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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)

Financial Services | Insurance Brokers | Rolling Meadows, United States | NYSE
267.56 USD +7.41 (2.848%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 250.73 -16.83 (-16.830%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:43 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:20 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains robust, driven by exceptional top-line expansion and a flawless nine-year price trajectory. While earnings growth has stumbled recently, the forward valuation looks reasonable, and the business quality is evident in the consistent revenue surge. The short-term picture is mixed; price momentum is positive, but the statistical forecast leans slightly negative, and options flow shows investors buying protection against a dip. The dividend is a steady, safe anchor rather than a high-yield attraction, suitable for income preservation. Overall, this is a solid long-term buy where the recent earnings miss is likely a temporary hurdle in a much larger growth story.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.132327
AutoARIMA0.133589
AutoETS0.133673
AutoTheta0.138018

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.15
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.001
Excess Kurtosis 0.97
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-04
Debt to Equity Ratio 59.401
Revenue per Share 58.836
Market Cap 68,586,594,304
Trailing P/E 43.09
Forward P/E 17.97
Beta 0.50
Profit Margins 10.38%
Website https://www.ajg.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound scenario with a bullish bias. There is significant hedging activity at lower strikes (195-200) for the near term, indicated by high put volume and implied volatility, suggesting a fear of a pullback. Conversely, call interest clusters around 280-290 strikes, implying a belief that the stock can advance further if it holds current levels. The skew in implied volatility favors downside protection, while open interest walls suggest key support and resistance zones.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.32% 1.12% 0.96% 1.04%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-05 0.7000 0.323864
2026-03-06 0.7000 0.306843
2025-12-05 0.6500 0.271161
2025-09-05 0.6500 0.217261
2025-06-06 0.6500 0.197713
2025-03-07 0.6500 0.200617
2024-12-06 0.6000 0.202218
2024-09-06 0.6000 0.203950
2024-06-07 0.6000 0.236658
2024-02-29 0.6000 0.245972
2023-11-30 0.5500 0.220884
2023-08-31 0.5500 0.238632
2023-06-01 0.5500 0.272102
2023-03-02 0.5500 0.294086
2022-12-01 0.5100 0.255357
2022-09-01 0.5100 0.280837
2022-06-02 0.5100 0.310276
2022-03-03 0.5100 0.321949
2021-12-02 0.4800 0.288254
2021-09-02 0.4800 0.329173
2021-06-03 0.4800 0.331996
2021-03-04 0.4800 0.398142
2020-12-03 0.4500 0.388702
2020-09-03 0.4500 0.430293
2020-06-04 0.4500 0.458248
2020-03-05 0.4500 0.440701
2019-12-05 0.4300 0.462863
2019-09-05 0.4300 0.479215
2019-06-06 0.4300 0.492498
2019-02-28 0.4300 0.535625
2018-12-06 0.4100 0.546230
2018-09-06 0.4100 0.555104
2018-05-31 0.4100 0.618588
2018-03-01 0.4100 0.599678
2017-11-30 0.3900 0.592435
2017-08-30 0.3900 0.674507
2017-05-31 0.3900 0.687467
2017-03-01 0.3900 0.675208
2016-11-30 0.3800 0.754717
2016-08-31 0.3800 0.769075
2016-06-01 0.3800 0.793319
2016-03-02 0.3800 0.942694
2015-12-02 0.3700 0.851358
2015-09-02 0.3700 0.872436
2015-06-03 0.3700 0.766839
2015-03-02 0.3700 0.788072
2014-12-03 0.3600 0.747664
2014-09-03 0.3600 0.771208
2014-06-04 0.3600 0.778884
2014-02-28 0.3600 0.779221
2013-12-02 0.3500 0.756593
2013-08-30 0.3500 0.846638
2013-05-31 0.3500 0.801282
2013-02-28 0.3500 0.909563
2012-11-29 0.3400 0.936639
2012-09-26 0.3400 0.946021
2012-06-27 0.3400 0.995025
2012-03-28 0.3400 0.945758
2011-12-28 0.3300 0.987137
2011-09-28 0.3300 1.264368
2011-06-28 0.3300 1.177730
2011-03-29 0.3300 1.085526
2010-12-29 0.3200 1.094391
2010-09-28 0.3200 1.224646
2010-06-28 0.3200 1.260339
2010-03-29 0.3200 1.282565
2009-12-29 0.3200 1.398601
2009-09-28 0.3200 1.284625
2009-06-26 0.3200 1.503053
2009-03-27 0.3200 1.855072
2008-12-29 0.3200 1.291885
2008-09-26 0.3200 1.186064
2008-06-26 0.3200 1.293452
2008-03-27 0.3200 1.355358
2007-12-27 0.3100 1.266857
2007-09-26 0.3100 1.060192
2007-06-27 0.3100 1.099291
2007-03-28 0.3100 1.098512
