Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)Industrials | Airlines | Seattle, United States | NYSE
45.40 USD
+4.25
(10.328%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 45.70 +0.30 (0.661%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:15 a.m. EDT
Alaska Air is currently plagued by near-term volatility fear stemming from downstream risks (tailplane cracks) forcing a likely conservative earnings outlook, which has spooked short-term hedgers. However, the massive 12-13% surge in recent price action and analyst 'strong buy' consensus based on strong growth forecasts indicate that the market is now well past valuation concerns and is positioned for a multi-year recovery play, ignoring the immediate technical noise. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.178736 |
| AutoETS | 0.179233 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.179234 |
| AutoTheta | 0.242925 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 13.71 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.095 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.55 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2020-02-13 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2020-02-13 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 167.387 |
| Revenue per Share | 120.495 |
| Market Cap | 5,204,721,664 |
| Trailing P/E | 54.70 |
| Forward P/E | 6.46 |
| Beta | 1.28 |
| Profit Margins | 0.70% |
| Website | https://www.alaskaair.com |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:15 a.m. EDT: The options market displays a highly nuanced defensive setup. For the immediate 1-week expiry (April 17), there is a massive mismatch in sentiment: ATM put options have 96% OTM positioning and 352 volume vs 22 volume for calls, suggesting heavy hedging or speculation of downside to break 20-35 (implied by high IV spikes at strikes 20 and 35). However, long-dated calls (April 17 to November) show significantly higher bullish positioning (OTM position 0.76% - 0.80%), with large Open Interest walls at 50 and 60 strikes. The disparity in volume between puts and calls at the 22 Jan expirations suggests speculators are buying protection against a potential earnings miss or operational hiccup, while capital is long-term bullish on target price upside.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-14 | 0.37500 | 0.567236 |
| 2019-11-18 | 0.35000 | 0.502405 |
| 2019-08-19 | 0.35000 | 0.583832 |
| 2019-05-20 | 0.35000 | 0.574346 |
| 2019-02-15 | 0.35000 | 0.539527 |
| 2018-11-19 | 0.32000 | 0.488668 |
| 2018-08-20 | 0.32000 | 0.494358 |
| 2018-05-21 | 0.32000 | 0.573117 |
| 2018-02-16 | 0.32000 | 0.513928 |
| 2017-11-20 | 0.30000 | 0.475873 |
| 2017-08-18 | 0.30000 | 0.402778 |
| 2017-05-19 | 0.30000 | 0.375037 |
| 2017-02-16 | 0.30000 | 0.329216 |
| 2016-11-10 | 0.27500 | 0.390420 |
| 2016-08-16 | 0.27500 | 0.445154 |
| 2016-05-20 | 0.27500 | 0.452429 |
| 2016-02-19 | 0.27500 | 0.409559 |
| 2015-11-13 | 0.20000 | 0.284748 |
| 2015-08-14 | 0.20000 | 0.272438 |
| 2015-05-19 | 0.20000 | 0.324539 |
| 2015-02-20 | 0.20000 | 0.339966 |
| 2014-11-14 | 0.12500 | 0.247052 |
| 2014-08-15 | 0.12500 | 0.301414 |
| 2014-05-21 | 0.12500 | 0.286614 |
| 2014-02-21 | 0.12500 | 0.337901 |
| 2013-11-15 | 0.10000 | 0.292511 |
| 2013-08-02 | 0.10000 | 0.351223 |
| 1992-10-08 | 0.01250 | 0.350244 |
| 1992-07-09 | 0.01250 | 0.295492 |
| 1992-04-09 | 0.01250 | 0.319550 |
| 1992-01-09 | 0.01250 | 0.254906 |
| 1991-10-08 | 0.01250 | 0.279279 |
| 1991-07-09 | 0.01250 | 0.246305 |
| 1991-04-09 | 0.01250 | 0.228158 |
| 1991-01-09 | 0.01250 | 0.312175 |
| 1990-10-05 | 0.01250 | 0.333755 |
| 1990-07-09 | 0.01250 | 0.251522 |
| 1990-04-06 | 0.01250 | 0.240142 |
| 1990-01-08 | 0.01250 | 0.265838 |
| 1989-10-06 | 0.01250 | 0.212183 |
| 1989-07-10 | 0.01250 | 0.202282 |
| 1989-04-10 | 0.01250 | 0.231153 |
| 1989-01-09 | 0.01250 | 0.279349 |
| 1988-10-07 | 0.01000 | 0.208834 |
| 1988-07-11 | 0.01000 | 0.237371 |
| 1988-04-11 | 0.01000 | 0.276914 |
| 1988-01-11 | 0.01000 | 0.317892 |
| 1987-07-09 | 0.01000 | 0.222018 |
| 1987-04-09 | 0.01000 | 0.204223 |
| 1987-01-09 | 0.01000 | 0.204571 |
| 1986-10-08 | 0.01000 | 0.237372 |
| 1986-07-09 | 0.01000 | 0.298306 |
| 1986-04-09 | 0.01000 | 0.235514 |
| 1986-01-09 | 0.01000 | 0.304506 |
| 1985-10-08 | 0.01000 | 0.222676 |
| 1985-07-09 | 0.01000 | 0.200664 |
| 1985-04-09 | 0.00875 | 0.217258 |
| 1985-01-08 | 0.00875 | 0.270733 |
| 1984-10-10 | 0.00875 | 0.330476 |
| 1984-07-10 | 0.00875 | 0.380361 |
| 1984-04-10 | 0.00875 | 0.339154 |
| 1984-01-10 | 0.00875 | 0.287782 |
| 1983-10-18 | 0.00750 | 0.245182 |
| 1983-06-09 | 0.00750 | 0.199931 |
| 1983-03-21 | 0.00750 | 0.266413 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.03937733 |
| Address1 | 19,300 International Boulevard |
| All Time High | 101.43 |
| All Time Low | 0.765306 |
| Ask | 46.0 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,852,000 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 4,497,229 |
| Average Volume | 4,497,229 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,852,000 |
| Beta | 1.275 |
| Bid | 45.5 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 35.644 |
| City | Seattle |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 45.4 |
| Current Ratio | 0.496 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 47.2725 |
| Day Low | 43.4079 |
| Debt To Equity | 167.387 |
| Display Name | Alaska Air |
