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AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Bethesda, United States | NasdaqGS
10.99 USD -0.14 (-1.258%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.99

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:46 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains deeply concerning due to a nearly 50% decline over the last nine years, driven by a persistent inability to generate positive annual returns for six of those years. Despite the company's ability to maintain a consistent monthly dividend, the payout ratio exceeds 100%, signaling that the distribution is currently funded by capital erosion rather than earnings. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity exceeding 700x and a current ratio well below 1.0, leaving the firm vulnerable to interest rate shifts. While the stock trades at a low multiple relative to book value, this appears to be a value trap reflecting structural deterioration in the mortgage REIT sector rather than a margin of safety. The recent price action shows a slight recovery, but the heavy options positioning for downside protection suggests investors remain wary of further weakness. For income seekers, the yield is attractive only if one accepts the risk of principal loss and potential dividend cuts; for growth investors, the trajectory is clearly broken.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.052476
AutoETS0.052476
AutoTheta0.053820
MSTL0.055544

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 56%
H-stat 1.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.186
Excess Kurtosis -1.17
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 722.896
Revenue per Share 1.498
Market Cap 12,615,741,440
Trailing P/E 8.59
Forward P/E 7.34
Beta 1.30
Profit Margins 91.71%
Website https://agnc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 9.0 and 10.0) across multiple expirations, which dwarfs call volume. This 'put wall' suggests a consensus fear of further price erosion rather than a rally. Conversely, there is notable call volume at the 11.5 strike, indicating some traders are betting on a bounce to test resistance, but the overwhelming inventory of downside protection implies the market expects volatility to the downside.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.10% 13.85% 14.77% 13.77%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.12 1.100917
2026-05-29 0.12 1.152738
2026-04-30 0.12 1.088929
2026-03-31 0.12 1.196411
2026-02-27 0.12 1.070473
2026-01-30 0.12 1.052632
2025-12-31 0.12 1.119403
2025-11-28 0.12 1.143947
2025-10-31 0.12 1.200000
2025-09-30 0.12 1.225741
2025-08-29 0.12 1.229508
2025-07-31 0.12 1.272534
2025-06-30 0.12 1.305767
2025-05-30 0.12 1.342282
2025-04-30 0.12 1.359003
2025-03-31 0.12 1.252610
2025-02-28 0.12 1.150527
2025-01-31 0.12 1.203611
2024-12-31 0.12 1.302932
2024-11-29 0.12 1.242236
2024-10-31 0.12 1.288937
2024-09-30 0.12 1.147228
2024-08-30 0.12 1.175318
2024-07-31 0.12 1.198801
2024-06-28 0.12 1.257862
2024-05-31 0.12 1.251303
2024-04-29 0.12 1.298701
2024-03-27 0.12 1.225741
2024-02-28 0.12 1.277955
2024-01-30 0.12 1.251303
2023-12-28 0.12 1.192843
2023-11-29 0.12 1.340782
2023-10-30 0.12 1.729107
2023-09-28 0.12 1.276596
2023-08-30 0.12 1.218274
2023-07-28 0.12 1.161665
2023-06-29 0.12 1.182266
2023-05-30 0.12 1.294498
2023-04-27 0.12 1.226994
2023-03-30 0.12 1.210898
2023-02-27 0.12 1.101928
2023-01-30 0.12 1.063830
2022-12-29 0.12 1.145038
2022-11-29 0.12 1.235839
2022-10-28 0.12 1.466993
2022-09-29 0.12 1.382488
2022-08-30 0.12 1.005025
2022-07-28 0.12 0.954654
2022-06-29 0.12 1.076233
2022-05-27 0.12 0.982801
2022-04-28 0.12 1.046207
2022-03-30 0.12 0.906344
2022-02-25 0.12 0.921659
2022-01-28 0.12 0.813008
2021-12-30 0.12 0.788955
2021-11-29 0.12 0.758054
2021-10-28 0.12 0.759494
2021-09-29 0.12 0.751409
2021-08-30 0.12 0.739372
2021-07-29 0.12 0.741656
2021-06-29 0.12 0.714286
2021-05-27 0.12 0.648298
2021-04-29 0.12 0.668524
2021-03-30 0.12 0.710480
2021-02-25 0.12 0.750469
2021-01-28 0.12 0.758534
2020-12-30 0.12 0.770713
2020-11-27 0.12 0.770713
2020-10-29 0.12 0.851064
2020-09-29 0.12 0.862069
2020-08-28 0.12 0.848656
2020-07-30 0.12 0.881057
2020-06-29 0.12 0.928074
2020-05-28 0.12 0.916730
2020-04-29 0.12 0.941915
2020-03-30 0.16 1.369863
2020-02-27 0.16 0.910643
2020-01-30 0.16 0.865801
2019-12-30 0.16 0.903444
2019-11-27 0.16 0.924321
2019-10-30 0.16 0.970874
2019-09-27 0.16 0.998752
2019-08-29 0.16 1.079622
2019-07-30 0.16 0.924856
2019-06-27 0.16 0.958658
2019-05-30 0.16 0.968523
2019-04-29 0.18 1.016375
2019-03-28 0.18 0.995575
2019-02-27 0.18 1.025641
2019-01-30 0.18 1.003344
2018-12-28 0.18 1.015228
2018-11-29 0.18 1.015228
2018-10-30 0.18 1.008969
2018-09-27 0.18 0.968784
2018-08-30 0.18 0.940439
2018-07-30 0.18 0.917899
2018-06-28 0.18 0.959488
2018-05-30 0.18 0.934579
2018-04-27 0.18 0.947867
2018-03-28 0.18 0.956938
2018-02-27 0.18 0.979325
2018-01-30 0.18 0.942408
2017-12-28 0.18 0.884956
2017-11-29 0.18 0.896861
2017-10-30 0.18 0.886263
2017-09-28 0.18 0.831793
2017-08-29 0.18 0.849057
2017-07-27 0.18 0.849457
2017-06-28 0.18 0.835655
2017-05-26 0.18 0.876766
2017-04-26 0.18 0.865385
2017-03-29 0.18 0.904523
2017-02-24 0.18 0.921187
2017-01-27 0.18 0.950872
2016-12-28 0.18 1.005025
2016-11-28 0.18 0.963597
2016-10-27 0.18 0.904977
2016-09-28 0.18 0.922131
2016-08-29 0.18 0.922131
2016-07-27 0.20 1.026167
2016-06-28 0.20 1.025115
2016-05-26 0.20 1.052078
2016-04-27 0.20 1.095290
2016-03-29 0.20 1.083424
2016-02-25 0.20 1.104362
2016-01-27 0.20 1.217285
2015-12-29 0.20 1.146789
2015-11-25 0.20 1.121076
2015-10-28 0.20 1.112347
2015-09-28 0.20 1.054296
2015-08-27 0.20 1.023018
2015-07-29 0.20 1.054852
2015-06-26 0.20 1.068376
2015-05-27 0.20 0.973710
2015-04-28 0.22 1.057184
2015-03-27 0.22 1.019462
2015-02-25 0.22 1.025163
2015-01-28 0.22 1.020882
2014-12-29 0.22 0.985663
2014-11-25 0.22 0.957354
2014-10-29 0.22 0.978648
2014-09-26 0.65 3.030303
2014-06-26 0.65 2.784919
2014-03-27 0.65 3.057385
2014-03-25 0.65 2.950522
2013-12-27 0.65 3.383655
2013-09-26 0.80 3.493450
2013-06-26 1.05 4.685408
2013-03-18 1.25 3.908693
2012-12-24 1.25 4.177807
2012-09-19 1.25 3.587830
2012-06-19 1.25 3.847337
2012-03-05 1.25 4.128137
2011-12-20 1.40 4.991087
2011-09-21 1.40 5.162242
2011-06-21 1.40 4.912281
2011-03-21 1.40 4.810997
2010-12-29 1.40 4.869565
2010-09-24 1.40 4.966300
2010-06-28 1.40 5.190953
2010-03-29 1.40 5.380476
2009-12-29 1.40 5.167959
2009-09-30 1.40 4.920914
2009-06-30 1.50 6.530257
2009-03-31 0.85 4.967855
2008-12-29 1.20 5.813954
2008-09-25 1.00 5.485464
2008-06-30 0.31 1.862981
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.44
dividendYield 12.94
exDividendDate 2026-07-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.44
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.12938006
lastDividendValue 0.12
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-08-11

