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Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI)

Basic Materials | Gold | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
31.90 USD -0.57 (-1.755%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:37 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case here is exceptionally strong, driven by a business that has delivered a +69% return over the last year and maintains robust profitability with a 27% return on equity. Despite the recent price pullback, the underlying fundamentals—high margins, strong cash flow, and a fortress-like balance sheet relative to its debt—suggest the company is a high-quality asset currently trading at a discount. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by a severe disconnect between the current price and the analyst consensus, which targets nearly double the current level. This gap has created a speculative frenzy in the options market, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money calls, signaling a belief in a rapid rebound. While the statistical forecast models are currently silent due to low confidence, the confluence of superior fundamentals and aggressive options positioning suggests a compelling setup for a recovery trade, though the immediate path may remain choppy as the market digests the recent volatility.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.152216
AutoETS0.152217
MSTL0.152441
AutoTheta0.287309

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 4.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.067
Excess Kurtosis -0.28
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.502
Revenue per Share 5.304
Market Cap 13,353,483,264
Trailing P/E 11.47
Forward P/E 10.61
Beta 1.40
Profit Margins 52.64%
Website https://www.alamosgold.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:37 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls at strikes like $45 and $60, alongside heavy volume spikes at distant strikes ($60, $65). While there is a notable put wall at $29 for December expiration suggesting a floor, the overwhelming capital deployment is in long calls, indicating a bullish bet on a recovery toward the $45-$50 range within the next few months.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.11% 0.31% 0.43% 0.70%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-10 0.040 0.112139
2026-06-11 0.040 0.115976
2026-03-12 0.040 0.082440
2025-06-12 0.025 0.090909
2025-03-13 0.025 0.100523
2024-12-05 0.025 0.128469
2024-09-12 0.025 0.124626
2024-06-13 0.025 0.163934
2024-03-13 0.025 0.181028
2023-12-05 0.025 0.175562
2023-09-13 0.025 0.208333
2023-06-14 0.025 0.203087
2023-03-15 0.025 0.235405
2022-12-05 0.025 0.256148
2022-09-14 0.025 0.338295
2022-06-15 0.025 0.344353
2022-03-16 0.025 0.305250
2021-12-06 0.025 0.338295
2021-09-15 0.025 0.319285
2021-06-15 0.025 0.283126
2021-03-16 0.025 0.315657
2020-12-04 0.020 0.228571
2020-09-15 0.015 0.149105
2020-06-15 0.015 0.187970
2020-03-16 0.015 0.318471
2019-12-05 0.010 0.176056
2019-09-13 0.010 0.162866
2019-06-13 0.010 0.186567
2019-03-14 0.010 0.198413
2018-04-13 0.010 0.174825
2017-10-13 0.010 0.140845
2017-04-11 0.010 0.119332
2016-10-12 0.010 0.134048
2016-04-13 0.010 0.163132
2015-10-28 0.010 0.236967
2015-05-13 0.030 0.405954
2014-10-10 0.100 1.203369
2014-04-11 0.100 1.086957
2013-10-10 0.100 0.681663
2013-04-11 0.100 0.816993
2012-10-11 0.100 0.510204
2012-04-11 0.100 0.569801
2011-10-12 0.070 0.422705
2011-04-13 0.050 0.352113
2010-10-13 0.035 0.204798
2010-04-13 0.030 0.213220
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.5
exDividendDate 2026-09-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.13
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.004003695
lastDividendValue 0.04
lastDividendDate 2026-09-10
dividendDate 2026-09-24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.114626706
Address1 Brookfield Place
Address2 181 Bay Street Suite 3910
All Time High 55.41
All Time Low 0.66
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,900
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,551,080
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,039,221
Average Volume 4,039,221
Average Volume10Days 2,551,080
Beta 1.398
Bid 31.65
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 6
Book Value 11.479
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 31.9
Current Ratio 2.067
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 32.8412
Day Low 31.51
Debt To Equity 4.502
Display Name Alamos Gold
Dividend Date 1,790,208,000
Dividend Yield 0.5
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Growth 0.688
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.696
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 1,554,899,968
Ebitda Margins 0.69777
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.292
Enterprise To Revenue 5.786
Enterprise Value 12,893,082,624
Eps Current Year 2.27766
Eps Forward 3.00743
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.78
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,998,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 34.4912
Fifty Day Average Change -2.5911999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07512641
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -11.46267
Fifty Two Week High 55.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -23.51
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42429164
Fifty Two Week Low 27.05
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.8500004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17929761
Fifty Two Week Range 27.05 - 55.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,051,882,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.54
Float Shares 417,139,349
Forward Eps 3.00743
Forward P E 10.607062
Free Cashflow 128,937,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,400
Fullday Change -0.5700016
Fullday Change Percent -1.7554715
Fullday Price 31.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.70755
Gross Profits 1,576,700,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00283
Held Percent Institutions 0.75555
Implied Shares Outstanding 418,604,465
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,998,400
Last Dividend Value 0.04
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Alamos Gold Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 13,353,483,264
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_883515
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,172,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 14,453,343,066
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 32.68
Operating Cashflow 990,499,968
Operating Margins 0.66538
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0468
Phone 416 368 9932
Pre Market Change -0.8999996
Pre Market Change Percent -2.8213155
Pre Market Price 31.0
Pre Market Time 1,791,982,275
Previous Close 32.47
Price Eps Current Year 14.005603
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.7789876
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.9924083
Profit Margins 0.52639
Quick Ratio 1.316
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.53846
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.570002
Regular Market Change Percent -1.75547
Regular Market Day High 32.8412
Regular Market Day Low 31.51
Regular Market Day Range 31.51 - 32.8412
Regular Market Open 32.68
Regular Market Previous Close 32.47
Regular Market Price 31.9
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,602
Regular Market Volume 2,840,264
Return On Assets 0.13799
Return On Equity 0.27413
Revenue Growth 0.356
Revenue Per Share 5.304
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 418,604,465
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0172
Shares Short 7,197,100
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 7,302,342
Short Name Alamos Gold Inc.
Short Ratio 1.97
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol AGI
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 36.0
Target Mean Price 46.0
Target Median Price 44.0
Total Cash 676,700,032
Total Cash Per Share 1.617
Total Debt 216,300,000
Total Revenue 2,228,400,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.13
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.004003695
Trailing Eps 2.78
Trailing P E 11.47482
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 38.7837
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.8836994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1774895
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,840,264
Website https://www.alamosgold.com
Zip M5J 2T3