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Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI)

Basic Materials | Gold | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
28.86 USD -0.60 (-2.037%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:14 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment thesis remains exceptionally strong, driven by a fortress balance sheet, robust free cash flow, and a dominant competitive position in gold mining. Fundamentals are unambiguously excellent, with revenue growing nearly 80% and a return on equity exceeding 25%, justifying a near-maximum rating despite the recent price weakness. However, the short-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal multi-week decline, with the stock trading significantly below its 50-day moving average and facing intense selling pressure. While the statistical forecast models a slight dip, the real danger lies in the technical breakdown and the lack of immediate catalysts to reverse the trend. The options market reflects this tension, with traders betting on a volatile bounce to key resistance levels rather than a smooth recovery. Investors should view the current price as a deep discount to intrinsic value but exercise extreme caution regarding the timing of entry, waiting for clearer signs of stabilization before committing capital.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.090714
MSTL0.108582
AutoETS0.110740
AutoARIMA0.111816

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 4.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.185
Excess Kurtosis -1.23
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.768
Revenue per Share 4.931
Market Cap 12,120,202,240
Trailing P/E 11.50
Forward P/E 8.71
Beta 1.33
Profit Margins 51.24%
Website https://www.alamosgold.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a linear grind higher. The heavy open interest walls at $40 and $45 for calls suggest a target zone for a recovery, while significant put volume at strikes like $39 and $40 indicates a fear of further downside or a 'stop-run' scenario. The skew shows elevated implied volatility for deep out-of-the-money calls, hinting at a potential gap-up event, but the immediate term is dominated by selling pressure.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.12% 0.20% 0.46% 0.74%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-11 0.040 0.115976
2026-03-12 0.040 0.082440
2025-06-12 0.025 0.090909
2025-03-13 0.025 0.100523
2024-12-05 0.025 0.128469
2024-09-12 0.025 0.124626
2024-06-13 0.025 0.163934
2024-03-13 0.025 0.181028
2023-12-05 0.025 0.175562
2023-09-13 0.025 0.208333
2023-06-14 0.025 0.203087
2023-03-15 0.025 0.235405
2022-12-05 0.025 0.256148
2022-09-14 0.025 0.338295
2022-06-15 0.025 0.344353
2022-03-16 0.025 0.305250
2021-12-06 0.025 0.338295
2021-09-15 0.025 0.319285
2021-06-15 0.025 0.283126
2021-03-16 0.025 0.315657
2020-12-04 0.020 0.228571
2020-09-15 0.015 0.149105
2020-06-15 0.015 0.187970
2020-03-16 0.015 0.318471
2019-12-05 0.010 0.176056
2019-09-13 0.010 0.162866
2019-06-13 0.010 0.186567
2019-03-14 0.010 0.198413
2018-04-13 0.010 0.174825
2017-10-13 0.010 0.140845
2017-04-11 0.010 0.119332
2016-10-12 0.010 0.134048
2016-04-13 0.010 0.163132
2015-10-28 0.010 0.236967
2015-05-13 0.030 0.405954
2014-10-10 0.100 1.203369
2014-04-11 0.100 1.086957
2013-10-10 0.100 0.681663
2013-04-11 0.100 0.816993
2012-10-11 0.100 0.510204
2012-04-11 0.100 0.569801
2011-10-12 0.070 0.422705
2011-04-13 0.050 0.352113
2010-10-13 0.035 0.204798
2010-04-13 0.030 0.213220
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.16
dividendYield 0.54
exDividendDate 2026-06-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.115
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0039035983
lastDividendValue 0.04
lastDividendDate 2026-06-11
dividendDate 2026-06-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.110022664
Address1 Brookfield Place
Address2 181 Bay Street Suite 3910
All Time High 55.41
All Time Low 0.66
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 700
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,268,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,021,800
Average Volume 4,021,800
Average Volume10Days 4,268,190
Beta 1.326
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 500
Board Risk 4
Book Value 10.972
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 28.86
Current Ratio 2.013
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 29.345
Day Low 28.635
Debt To Equity 4.768
Display Name Alamos Gold
Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Dividend Rate 0.16
Dividend Yield 0.54
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Growth 11.447
Earnings Quarterly Growth 11.592
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda 1,353,600,000
Ebitda Margins 0.65312
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.596
Enterprise To Revenue 5.614
Enterprise Value 11,636,001,792
Eps Current Year 2.37165
Eps Forward 3.31223
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.51
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 36.803
Fifty Day Average Change -7.943001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.21582481
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.002266
Fifty Two Week High 55.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -26.55
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.47915536
Fifty Two Week Low 23.92
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.9400005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20652176
Fifty Two Week Range 23.92 - 55.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,051,882,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.78
Float Shares 418,470,334
Forward Eps 3.31223
Forward P E 8.713163
Free Cashflow 153,624,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.70215
Gross Profits 1,455,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0028
Held Percent Institutions 0.70317
Implied Shares Outstanding 419,965,411
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Last Dividend Value 0.04
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Alamos Gold Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,120,202,240
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_883515
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,062,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,332,435,010
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 28.96
Operating Cashflow 958,200,000
Operating Margins 0.52405
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0458
Phone 416 368 9932
Pre Market Change 0.41500092
Pre Market Change Percent 1.4387274
Pre Market Price 29.26
Pre Market Time 1,784,019,990
Previous Close 29.46
Price Eps Current Year 12.168744
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.6303318
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.8481073
Profit Margins 0.51242
Quick Ratio 1.282
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.38462
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.599998
Regular Market Change Percent -2.03665
Regular Market Day High 29.345
Regular Market Day Low 28.635
Regular Market Day Range 28.635 - 29.345
Regular Market Open 28.96
Regular Market Previous Close 29.46
Regular Market Price 28.86
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 3,816,662
Return On Assets 0.120299995
Return On Equity 0.25885
Revenue Growth 0.792
Revenue Per Share 4.931
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 419,965,411
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.015
Shares Short 7,575,312
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,769,388
Short Name Alamos Gold Inc.
Short Ratio 1.15
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol AGI
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 39.0
Target Mean Price 47.5
Target Median Price 45.5
Total Cash 703,900,032
Total Cash Per Share 1.676
Total Debt 219,700,000
Total Revenue 2,072,499,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.115
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0039035983
Trailing Eps 2.51
Trailing P E 11.498009
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.229
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.3689995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.26431975
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,816,662
Website https://www.alamosgold.com
Zip M5J 2T3