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.19548869
Address1 7,373 Wisconsin Avenue
Address2 22nd Floor
All Time High 36.77
All Time Low 6.25
Ask 11.69
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 18,464,370
Average Daily Volume3 Month 15,174,872
Average Volume 15,174,872
Average Volume10Days 18,464,370
Beta 1.298
Bid 10.54
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 8.898
City Bethesda
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.99
Current Ratio 0.19
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 11.14
Day Low 10.95
Debt To Equity 722.896
Display Name AGNC Inv
Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Dividend Rate 1.44
Dividend Yield 12.94
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,664,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,577,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,577,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,577,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 52.539
Enterprise Value 84,324,745,216
Eps Current Year 1.5675
Eps Forward 1.49796
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.28
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 301 968 9301
Fifty Day Average 10.574
Fifty Day Average Change 0.4159994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.039341725
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 19.54887
Fifty Two Week High 12.19
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.1999998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09844133
Fifty Two Week Low 9.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8699999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20504385
Fifty Two Week Range 9.12 - 12.19
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,210,858,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 13.7
Float Shares 1,140,375,897
Forward Eps 1.49796
Forward P E 7.3366446
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 54
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 1,604,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00399
Held Percent Institutions 0.41162997
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,147,929,272
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Ir Website http://ir.agnc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=219916&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.12
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Long Name AGNC Investment Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,615,741,440
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_41018622
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,302,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,776,452,797
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 11.13
Operating Cashflow 848,000,000
Operating Margins 1.29825
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 1.125
Peg Ratio 3.48
Phone 301 968 9315
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 10.99
Post Market Time 1,783,987,175
Previous Close 11.13
Price Eps Current Year 7.011164
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.235109
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.8602753
Profit Margins 0.91713
Quick Ratio 0.172
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.53846
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.14
Regular Market Change Percent -1.25786
Regular Market Day High 11.14
Regular Market Day Low 10.95
Regular Market Day Range 10.95 - 11.14
Regular Market Open 11.13
Regular Market Previous Close 11.13
Regular Market Price 10.99
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 14,844,809
Return On Assets 0.013710001
Return On Equity 0.13248
Revenue Per Share 1.498
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 1,147,929,272
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.095699996
Shares Short 109,899,566
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 105,362,434
Short Name AGNC Investment Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.096099995
Short Ratio 7.16
Source Interval 15
State MD
Symbol AGNC
Target High Price 12.5
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 11.4375
Target Median Price 11.5
Total Cash 18,314,999,808
Total Cash Per Share 15.955
Total Debt 88,055,996,416
Total Revenue 1,604,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.44
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.12938006
Trailing Eps 1.28
Trailing P E 8.5859375
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.60815
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.38185024
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.035995934
Type Disp Equity
Volume 14,844,809
Website https://agnc.com
Zip 20,814