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Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AGIO)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Cambridge, United States | NasdaqGS
40.55 USD -0.68 (-1.649%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 40.55

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:45 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst driving this trade is the FDA Priority Review tag for Mitapivat in sickle cell disease, which has ignited a speculative frenzy. However, the underlying business remains a classic biotech value trap: negative earnings, negative free cash flow, and a lack of commercial revenue. While the recent price action shows a massive intraday spike followed by a pullback, the technicals suggest the rally is exhausting itself. The options market confirms this tension; the heavy put volume at deep discounts acts as a circuit breaker, limiting the upside potential despite the bullish headlines. For the long term, the company lacks the cash flow to sustain operations without dilution, and the multi-year price trajectory shows a net decline, indicating the market has already priced out the worst-case scenarios. This is a high-risk, binary event-driven play, not a fundamental investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.088862
AutoETS0.099851
AutoARIMA0.101855
AutoTheta0.111983

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 27%
H-stat 15.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.004
Excess Kurtosis 0.92
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.223
Revenue per Share 1.133
Market Cap 2,411,573,760
Forward P/E -8.84
Beta 0.54
Website https://www.agios.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. There is heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 12.5, 25, 30) suggesting a fear of a sharp drop or a 'crash' scenario, while call activity is concentrated in the money and at-the-money strikes. The skew towards lower strikes indicates a defensive stance where traders are buying protection against downside risk, likely anticipating clinical trial results or regulatory hurdles that could cause a gap down.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.050981402
Address1 88 Sidney Street
All Time High 138.85
All Time Low 15.77
Ask 50.95
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,404,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,159,621
Average Volume 1,159,621
Average Volume10Days 1,404,490
Beta 0.54
Bid 29.1
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 18.69
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 40.55
Current Ratio 14.187
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 41.1
Day Low 39.43
Debt To Equity 3.223
Display Name Agios Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda -470,265,984
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -3.637
Enterprise To Revenue 25.895
Enterprise Value 1,710,280,704
Eps Current Year -6.2025
Eps Forward -4.5875
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.26
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.4674
Fifty Day Average Change 9.0826
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.28863522
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 5.0981402
Fifty Two Week High 46.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.450001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.118478276
Fifty Two Week Low 22.24
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.31
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.82329136
Fifty Two Week Range 22.24 - 46.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,374,672,600,000
Float Shares 50,061,416
Forward Eps -4.5875
Forward P E -8.839236
Free Cashflow -267,222,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 539
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -288,471,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0112
Held Percent Institutions 1.0929
Implied Shares Outstanding 59,471,609
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops medicines in the field of cellular metabolism in the United States. Its lead product includes PYRUKYND (mitapivat), an activator of wild-type and mutant pyruvate kinase (PK), enzymes used for the treatment of hemolytic anemias in adults with PK deficiency. The company's PYRUKYND product is also used for the treatment of sickle cell disease that is in phase 3 clinical trial; for the treatment of PK deficiency in pediatric patients; and AQVESME for the treatment of adult patients with non-transfusion dependent and transfusion-dependent alpha- or beta-thalassemia. In addition, it developed tebapivat, a PK activator for the treatment of lower-risk myelodysplastic syndrome and sickle cell disease; AG-181, a phenylalanine hydroxylase stabilizer for the treatment of phenylketonuria (PKU); and AG-236, an siRNA in-licensed from Alnylam, targeting the transmembrane serine protease 6 (TMPRSS6) gene for the treatment of polycythemia vera. Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Long Name Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,411,573,760
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_46539787
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -422,603,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,452,014,439
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 40.67
Operating Cashflow -380,408,000
Operating Margins -5.30343
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 649 8600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 40.55
Post Market Time 1,783,981,120
Previous Close 41.23
Price Eps Current Year -6.5376863
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1696093
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 36.512444
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 12.799
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.6
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.68
Regular Market Change Percent -1.64929
Regular Market Day High 41.1
Regular Market Day Low 39.43
Regular Market Day Range 39.43 - 41.1
Regular Market Open 40.67
Regular Market Previous Close 41.23
Regular Market Price 40.55
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 713,928
Return On Assets -0.2169
Return On Equity -0.32814997
Revenue Growth 1.377
Revenue Per Share 1.133
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 59,471,609
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.11359999
Shares Short 6,756,481
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,926,807
Short Name Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1148
Short Ratio 5.64
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol AGIO
Target High Price 59.0
Target Low Price 31.0
Target Mean Price 42.625
Target Median Price 43.5
Total Cash 737,038,016
Total Cash Per Share 12.393
Total Debt 35,745,000
Total Revenue 66,048,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.8431
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.7069
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.27343127
Type Disp Equity
Volume 713,928
Website https://www.agios.com
Zip 2,139