| Dividend Date | 1,441,065,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,776,785,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,776,785,400 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.683 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.704 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,776,715,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,776,715,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,776,715,200 |
| Ebitda | 1,271,000,064 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.08926 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 7.848 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.701 |
| Enterprise Value | 9,974,721,536 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.50969 |
| Eps Forward | 7.02779 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.83 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,581,638,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 45.1302 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.2698021 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.005978305 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 3.9377332 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 65.88 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -20.479996 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3108682 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 33.03 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 12.370003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.3745081 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 33.03 - 65.88 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 322,151,400,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 1.95 |
| Float Shares | 113,893,988 |
| Forward Eps | 7.02779 |
| Forward P E | 6.4600677 |
| Free Cashflow | -199,000,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 31,996 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.21511 |
| Gross Profits | 3,063,000,064 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00524 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.93109 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 114,641,450 |
| Industry | Airlines |
| Industry Disp | Airlines |
| Industry Key | airlines |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=109361&p=irol-IRHome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,581,638,400 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.375 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,404,950,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington. |
| Long Name | Alaska Air Group, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 5,204,721,664 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_248501 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 100,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 5,144,281,173 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 43.72 |
| Operating Cashflow | 1,248,999,936 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03194 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.2 |
| Phone | 206 392 5040 |
| Post Market Change | 0.29999924 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.6607913 |
| Post Market Price | 45.7 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,400 |
| Previous Close | 41.15 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 89.07375 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.2737067 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.3655258 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0070200004 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.408 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 4.25 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 10.3281 |
| Regular Market Day High | 47.2725 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 43.4079 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 43.4079 - 47.2725 |
| Regular Market Open | 43.72 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 41.15 |
| Regular Market Price | 45.4 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,003 |
| Regular Market Volume | 8,518,498 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01729 |
| Return On Equity | 0.023559999 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.028 |
| Revenue Per Share | 120.495 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 113,310,158 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1333 |
| Shares Short | 15,100,475 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,768,597 |
| Short Name | Alaska Air Group, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1495 |
| Short Ratio | 2.83 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | WA |
| Symbol | ALK |
| Target High Price | 94.0 |
| Target Low Price | 41.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 57.84375 |
| Target Median Price | 54.5 |
| Total Cash | 2,123,000,064 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 18.519 |
| Total Debt | 6,893,000,192 |
| Total Revenue | 14,238,999,552 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.83 |
| Trailing P E | 54.6988 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 49.4447 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -4.044697 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.081802435 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 8,518,498 |
| Website | https://www.alaskaair.com |
| Zip | 98,188 |