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Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB)

Technology | Semiconductors | San Jose, United States | NasdaqGS
362.05 USD -50.92 (-12.330%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 355.00 -7.05 (-7.050%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★★Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7 a.m. EDT

Astera Labs represents a rare case where the business fundamentals are exceptional enough to justify a five-star long-term rating despite a valuation that many analysts find excessive. The company is delivering nearly 100% revenue growth with industry-leading margins and a fortress balance sheet, creating a dominant position in AI connectivity. However, the current price trades significantly above the average analyst target, creating a tension between the company's explosive growth and the market's risk aversion. Short-term momentum remains strong with the stock trading well above its moving averages, but the high beta and wide dispersion in analyst targets suggest volatility is the norm rather than the exception. Investors should view this as a high-conviction growth play that requires tolerance for significant price swings.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.376838
MSTL0.494566
AutoETS0.506610
AutoARIMA0.506857

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 28.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.108
Excess Kurtosis -1.29
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.801
Revenue per Share 5.951
Market Cap 62,058,242,048
Trailing P/E 242.99
Forward P/E 84.05
Beta 3.67
Profit Margins 26.72%
Website https://www.asteralabs.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated across all expirations, signaling a market expecting sharp moves in either direction. Call buyers are positioning for upside rallies toward the $460 to $670 range, while put buyers are aggressively hedging downside risks below $350. The heavy open interest at both extremes suggests a high-risk environment where traders are betting on continued momentum while simultaneously protecting against a potential correction.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 3.5722985
Address1 2,345 North First Street
All Time High 499.476
All Time Low 36.215
Ask 432.96
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,277,610
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,135,159
Average Volume 6,135,159
Average Volume10Days 5,277,610
Beta 3.671
Bid 334.88
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 8.722
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 362.05
Current Ratio 11.3
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 403.51
Day Low 350.095
Debt To Equity 2.801
Display Name Astera Labs
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Earnings Growth 1.444
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.524
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Ebitda 233,384,992
Ebitda Margins 0.23305
Enterprise To Ebitda 261.009
Enterprise To Revenue 60.828
Enterprise Value 60,915,621,888
Eps Current Year 3.01022
Eps Forward 4.30734
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.49
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 325.1666
Fifty Day Average Change 36.883392
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.11342922
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 357.22986
Fifty Two Week High 499.476
Fifty Two Week High Change -137.42603
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2751404
Fifty Two Week Low 88.185
Fifty Two Week Low Change 273.865
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.1055734
Fifty Two Week Range 88.185 - 499.476
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,710,941,400,000
Float Shares 153,984,322
Forward Eps 4.30734
Forward P E 84.05419
Free Cashflow 240,004,880
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 756
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.75988996
Gross Profits 760,990,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.10734
Held Percent Institutions 0.75202006
Implied Shares Outstanding 171,407,939
Industry Semiconductors
Industry Disp Semiconductors
Industry Key semiconductors
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-03-20
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Astera Labs, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure in Taiwan and the United States. It offers an intelligent connectivity platform, comprised of semiconductor-based, high-speed, mixed-signal connectivity products that integrate a matrix of microcontrollers and sensors, and COSMOS. The company provides COSMOS software suite, a connectivity system management and optimization software that enables management and optimization of resources for large fleets at cloud-scale via link, fleet, and RAS management capabilities. In addition, it offers PCIe/CXL smart DSP retimers and cable modules; ethernet smart cable modules for cloud and AI infrastructure; CXL memory connectivity controllers; and smart fabric switches. The company serves hyperscalers and system original equipment manufacturers. Astera Labs, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in San Jose, California.
Long Name Astera Labs, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 62,058,242,048
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_558258765
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 267,624,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 70,786,336,568
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 400.685
Operating Cashflow 383,400,000
Operating Margins 0.20052
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 408 766 3806
Post Market Change -7.049988
Post Market Change Percent -1.9472415
Post Market Price 355.0
Post Market Time 1,783,987,196
Previous Close 412.97
Price Eps Current Year 120.2736
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 41.50997
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 61.96876
Profit Margins 0.26724002
Quick Ratio 10.55
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.88462
Region US
Regular Market Change -50.92
Regular Market Change Percent -12.3302
Regular Market Day High 403.51
Regular Market Day Low 350.095
Regular Market Day Range 350.095 - 403.51
Regular Market Open 400.685
Regular Market Previous Close 412.97
Regular Market Price 362.05
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 6,245,835
Return On Assets 0.10067
Return On Equity 0.21110001
Revenue Growth 0.934
Revenue Per Share 5.951
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 171,407,939
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.074
Shares Short 12,676,294
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 11,906,625
Short Name Astera Labs, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.097399995
Short Ratio 1.96
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ALAB
Target High Price 460.0
Target Low Price 155.0
Target Mean Price 272.46774
Target Median Price 265.0
Total Cash 1,184,473,984
Total Cash Per Share 6.91
Total Debt 41,850,000
Total Revenue 1,001,443,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.49
Trailing P E 242.98657
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 199.76366
Two Hundred Day Average Change 162.28633
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.8123917
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,245,835
Website https://www.asteralabs.com
Zip 95,131