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AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCM)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Bethesda, United States | NasdaqGS
24.90 USD -0.03 (-0.120%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 24.90 0.00 (0.000%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4:10 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:08 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook remains neutral due to a lack of clear directional momentum. While the recent price action shows the stock hovering near its 50-day average, the statistical forecast offers virtually no edge, predicting a flat 0.01% move over the next 45 days with only moderate confidence. This suggests that short-term traders should not expect a catalyst to drive prices significantly higher or lower in the near term. Looking further ahead, the investment case faces headwinds despite the company's resilient operational metrics. Although the business generated positive operating cash flow and maintained healthy margins, the market has punished the equity with a multi-year decline in share price. The stock is currently trading at a discount to its book value, reflecting deep skepticism about the asset quality within its mortgage portfolio. This valuation gap, combined with a trailing twelve-month loss, indicates that the market views the current fundamentals as insufficient to justify the premium paid for the debt holdings, capping the long-term potential despite the company's ability to generate cash.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.013942
MSTL0.016443
AutoARIMA0.021281
AutoETS0.021310
AutoTheta0.021360
MSTL_900.022127
MSTL_90_1260.025928

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 65%
H-stat 0.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.187
Excess Kurtosis -0.54
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 722.896
Revenue per Share 1.498
Beta 1.30
Profit Margins 91.71%
Website https://agnc.com

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.11% 8.77% 8.67% 8.32%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.523 2.111425
2026-04-01 0.517 2.147010
2025-12-31 0.542 2.211342
2025-10-01 0.569 2.299919
2025-07-01 0.560 2.281059
2025-04-01 0.556 2.228457
2024-12-31 0.590 2.314633
2024-10-01 0.631 2.524000
2024-07-01 0.627 2.509004
2024-03-28 0.430 1.751528
2023-12-28 0.430 1.799163
2023-09-28 0.430 1.818182
2023-06-29 0.430 1.974288
2023-03-30 0.430 2.101662
2022-12-29 0.430 2.128713
2022-09-29 0.430 2.203998
2022-06-30 0.430 2.144638
2022-03-31 0.430 1.715882
2021-12-30 0.430 1.687598
2021-09-30 0.430 1.667960
2021-06-30 0.430 1.648773
2021-03-31 0.430 1.680344
2020-12-30 0.430 1.717938
2020-09-30 0.430 1.890110
2020-06-30 0.430 1.964367
2020-03-31 0.430 2.288451
2019-12-30 0.430 1.671851
2019-09-30 0.430 1.694915
2019-06-28 0.430 1.709742
2019-03-29 0.186 0.748792
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.15
dividendYield 8.63
exDividendDate 2026-07-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.44
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.057761736
lastDividendValue 0.523
lastDividendDate 2026-07-01
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.0064594746
Address1 7,373 Wisconsin Avenue
Address2 22nd Floor
All Time High 26.5
All Time Low 10.05
Ask 25.0
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 31,690
Average Daily Volume3 Month 17,495
Average Volume 17,495
Average Volume10Days 31,690
Beta 1.298
Bid 24.39
Bid Size 1
Book Value 8.898
City Bethesda
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.9001
Current Ratio 0.19
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 25.0
Day Low 24.84
Debt To Equity 722.896
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 2.15
Dividend Yield 8.63
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,745,325,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,745,325,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,753,444,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,753,095,540
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 62.488
Enterprise Value 100,292,550,656
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.86
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 301 968 9301
Fifty Day Average 24.97374
Fifty Day Average Change -0.073638916
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.002948654
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 0.64594746
Fifty Two Week High 25.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.43989944
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.017359883
Fifty Two Week Low 23.63
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2701015
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.05374954
Fifty Two Week Range 23.63 - 25.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,551,882,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 8.0
Float Shares 1,140,375,897
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 54
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 1,604,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.21302
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Ir Website http://ir.agnc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=219916&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Last Dividend Value 0.523
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Long Name AGNC Investment Corp.
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_41018622
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,302,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Open 24.93
Operating Cashflow 848,000,000
Operating Margins 1.29825
Phone 301 968 9315
Post Market Change -0.00010108948
Post Market Change Percent -0.0004059802
Post Market Price 24.9
Post Market Time 1,783,973,403
Previous Close 24.93
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.798393
Profit Margins 0.91713
Quick Ratio 0.172
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.029899597
Regular Market Change Percent -0.11993421
Regular Market Day High 25.0
Regular Market Day Low 24.84
Regular Market Day Range 24.84 - 25.0
Regular Market Open 24.93
Regular Market Previous Close 24.93
Regular Market Price 24.9001
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 7,599
Return On Assets 0.013710001
Return On Equity 0.13248
Revenue Per Share 1.498
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Shares Outstanding 477,832,000
Shares Short 26,526
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 20,885
Short Name AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit
Short Ratio 3.07
Source Interval 15
State MD
Symbol AGNCM
Total Cash 18,314,999,808
Total Cash Per Share 15.955
Total Debt 88,055,996,416
Total Revenue 1,604,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.44
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.057761736
Trailing Eps -1.86
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.79366
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.1064415
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0042930935
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,599
Website https://agnc.com
Zip 20,814