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Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI)

Basic Materials | Gold | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
36.75 USD -1.13 (-2.983%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 36.64 -0.11 (-0.111%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is exceptionally strong, driven by a fortress balance sheet, robust profitability, and a multi-year price trajectory that has more than tripled despite recent headwinds. The company is fundamentally a high-quality compounder with superior margins and a clean capital structure, yet the market is currently pricing in a severe discount due to recent operational guidance cuts and sector-wide sentiment. This disconnect creates a compelling asymmetric setup for a patient buyer. In the short term, however, the path is less clear; the statistical forecast leans slightly negative, and options flow reveals a nervous crowd hedging against a drop while betting on a sharp recovery. The stock is trading well below its fair value, but investors must navigate the immediate volatility and potential for further downside before the long-term value realization accelerates.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.078993
AutoARIMA0.078993
MSTL0.079567
AutoTheta0.105580

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 7.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.080
Excess Kurtosis -0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.502
Revenue per Share 5.304
Market Cap 15,383,714,816
Trailing P/E 13.56
Forward P/E 12.02
Beta 1.33
Profit Margins 52.64%
Website https://www.alamosgold.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward strikes just above the current price ($38-$45), with significant open interest walls at $40 and $45, suggesting a target range for the near term. However, put volume is substantial and concentrated at lower strikes ($25-$33), creating a dense 'floor' of protection. The implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for both deep OTM calls and deep OTM puts, indicating a market expecting a binary event or high volatility regime rather than a linear trend.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.12% 0.20% 0.46% 0.74%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-11 0.040 0.115976
2026-03-12 0.040 0.082440
2025-06-12 0.025 0.090909
2025-03-13 0.025 0.100523
2024-12-05 0.025 0.128469
2024-09-12 0.025 0.124626
2024-06-13 0.025 0.163934
2024-03-13 0.025 0.181028
2023-12-05 0.025 0.175562
2023-09-13 0.025 0.208333
2023-06-14 0.025 0.203087
2023-03-15 0.025 0.235405
2022-12-05 0.025 0.256148
2022-09-14 0.025 0.338295
2022-06-15 0.025 0.344353
2022-03-16 0.025 0.305250
2021-12-06 0.025 0.338295
2021-09-15 0.025 0.319285
2021-06-15 0.025 0.283126
2021-03-16 0.025 0.315657
2020-12-04 0.020 0.228571
2020-09-15 0.015 0.149105
2020-06-15 0.015 0.187970
2020-03-16 0.015 0.318471
2019-12-05 0.010 0.176056
2019-09-13 0.010 0.162866
2019-06-13 0.010 0.186567
2019-03-14 0.010 0.198413
2018-04-13 0.010 0.174825
2017-10-13 0.010 0.140845
2017-04-11 0.010 0.119332
2016-10-12 0.010 0.134048
2016-04-13 0.010 0.163132
2015-10-28 0.010 0.236967
2015-05-13 0.030 0.405954
2014-10-10 0.100 1.203369
2014-04-11 0.100 1.086957
2013-10-10 0.100 0.681663
2013-04-11 0.100 0.816993
2012-10-11 0.100 0.510204
2012-04-11 0.100 0.569801
2011-10-12 0.070 0.422705
2011-04-13 0.050 0.352113
2010-10-13 0.035 0.204798
2010-04-13 0.030 0.213220
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.16
dividendYield 0.44
exDividendDate 2026-09-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.13
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.00343189
lastDividendValue 0.04
lastDividendDate 2026-06-11
dividendDate 2026-06-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.14879656
Address1 Brookfield Place
Address2 181 Bay Street Suite 3910
All Time High 55.41
All Time Low 0.66
Ask 36.71
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,512,460
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,872,173
Average Volume 4,872,173
Average Volume10Days 4,512,460
Beta 1.331
Bid 36.8
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 4
Book Value 11.479
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 36.75
Current Ratio 2.067
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 38.16
Day Low 36.305
Debt To Equity 4.502
Display Name Alamos Gold
Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Dividend Rate 0.16
Dividend Yield 0.44
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,420,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,420,000
Earnings Growth 0.688
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.696
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 1,554,899,968
Ebitda Margins 0.69777
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.598
Enterprise To Revenue 6.697
Enterprise Value 14,923,314,176
Eps Current Year 2.29554
Eps Forward 3.05639
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.71
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,998,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.715
Fifty Day Average Change 5.035
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.15875769
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 14.879656
Fifty Two Week High 55.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.66
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3367623
Fifty Two Week Low 27.05
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.700001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35859522
Fifty Two Week Range 27.05 - 55.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,051,882,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.78
Float Shares 417,130,977
Forward Eps 3.05639
Forward P E 12.023989
Free Cashflow 128,937,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,400
Fullday Change -1.13
Fullday Change Percent -2.98311
Fullday Price 36.6395
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.70755
Gross Profits 1,576,700,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00283
Held Percent Institutions 0.68857
Implied Shares Outstanding 418,604,465
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Last Dividend Value 0.04
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Alamos Gold Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 15,383,714,816
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_883515
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,172,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 15,855,635,541
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 38.1
Operating Cashflow 990,499,968
Operating Margins 0.66538
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0466
Phone 416 368 9932
Post Market Change -0.110500336
Post Market Change Percent -0.30068117
Post Market Price 36.6395
Post Market Time 1,787,961,581
Previous Close 37.88
Price Eps Current Year 16.009304
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.2014983
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.9034796
Profit Margins 0.52639
Quick Ratio 1.316
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.13
Regular Market Change Percent -2.98311
Regular Market Day High 38.16
Regular Market Day Low 36.305
Regular Market Day Range 36.305 - 38.16
Regular Market Open 38.1
Regular Market Previous Close 37.88
Regular Market Price 36.75
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 4,474,950
Return On Assets 0.13799
Return On Equity 0.27413
Revenue Growth 0.356
Revenue Per Share 5.304
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 418,604,465
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0166
Shares Short 7,297,305
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,452,552
Short Name Alamos Gold Inc.
Short Ratio 1.46
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol AGI
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 38.0
Target Mean Price 46.25
Target Median Price 43.5
Total Cash 676,700,032
Total Cash Per Share 1.617
Total Debt 216,300,000
Total Revenue 2,228,400,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.13
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.00343189
Trailing Eps 2.71
Trailing P E 13.560885
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.04565
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.2956505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.058794014
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,474,950
Website https://www.alamosgold.com
Zip M5J 2T3