -3,266,000
Operating Margins -7.51203
Overall Risk 10
Phone 805 351 2707
Previous Close 8.85
Price Eps Current Year -14.554621
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9296346
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 37.495457
Profit Margins -2.0531301
Quick Ratio 29.813
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.19000053
Regular Market Change Percent -2.1468985
Regular Market Day High 8.81
Regular Market Day Low 8.53
Regular Market Day Range 8.53 - 8.81
Regular Market Open 8.81
Regular Market Previous Close 8.85
Regular Market Price 8.66
Regular Market Time 1,792,158,023
Regular Market Volume 41,411
Return On Assets -0.15902
Return On Equity -0.24479
Revenue Growth -0.558
Revenue Per Share 0.253
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 19,314,923
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1927
Shares Short 3,722,208
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,706,486
Short Name Aeluma, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2591
Short Ratio 6.01
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ALMU
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 22.0
Target Mean Price 23.5
Target Median Price 23.5
Total Cash 56,006,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.907
Total Debt 2,022,000
Total Revenue 4,461,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.52
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.351826
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.691826
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.5009171
Type Disp Equity
Volume 41,411
Website https://www.aeluma.com
Zip 93,117