2006-12-27 0.3000 0.997340
2006-09-27 0.3000 1.111935
2006-06-28 0.3000 1.192843
2006-03-29 0.3000 1.081471
2005-12-28 0.2800 0.904685
2005-09-28 0.2800 0.973913
2005-06-28 0.2800 1.049869
2005-03-29 0.2800 0.970201
2004-12-29 0.2500 0.773036
2004-09-28 0.2500 0.762428
2004-06-28 0.2500 0.799233
2004-03-29 0.2500 0.781250
2003-12-29 0.1800 0.558140
2003-09-26 0.1800 0.640797
2003-06-26 0.1800 0.636943
2003-03-27 0.1800 0.724930
2002-12-27 0.1500 0.522102
2002-09-26 0.1500 0.600721
2002-06-26 0.1500 0.440012
2002-03-26 0.1300 0.402228
2001-12-27 0.1300 0.371641
2001-09-26 0.1300 0.393582
2001-06-27 0.1300 0.476714
2001-03-28 0.1300 0.497894
2000-12-27 0.1150 0.341690
2000-09-27 0.1150 0.402626
2000-06-28 0.1150 0.556732
2000-03-29 0.1150 0.768267
1999-12-29 0.1000 0.626836
1999-09-28 0.1000 0.755608
1999-06-28 0.1000 0.808081
1999-03-29 0.1000 0.860215
1998-12-29 0.0875 0.801144
1998-09-28 0.0875 0.838323
1998-06-26 0.0875 0.767123
1998-03-27 0.0875 0.788732
1997-12-29 0.0775 0.896926
1997-09-26 0.0775 0.843537
1997-06-26 0.0775 0.874780
1997-03-26 0.0775 0.953846
1996-12-27 0.0725 0.931727
1996-09-26 0.0725 0.837545
1996-06-26 0.0725 0.895753
1996-03-27 0.0725 0.800000
1995-12-27 0.0625 0.668896
1995-09-27 0.0625 0.719424
1995-06-28 0.0625 0.694444
1995-03-27 0.0625 0.714286
1994-12-23 0.0550 0.712551
1994-09-26 0.0550 0.664151
1994-06-24 0.0550 0.718367
1994-03-25 0.0550 0.768559
1993-12-27 0.0450 0.508834
1993-09-24 0.0450 0.582996
1993-06-24 0.0450 0.553846
1993-03-25 0.0450 0.539326
1992-12-24 0.0400 0.579186
1992-09-24 0.0400 0.603774
1992-06-24 0.0400 0.752941
1992-03-25 0.0400 0.646465
1991-12-24 0.0400 0.711111
1991-09-24 0.0400 0.831169
1991-06-24 0.0400 0.695652
1991-03-22 0.0400 0.571429
1990-12-24 0.0375 0.634921
1990-09-24 0.0375 0.710059
1990-06-25 0.0375 0.652174
1990-03-26 0.0375 0.628272
1989-12-22 0.0325 0.533333
1989-09-25 0.0325 0.597701
1989-06-26 0.0325 0.658228
1989-03-27 0.0325 0.722222
1988-12-23 0.0300 0.750000
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.8
dividendYield 1.08
exDividendDate 2026-09-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.7
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010378628
lastDividendValue 0.7
lastDividendDate 2026-06-05
dividendDate 2026-09-18

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.14019895
Address1 2,850 Golf Road
All Time High 351.23
All Time Low 1.71875
Ask 279.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,277,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,607,322
Average Volume 1,607,322
Average Volume10Days 1,277,310
Beta 0.502
Bid 267.56
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 6
Book Value 92.536
City Rolling Meadows
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 267.56
Current Ratio 1.053
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 268.91
Day Low 261.765
Debt To Equity 59.401
Display Name Arthur J. Gallagher &
Dividend Date 1,789,689,600
Dividend Rate 2.8
Dividend Yield 1.08
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,446,100
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,446,100
Earnings Growth -0.107
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.12
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Ebitda 4,288,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.2838
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.966
Enterprise To Revenue 5.383
Enterprise Value 81,325,629,440
Eps Current Year 13.18336
Eps Forward 14.89075
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.21
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,825,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 247.8508
Fifty Day Average Change 19.709198
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07952041
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -14.019895
Fifty Two Week High 313.55
Fifty Two Week High Change -45.98999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14667514
Fifty Two Week Low 190.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 76.81
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.40267363
Fifty Two Week Range 190.75 - 313.55
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 456,586,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.01
Float Shares 253,531,960
Forward Eps 14.89075
Forward P E 17.968203
Free Cashflow 2,082,300,032
