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Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

Industrials | Airlines | Seattle, United States | NYSE
37.81 USD -0.25 (-0.657%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:29 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is clouded by deteriorating fundamentals and a lack of shareholder returns. The company is currently burning cash, with negative operating margins and free cash flow, while carrying a massive debt load relative to equity. This financial strain is evident in the stock's performance, which has underperformed significantly over the last decade despite recent revenue growth. Crucially, the board has not initiated a dividend program, leaving investors without a yield floor. While analysts see significant upside potential based on forward earnings estimates, the current reality of a loss-making operation with high leverage makes this a risky hold for the near term. The options market confirms this hesitation, with traders stacking protection rather than betting on a rapid rally.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.129017
AutoARIMA0.131454
MSTL0.133434
AutoTheta0.148348

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 10.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.033
Excess Kurtosis -0.42
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2020-02-13
Last Dividend Date 2020-02-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 207.52
Revenue per Share 129.463
Market Cap 4,218,347,264
Forward P/E 11.47
Beta 1.33
Profit Margins -1.18%
Website https://www.alaskaair.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated near the current price ($37.50-$40.00) and slightly out-of-the-money strikes ($35.00). While there is some call activity at $45.00-$50.00, the overwhelming majority of open interest sits in the OTM category, suggesting a 'bet against' or hedging strategy rather than a bullish breakout expectation. The implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty around fuel costs and operational guidance.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2020-02-14 0.37500 0.567236
2019-11-18 0.35000 0.499572
2019-08-19 0.35000 0.577653
2019-05-20 0.35000 0.564972
2019-02-15 0.35000 0.527744
2018-11-19 0.32000 0.475483
2018-08-20 0.32000 0.478755
2018-05-21 0.32000 0.552295
2018-02-16 0.32000 0.492535
2017-11-20 0.30000 0.453858
2017-08-18 0.30000 0.382409
2017-05-19 0.30000 0.354736
2017-02-16 0.30000 0.310270
2016-11-10 0.27500 0.366813
2016-08-16 0.27500 0.416667
2016-05-20 0.27500 0.421714
2016-02-19 0.27500 0.380149
2015-11-13 0.20000 0.263296
2015-08-14 0.20000 0.251256
2015-05-19 0.20000 0.298552
2015-02-20 0.20000 0.311818
2014-11-14 0.12500 0.225876
2014-08-15 0.12500 0.274967
2014-05-21 0.12500 0.260743
2014-02-21 0.12500 0.306598
2013-11-15 0.10000 0.264585
2013-08-02 0.10000 0.316857
1992-10-08 0.01250 0.314961
1992-07-09 0.01250 0.264901
1992-04-09 0.01250 0.285714
1992-01-09 0.01250 0.227273
1991-10-08 0.01250 0.248447
1991-07-09 0.01250 0.218579
1991-04-09 0.01250 0.202020
1991-01-09 0.01250 0.275862
1990-10-05 0.01250 0.294118
1990-07-09 0.01250 0.220994
1990-04-06 0.01250 0.210526
1990-01-08 0.01250 0.232558
1989-10-06 0.01250 0.185185
1989-07-10 0.01250 0.176211
1989-04-10 0.01250 0.201005
1989-01-09 0.01250 0.242424
1988-10-07 0.01000 0.180791
1988-07-11 0.01000 0.205128
1988-04-11 0.01000 0.238806
1988-01-11 0.01000 0.273504
1987-07-09 0.01000 0.190476
1987-04-09 0.01000 0.174863
1987-01-09 0.01000 0.174863
1986-10-08 0.01000 0.202532
1986-07-09 0.01000 0.253968
1986-04-09 0.01000 0.200000
1986-01-09 0.01000 0.258065
1985-10-08 0.01000 0.188235
1985-07-09 0.01000 0.169312
1985-04-09 0.00875 0.183007
1985-01-08 0.00875 0.227642
1984-10-10 0.00875 0.277228
1984-07-10 0.00875 0.318182
1984-04-10 0.00875 0.282828
1984-01-10 0.00875 0.239316
1983-10-18 0.00750 0.203390
1983-06-09 0.00750 0.165517
1983-03-21 0.00750 0.220183
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.0
exDividendDate 2020-02-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.375
lastDividendDate 2020-02-14
dividendDate 2015-09-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.22986645
Address1 19,300 International Boulevard
All Time High 101.43
All Time Low 0.765306
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,250,000
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,771,996
Average Volume 2,771,996
Average Volume10Days 3,250,000
Beta 1.33
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 1
Book Value 32.895
City Seattle
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 37.81
Current Ratio 0.547
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 38.7
Day Low 37.16
Debt To Equity 207.52
Display Name Alaska Air
Dividend Date 1,441,065,600
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,526,400
Ebitda 703,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.047620002
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.049
Enterprise To Revenue 0.621
Enterprise Value 9,173,713,920
Eps Current Year -3.42016
Eps Forward 3.29747
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.59
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,581,638,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 42.4068
Fifty Day Average Change -4.596798
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10839766
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -22.986645
Fifty Two Week High 60.63
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.82
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3763813
Fifty Two Week Low 33.03
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.7800026
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14471701
Fifty Two Week Range 33.03 - 60.63
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.76
Float Shares 110,849,799
Forward Eps 3.29747
Forward P E 11.466367
Free Cashflow -23,750,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 31,596
Fullday Change -0.23910141
Fullday Change Percent -0.6282223
Fullday Price 38.04
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.17713
Gross Profits 2,615,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00598
Held Percent Institutions 0.94012
Implied Shares Outstanding 111,566,970
Industry Airlines
Industry Disp Airlines
Industry Key airlines
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=109361&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,581,638,400
Last Dividend Value 0.375
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,404,950,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo; and Horizon's and other third-party carriers scheduled air transportation services. It operates in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Belize, the Bahamas, the South Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, and Asia. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
Long Name Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,218,347,264
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_248501
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -175,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,430,643,864
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 38.28
Operating Cashflow 1,020,000,000
Operating Margins -0.02927
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.2
Phone 206 392 5040
Pre Market Change 0.21500015
Pre Market Change Percent 0.56840754
Pre Market Price 38.04
Pre Market Time 1,791,964,863
Previous Close 38.06
Price Eps Current Year -11.055038
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1494148
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.2857378
Profit Margins -0.011849999
Quick Ratio 0.465
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.25
Regular Market Change Percent -0.656858
Regular Market Day High 38.7
Regular Market Day Low 37.16
Regular Market Day Range 37.16 - 38.7
Regular Market Open 38.28
Regular Market Previous Close 38.06
Regular Market Price 37.81
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 3,386,755
Return On Assets -0.00093999994
Return On Equity -0.04598
Revenue Growth 0.097
Revenue Per Share 129.463
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 111,566,970
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1082
Shares Short 12,074,974
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 11,286,829
Short Name Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1216
Short Ratio 4.38
Source Interval 15
State WA
Symbol ALK
Target High Price 92.0
Target Low Price 37.0
Target Mean Price 55.25
Target Median Price 51.0
Total Cash 2,662,000,128
Total Cash Per Share 23.852
Total Debt 7,616,000,000
Total Revenue 14,762,999,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.59
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 45.04775
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.237747
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.16066834
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,386,755
Website https://www.alaskaair.com
Zip 98,188