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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | McLean, United States | NasdaqGM
6.87 USD +0.82 (13.554%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:36 a.m. EDT

The investment case for AIRO is currently broken by a severe fundamental deterioration. The company is burning cash aggressively, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both deeply negative, while revenue has contracted by nearly 25%. This financial distress is compounded by a massive gap between the current share price and the book value of the company, suggesting the market has already priced in a significant loss of enterprise value. Although analysts maintain lofty price targets, these appear disconnected from the reality of a shrinking business with no earnings power. On the short-term front, the stock is technically weak, trading well below its moving averages, and the options market confirms this pessimism with heavy put buying. There is no dividend to provide income, and the lack of recent price history prevents any assessment of long-term trajectory, leaving the security as a speculative trap for those ignoring the deteriorating fundamentals.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.095672
MSTL0.099667
AutoETS0.103176
AutoARIMA0.103177
MSTL_540.114138

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 3.08
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.768
Excess Kurtosis -0.10
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.603
Revenue per Share 3.209
Market Cap 216,031,568
Forward P/E -36.16
Profit Margins -19.98%
Website https://www.theairogroup.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, with open interest heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money puts across all expirations. While there is some call activity at strikes significantly above the current price (15.0 and 17.5), the volume and open interest in the put market suggest a dominant bearish sentiment, with traders betting on further declines rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.7362764
Address1 8,444 Westpark Drive
Address2 Suite 840
All Time High 39.07
All Time Low 5.71
Ask 8.23
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 450,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 559,650
Average Volume 559,650
Average Volume10Days 450,070
Bid 4.95
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 22.981
City McLean
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.87
Current Ratio 2.944
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 7.01
Day Low 6.42
Debt To Equity 0.603
Display Name AIRO
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,760,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,760,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,624,200
Ebitda -30,841,000
Ebitda Margins -0.35041
Enterprise To Ebitda -5.388
Enterprise To Revenue 1.888
Enterprise Value 166,160,576
Eps Current Year -0.63
Eps Forward -0.19
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.58
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.4821
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6121001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0818086
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -73.62764
Fifty Two Week High 27.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.529999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.74927
Fifty Two Week Low 5.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.1599998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20315234
Fifty Two Week Range 5.71 - 27.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,749,821,400,000
Float Shares 17,302,337
Forward Eps -0.19
Forward P E -36.157894
Free Cashflow -27,987,216
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 223
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.56636
Gross Profits 49,847,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.31398
Held Percent Institutions 0.31085
Implied Shares Outstanding 31,445,644
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AIRO Group Holdings, Inc., a multi-faceted advanced Aerospace and Defense company in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. Its Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones. The Avionics segment develops, manufactures, and sells avionics for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and eVTOLs. This segment offers flight displays, connected panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors. The Training segment currently provides military pilot training, which includes adversary air, close air support, ISR, aircraft leasing, pilot training, ground liaison services, and JTAC, as well as full joint theatre ISR and simulated ground strike training and consulting services. Its Electric Air Mobility segment develops a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo applications through our Jaunt brand. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Long Name AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 216,031,568
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1932425608
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -17,584,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 216,031,574
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 6.46
Operating Cashflow -40,083,000
Operating Margins -1.92765
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 505 338 2434
Pre Market Change 0.10610008
Pre Market Change Percent 1.5443971
Pre Market Price 6.9761
Pre Market Time 1,784,116,191
Previous Close 6.0499997
Price Eps Current Year -10.904762
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.2989426
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.4545417
Profit Margins -0.19979
Quick Ratio 1.942
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.8200002
Regular Market Change Percent 13.553722
Regular Market Day High 7.01
Regular Market Day Low 6.42
Regular Market Day Range 6.42 - 7.01
Regular Market Open 6.46
Regular Market Previous Close 6.0499997
Regular Market Price 6.87
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,201
Regular Market Volume 801,270
Return On Assets -0.036760002
Return On Equity -0.027579999
Revenue Growth -0.245
Revenue Per Share 3.209
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 31,445,644
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1012
Shares Short 3,181,266
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,441,370
Short Name AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1311
Short Ratio 5.71
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol AIRO
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 16.0
Target Mean Price 18.0
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 54,227,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.724
Total Debt 4,356,000
Total Revenue 88,013,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.58
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.414675
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.5446749
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.34035388
Type Disp Equity
Volume 801,270
Website https://www.theairogroup.com
Zip 22,102