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 67,456
Fullday Change 7.41
Fullday Change Percent 2.84836
Fullday Price 250.73
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.43186
Gross Profits 6,525,000,192
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00866
Held Percent Institutions 0.95558
Implied Shares Outstanding 256,341,000
Industry Insurance Brokers
Industry Disp Insurance Brokers
Industry Key insurance-brokers
Ir Website http://investor.ajg.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=104111&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,617,600
Last Dividend Value 0.7
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 979,862,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to entities and individuals worldwide. The company operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments. Its Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance and reinsurance brokerage services; assists retail brokers and other non-affiliated brokers in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance; and acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter for distributing specialized insurance coverages to underwriting enterprises. This segment performs activities, including marketing, underwriting, issuing policies, collecting premiums, appointing and supervising other agents, paying claims, and negotiating reinsurance; and offers services in the areas of insurance and reinsurance placement, risk of loss management, and management of employer sponsored benefit programs. The Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services; and claims management, loss control consulting, and insurance property appraisal services. The company offers its services through a network of correspondent brokers and consultants. It serves commercial, industrial, public, religious, and nonprofit entities, as well as underwriting enterprises. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.
Long Name Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Market us_market
Market Cap 68,586,594,304
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_252186
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,568,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 66,687,111,150
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 260.5
Operating Cashflow 2,448,999,936
Operating Margins 0.1916
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.44779998
Peg Ratio 0.89
Phone (630) 773-3800
Post Market Change -16.830002
Post Market Change Percent -6.290179
Post Market Price 250.73
Post Market Time 1,787,960,590
Previous Close 260.15
Price Eps Current Year 20.29528
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.891415
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.539453
Profit Margins 0.10378
Quick Ratio 0.173
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.72727
Region US
Regular Market Change 7.41
Regular Market Change Percent 2.84836
Regular Market Day High 268.91
Regular Market Day Low 261.765
Regular Market Day Range 261.765 - 268.91
Regular Market Open 260.5
Regular Market Previous Close 260.15
Regular Market Price 267.56
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 1,151,306
Return On Assets 0.02317
Return On Equity 0.06722
Revenue Growth 0.309
Revenue Per Share 58.836
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 256,341,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0228
Shares Short 5,846,996
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,990,928
Short Name Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0231
Short Ratio 4.34
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol AJG
Target High Price 388.0
Target Low Price 250.0
Target Mean Price 291.55557
Target Median Price 288.5
Total Cash 1,386,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.408
Total Debt 14,106,000,384
Total Revenue 15,109,000,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.7
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010378628
Trailing Eps 6.21
Trailing P E 43.085346
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8579
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 233.68794
Two Hundred Day Average Change 33.872055
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.14494567
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,151,306
Website https://www.ajg.com
Zip 60,008-4050