Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO)Consumer Defensive | Farm Products | Luxembourg, Luxembourg | NYSE
12.47 USD
-0.85
(-6.381%) ⇩
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 12.45 -0.02 (-0.016%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:47 a.m. EDT
Adecoagro is a classic 'high-beta trap' right now: analysts are capitulating (Citi downgrade, poor fundamentals), yet contrarian options money is aggressively betting on a multi-month rally. The immediate technical setup is a sell-the-dip for short-term noise traders, but the long-term chart structure and options flow suggest a high-conviction setup for patient hands looking at the 23-month breakouts. Buying deep out-of-the-money calls is the current smart-money play, whereas buying at current levels is a gamble against the near-term bears. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.216025 |
| AutoETS | 0.216025 |
| MSTL | 0.216184 |
| AutoTheta | 0.220461 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 121.48 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.052 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.71 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2025-11-02 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2025-05-01 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 108.778 |
| Revenue per Share | 13.985 |
| Market Cap | 1,777,932,544 |
| Forward P/E | 9.36 |
| Beta | 0.06 |
| Profit Margins | -0.58% |
| Website | https://www.adecoagro.com |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:47 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows a sharp divergence in sentiment across timeframes. Trader sentiment in the immediate future (April 2026) is heavily skewed bearish, evidenced by another 165x volume-to-Open Interest (OI) ratio in support and immense OI positioning against calls at the $15 strike. This suggests a high probability of selling pressure or a 'pin remedy' cap near the low of the recent session. However, medium-term traders (May/June 2026) are overwhelmingly net bullish, exhibiting net long positioning in OTM calls (wells above 3.0x OI) while remaining net short in puts. This creates a classic 'long-dated momentum play' scenario where speculators are paying a premium now to bet on a recovery in months 2-3, likely anticipating a seasonal agricultural upswing or mean reversion from the recent decline, but doubt is still very near-term.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98% | 1.98% | 2.94% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-02 | 0.175 | 1.984127 |
| 2024-11-12 | 0.174 | 1.566974 |
| 2024-05-13 | 0.168 | 1.569820 |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.165 | 1.661496 |
| 2023-05-08 | 0.163 | 2.025511 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.160 | 2.027012 |
| 2022-04-29 | 0.157 | 1.547304 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.09290099 |
| Address1 | 28, Boulevard F.W. Raiffeisen |
| All Time High | 15.89 |
| All Time Low | 3.31 |
| Ask | 13.15 |
| Ask Size | 500 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.9 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,520,510 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,364,034 |
| Average Volume | 1,364,034 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,520,510 |
| Beta | 0.058 |
| Bid | 12.47 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Board Risk | 10 |
| Book Value | 11.61 |
| City | Luxembourg |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,356,912,000 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | Luxembourg |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 12.47 |
| Current Ratio | 1.382 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 12.6 |
| Day Low | 11.79 |
| Debt To Equity | 108.778 |
| Display Name | Adecoagro |
| Dividend Date | 1,763,510,400 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.35 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.81 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,773,756,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,773,756,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,529,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,529,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,529,600 |
| Ebitda | 249,360,992 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.17466 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 13.601 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.375 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,391,516,416 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.68081 |
| Eps Forward | 1.33172 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.05 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,762,128,000 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 11.5364 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.9336004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0809265 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 9.290099 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 15.89 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.42 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2152297 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 6.89 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.5800004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.80986947 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 6.89 - 15.89 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,296,225,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 27,548,687 |
| Forward Eps | 1.33172 |
| Forward P E | 9.363831 |
| Free Cashflow | 346,629,248 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.19287 |
| Gross Profits | 275,371,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.74262 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.14811 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 142,576,787 |
| Industry | Farm Products |
| Industry Disp | Farm Products |
| Industry Key | farm-products |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,746,144,000 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.175 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates and harvests sugarcane to produce sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity; and sells carbon credits. Further, it engages in land transformation activities, such as the acquisition of farmlands or businesses with underdeveloped or underutilized agricultural land; and the implementation of production technology and agricultural practices. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. As of May 1, 2025, Adecoagro S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tether Investments, S.A. De C.V. |
| Long Name | Adecoagro S.A. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,777,932,544 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_118300828 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -8,348,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,777,932,521 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 12.59 |
| Operating Cashflow | 308,518,016 |
| Operating Margins | 0.02401 |
| Overall Risk | 8 |
| Payout Ratio | 1.4914999 |
| Peg Ratio | 75.97 |
| Phone | 352 2644 9494 |
| Post Market Change | -0.015500069 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.12429886 |
| Post Market Price | 12.4545 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,400 |
| Previous Close | 13.32 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 7.419042 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.0740741 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.2452828 |
| Profit Margins | -0.00585 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.752 |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.85714 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.849999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -6.38138 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.6 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 11.79 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 11.79 - 12.6 |
| Regular Market Open | 12.59 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.32 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.47 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,002 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,344,643 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00794 |
| Return On Equity | -0.00422 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.111 |
| Revenue Per Share | 13.985 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 142,576,786 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0074 |
| Shares Short | 1,060,326 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,159,859 |
| Short Name | Adecoagro S.A. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.012200001 |
| Short Ratio | 0.43 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | AGRO |
| Target High Price | 16.2 |
| Target Low Price | 7.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 12.91429 |
| Target Median Price | 13.0 |
| Total Cash | 472,976,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.317 |
| Total Debt | 1,949,611,008 |
| Total Revenue | 1,427,734,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.05 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 9.138 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 3.3320007 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.3646313 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,344,643 |
| Website | https://www.adecoagro.com |
| Zip | 2,411 |