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AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Bethesda, United States | NasdaqGS
10.90 USD -0.04 (-0.366%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.95 +0.05 (0.457%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:11 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline; despite a recent slight recovery in price, the asset has lost over half its value since 2016, with six of the last nine years showing negative returns. This structural deterioration suggests the market views the business as fundamentally broken, rendering any 'value' narrative moot. While the headline yield is exceptionally high at 13.18%, this is a compensation for the severe capital destruction risk and the company's precarious balance sheet, which carries debt-to-equity leverage exceeding 700%. The short-term picture remains murky; while the price has stabilized recently, the statistical forecast offers no directional edge, and the heavy put positioning warns of continued volatility. Investors should view this as a speculative play on a distressed asset rather than a traditional income investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.025917
AutoTheta0.027203
AutoARIMA0.027452
AutoETS0.027453

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 0.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.891
Excess Kurtosis -0.05
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 717.093
Revenue per Share 2.171
Market Cap 12,921,747,456
Trailing P/E 5.45
Forward P/E 7.26
Beta 1.31
Profit Margins 94.38%
Website https://agnc.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 9.0, 9.5, 10.0) compared to negligible call volume. The implied volatility skew is extreme, with deep OTM puts trading at significantly higher IV than ATM options, indicating a market expectation of a sharp drop rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.13% 13.71% 14.76% 13.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-31 0.12 1.125704
2026-06-30 0.12 1.100917
2026-05-29 0.12 1.152738
2026-04-30 0.12 1.088929
2026-03-31 0.12 1.196411
2026-02-27 0.12 1.070473
2026-01-30 0.12 1.052632
2025-12-31 0.12 1.119403
2025-11-28 0.12 1.143947
2025-10-31 0.12 1.200000
2025-09-30 0.12 1.225741
2025-08-29 0.12 1.229508
2025-07-31 0.12 1.272534
2025-06-30 0.12 1.305767
2025-05-30 0.12 1.342282
2025-04-30 0.12 1.359003
2025-03-31 0.12 1.252610
2025-02-28 0.12 1.150527
2025-01-31 0.12 1.203611
2024-12-31 0.12 1.302932
2024-11-29 0.12 1.242236
2024-10-31 0.12 1.288937
2024-09-30 0.12 1.147228
2024-08-30 0.12 1.175318
2024-07-31 0.12 1.198801
2024-06-28 0.12 1.257862
2024-05-31 0.12 1.251303
2024-04-29 0.12 1.298701
2024-03-27 0.12 1.225741
2024-02-28 0.12 1.277955
2024-01-30 0.12 1.251303
2023-12-28 0.12 1.192843
2023-11-29 0.12 1.340782
2023-10-30 0.12 1.729107
2023-09-28 0.12 1.276596
2023-08-30 0.12 1.218274
2023-07-28 0.12 1.161665
2023-06-29 0.12 1.182266
2023-05-30 0.12 1.294498
2023-04-27 0.12 1.226994
2023-03-30 0.12 1.210898
2023-02-27 0.12 1.101928
2023-01-30 0.12 1.063830
2022-12-29 0.12 1.145038
2022-11-29 0.12 1.235839
2022-10-28 0.12 1.466993
2022-09-29 0.12 1.382488
2022-08-30 0.12 1.005025
2022-07-28 0.12 0.954654
2022-06-29 0.12 1.076233
2022-05-27 0.12 0.982801
2022-04-28 0.12 1.046207
2022-03-30 0.12 0.906344
2022-02-25 0.12 0.921659
2022-01-28 0.12 0.813008
2021-12-30 0.12 0.788955
2021-11-29 0.12 0.758054
2021-10-28 0.12 0.759494
2021-09-29 0.12 0.751409
2021-08-30 0.12 0.739372
2021-07-29 0.12 0.741656
2021-06-29 0.12 0.714286
2021-05-27 0.12 0.648298
2021-04-29 0.12 0.668524
2021-03-30 0.12 0.710480
2021-02-25 0.12 0.750469
2021-01-28 0.12 0.758534
2020-12-30 0.12 0.770713
2020-11-27 0.12 0.770713
2020-10-29 0.12 0.851064
2020-09-29 0.12 0.862069
2020-08-28 0.12 0.848656
2020-07-30 0.12 0.881057
2020-06-29 0.12 0.928074
2020-05-28 0.12 0.916730
2020-04-29 0.12 0.941915
2020-03-30 0.16 1.369863
2020-02-27 0.16 0.910643
2020-01-30 0.16 0.865801
2019-12-30 0.16 0.903444
2019-11-27 0.16 0.924321
2019-10-30 0.16 0.970874
2019-09-27 0.16 0.998752
2019-08-29 0.16 1.079622
2019-07-30 0.16 0.924856
2019-06-27 0.16 0.958658
2019-05-30 0.16 0.968523
2019-04-29 0.18 1.016375
2019-03-28 0.18 0.995575
2019-02-27 0.18 1.025641
2019-01-30 0.18 1.003344
2018-12-28 0.18 1.015228
2018-11-29 0.18 1.015228
2018-10-30 0.18 1.008969
2018-09-27 0.18 0.968784
2018-08-30 0.18 0.940439
2018-07-30 0.18 0.917899
2018-06-28 0.18 0.959488
2018-05-30 0.18 0.934579
2018-04-27 0.18 0.947867
2018-03-28 0.18 0.956938
2018-02-27 0.18 0.979325
2018-01-30 0.18 0.942408
2017-12-28 0.18 0.884956
2017-11-29 0.18 0.896861
2017-10-30 0.18 0.886263
2017-09-28 0.18 0.831793
2017-08-29 0.18 0.849057
2017-07-27 0.18 0.849457
2017-06-28 0.18 0.835655
2017-05-26 0.18 0.876766
2017-04-26 0.18 0.865385
2017-03-29 0.18 0.904523
2017-02-24 0.18 0.921187
2017-01-27 0.18 0.950872
2016-12-28 0.18 1.005025
2016-11-28 0.18 0.963597
2016-10-27 0.18 0.904977
2016-09-28 0.18 0.922131
2016-08-29 0.18 0.922131
2016-07-27 0.20 1.026167
2016-06-28 0.20 1.025115
2016-05-26 0.20 1.052078
2016-04-27 0.20 1.095290
2016-03-29 0.20 1.083424
2016-02-25 0.20 1.104362
2016-01-27 0.20 1.217285
2015-12-29 0.20 1.146789
2015-11-25 0.20 1.121076
2015-10-28 0.20 1.112347
2015-09-28 0.20 1.054296
2015-08-27 0.20 1.023018
2015-07-29 0.20 1.054852
2015-06-26 0.20 1.068376
2015-05-27 0.20 0.973710
2015-04-28 0.22 1.057184
2015-03-27 0.22 1.019462
2015-02-25 0.22 1.025163
2015-01-28 0.22 1.020882
2014-12-29 0.22 0.985663
2014-11-25 0.22 0.957354
2014-10-29 0.22 0.978648
2014-09-26 0.65 3.030303
2014-06-26 0.65 2.784919
2014-03-27 0.65 3.057385
2014-03-25 0.65 2.950522
