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Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (AKBA)

Healthcare | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Cambridge, United States | NasdaqCM
1.43 USD +0.03 (1.779%) ⇧ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:18 a.m. EDT

Akebia (AKBA) is trapped between analyst-driven 'Strong Buy' momentum and institutional hedging that is actively throttling rallies using the $2.00 strike as a hard ceiling. The stock's high short ratio (~9x) implies deep bearish sentiment from those holding cash, offsetting the 'Strong Buy' ratings. Fundamentally, this is a distressed play on kidney disease therapies with negative EPS; the only catalyst for a rating upgrade above 2 is seeing TRIAL results (human testing of hASCs) in the next 30 days to trigger a gap past the July options barrier.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.098621
MSTL0.100352
AutoARIMA0.102789
AutoTheta0.114807

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.385
Excess Kurtosis -0.58
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 609.574
Revenue per Share 0.918
Market Cap 383,067,296
Forward P/E -15.05
Beta 0.37
Profit Margins -2.26%
Website https://www.akebia.com

As of April 19, 2026, 1:18 a.m. EDT: Options flow indicates deep defensive positioning with weighted Iron Condor plays at the $1.0-$2.5 strikes for the July 17 expiration. This massive Open Interest (OI) pile creates significant resistance to any immediate upside breakout. Conversely, the near-term April and May expirations show minimal put activity, yet the April 17 ATM IV skews moderate (3-4%), suggesting a market pricing in a range-bound environment between current prices and the $2.00 resistance cap.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.33177572
Address1 245 First Street
Address2 Suite 1400
All Time High 31.0
All Time Low 0.241
Ask 1.81
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,561,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,085,336
Average Volume 3,085,336
Average Volume10Days 2,561,830
Beta 0.37
Bid 1.02
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value 0.123
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.43
Current Ratio 1.552
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 1.45
Day Low 1.4
Debt To Equity 609.574
Display Name Akebia Therapeutics
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,110,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,110,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,772,112,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda 27,273,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11547
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.557
Enterprise To Revenue 1.681
Enterprise Value 397,005,312
Eps Current Year 0.015
Eps Forward -0.095
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.02
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 617 871 2099
Fifty Day Average 1.3619
Fifty Day Average Change 0.068099976
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.050003655
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -33.177574
Fifty Two Week High 4.079
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.6490002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6494239
Fifty Two Week Low 1.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.28999996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25438595
Fifty Two Week Range 1.14 - 4.079
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,395,322,200,000
Float Shares 262,205,557
Forward Eps -0.095
Forward P E -15.052631
Free Cashflow 68,613,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 194
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.82915
Gross Profits 195,843,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04065
Held Percent Institutions 0.47546002
Implied Shares Outstanding 267,879,239
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Industry Disp Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Industry Key drug-manufacturers-specialty-generic
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for patients with kidney diseases. Its product portfolio includes Vafseo (vadadustat), an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase, for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in dialysis-dependent (DD) and non-dialysis dependent (NDD) patients; and Auryxia, a ferric citrate that is used to control the serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with DD-CKD and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia in adult patients with NDD-CKD. The company is also developing AKB-9090, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for treating cardiac surgery-related acute kidney injury and acute respiratory distress syndrome; and AKB-10108 for the treatment of retinopathy of prematurity in neonates. The company has license and collaboration agreements with Tanabe Pharma Corporation for the development and commercialization of Vafseo in Japan and other Asian countries; Vafseo License and Collaboration Agreements; CSL Vifor Agreements; Averoa License Agreement; License Agreement with Panion & BF Biotech, Inc.; Cyclerion Therapeutics License Agreement; and Q32 Asset Purchase Agreement. Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Long Name Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 383,067,296
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36644983
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -5,345,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 383,067,311
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 1.41
Operating Cashflow 67,992,000
Operating Margins -0.10496
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 871 2098
Pre Market Change 0.0
Pre Market Change Percent 0.0
Pre Market Price 1.43
Pre Market Time 1,776,772,480
Previous Close 1.405
Price Eps Current Year 95.33333
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 11.626016
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6218196
Profit Margins -0.02263
Quick Ratio 1.423
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.2
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.025
Regular Market Change Percent 1.77936
Regular Market Day High 1.45
Regular Market Day Low 1.4
Regular Market Day Range 1.4 - 1.45
Regular Market Open 1.41
Regular Market Previous Close 1.405
Regular Market Price 1.43
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,200
Regular Market Volume 1,949,399
Return On Assets 0.054429997
Revenue Growth 0.239
Revenue Per Share 0.918
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 267,879,239
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.09810001
Shares Short 26,266,098
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 29,692,868
Short Name Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0991
Short Ratio 9.32
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol AKBA
Target High Price 6.0
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 4.4
Target Median Price 4.0
Total Cash 184,844,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.69
Total Debt 198,782,000
Total Revenue 236,196,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.02
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.210075
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.78007495
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.35296312
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,949,399
Website https://www.akebia.com
Zip 2,142