2013-12-27 0.65 3.383655
2013-09-26 0.80 3.493450
2013-06-26 1.05 4.685408
2013-03-18 1.25 3.908693
2012-12-24 1.25 4.177807
2012-09-19 1.25 3.587830
2012-06-19 1.25 3.847337
2012-03-05 1.25 4.128137
2011-12-20 1.40 4.991087
2011-09-21 1.40 5.162242
2011-06-21 1.40 4.912281
2011-03-21 1.40 4.810997
2010-12-29 1.40 4.869565
2010-09-24 1.40 4.966300
2010-06-28 1.40 5.190953
2010-03-29 1.40 5.380476
2009-12-29 1.40 5.167959
2009-09-30 1.40 4.920914
2009-06-30 1.50 6.530257
2009-03-31 0.85 4.967855
2008-12-29 1.20 5.813954
2008-09-25 1.00 5.485464
2008-06-30 0.31 1.862981
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.44
dividendYield 13.16
exDividendDate 2026-08-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.44
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.13162707
lastDividendValue 0.12
lastDividendDate 2026-07-31
dividendDate 2026-09-10

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.11680329
Address1 7,373 Wisconsin Avenue
Address2 22nd Floor
All Time High 36.77
All Time Low 6.25
Ask 10.91
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 13,612,510
Average Daily Volume3 Month 16,764,561
Average Volume 16,764,561
Average Volume10Days 13,612,510
Beta 1.305
Bid 10.9
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 9.083
City Bethesda
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.9
Current Ratio 0.192
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 11.0
Day Low 10.88
Debt To Equity 717.093
Display Name AGNC Inv
Dividend Date 1,788,998,400
Dividend Rate 1.44
Dividend Yield 13.16
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,637,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,637,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,577,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,440,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,440,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 35.687
Enterprise Value 85,684,748,288
Eps Current Year 1.58313
Eps Forward 1.50122
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.0
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 301 968 9301
Fifty Day Average 10.8676
Fifty Day Average Change 0.032399178
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0029812632
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.680328
Fifty Two Week High 12.19
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.29
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10582445
Fifty Two Week Low 9.62
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2799997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1330561
Fifty Two Week Range 9.62 - 12.19
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,210,858,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 13.7
Float Shares 1,177,929,930
Forward Eps 1.50122
Forward P E 7.2607613
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 54
Fullday Change -0.04
Fullday Change Percent -0.36563
Fullday Price 10.9498
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 2,400,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0038400001
Held Percent Institutions 0.42747003
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,185,481,447
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Ir Website http://ir.agnc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=219916&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Last Dividend Value 0.12
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Long Name AGNC Investment Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,921,747,456
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_41018622
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,090,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,969,167,030
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 10.95
Operating Cashflow 886,000,000
Operating Margins 0.95614
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.71639997
Peg Ratio 3.48
Phone 301 968 9315
Post Market Change 0.04979992
Post Market Change Percent 0.45688
Post Market Price 10.9498
Post Market Time 1,787,961,493
Previous Close 10.94
Price Eps Current Year 6.8850946
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2000439
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.3818192
Profit Margins 0.94377
Quick Ratio 0.18
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.04
Regular Market Change Percent -0.36563
Regular Market Day High 11.0
Regular Market Day Low 10.88
Regular Market Day Range 10.88 - 11.0
Regular Market Open 10.95
Regular Market Previous Close 10.94
Regular Market Price 10.9
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 20,289,351
Return On Assets 0.02025
Return On Equity 0.19799
Revenue Per Share 2.171
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 1,185,481,447
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0888
Shares Short 105,315,393
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 108,144,310
Short Name AGNC Investment Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0892
Short Ratio 5.29
Source Interval 15
State MD
Symbol AGNC
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 11.05556
Target Median Price 11.0
Total Cash 19,150,000,128
Total Cash Per Share 16.154
Total Debt 89,944,997,888
Total Revenue 2,400,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.44
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.13162707
Trailing Eps 2.0
Trailing P E 5.45
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.75765
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.14234924
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.013232373
Type Disp Equity
Volume 20,289,351
Website https://agnc.com
Zip 20,814