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Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)

Financial Services | Credit Services | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
75.92 USD +5.41 (7.673%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:26 a.m. EDT

Affirm is a high-risk, high-reward turnaround play that has successfully navigated its post-2022 crash. The fundamentals are the strongest signal here: revenue is growing at 33% and returns on equity are nearing 45%, proving the business model works. While the balance sheet carries high leverage, the cash flow is robust enough to sustain operations. Long-term investors should view this as a solid buy, acknowledging the four-year price history but focusing on the three-year recovery. Short-term investors face a volatile environment with a beta of 3.8; the options market is pricing in a battle at the $80 level, with heavy hedging on the downside. Do not expect dividends, and be prepared for wild swings.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.040308
AutoETS0.040321
AutoTheta0.041159
MSTL0.042408

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 1.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.373
Excess Kurtosis -1.02
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 182.77
Revenue per Share 12.714
Market Cap 25,617,020,928
Trailing P/E 13.73
Forward P/E 15.14
Beta 3.82
Profit Margins 45.29%
Website https://www.affirm.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:26 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility is elevated across the board, signaling uncertainty. Call open interest clusters heavily at the $80 to $85 strikes, creating a resistance wall, while significant put open interest sits below $70, indicating downside protection is being purchased. Deep out-of-the-money strikes show inflated premiums, suggesting speculative bets on tail events.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.11811483
Address1 221 Main Street
Address2 Floor 6
All Time High 176.65
All Time Low 8.62
Ask 81.44
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,332,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,347,142
Average Volume 4,347,142
Average Volume10Days 4,332,310
Beta 3.817
Bid 75.69
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 8
Book Value 16.264
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 75.92
Current Ratio 11.976
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 76.17
Day Low 68.39
Debt To Equity 182.77
Display Name Affirm
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Earnings Growth 21.869
Earnings Quarterly Growth 22.347
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 739,193,984
Ebitda Margins 0.17347999
Enterprise To Ebitda 45.912
Enterprise To Revenue 7.965
Enterprise Value 33,937,928,192
Eps Current Year 3.85097
Eps Forward 5.01587
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.53
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 73.7636
Fifty Day Average Change 2.156395
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.029233862
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.811483
Fifty Two Week High 90.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.520004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16054848
Fifty Two Week Low 42.095
Fifty Two Week Low Change 33.824997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8035395
Fifty Two Week Range 42.095 - 90.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,610,548,200,000
Float Shares 283,815,141
Forward Eps 5.01587
Forward P E 15.135958
Free Cashflow 478,676,736
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,358
Fullday Change -0.4399948
Fullday Change Percent -0.5795506
Fullday Price 75.48
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.4893
Gross Profits 2,084,964,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04316
Held Percent Institutions 0.88627
Implied Shares Outstanding 337,421,256
Industry Credit Services
Industry Disp Credit Services
Industry Key credit-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-01-13
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Long Business Summary Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its platform offers pay-over-time solutions at checkout for both consumers and merchants. The company's commerce platform, agreements with originating banks, and capital markets partners enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time. It has active merchants covering small businesses, large enterprises, direct-to-consumer brands, brick-and-mortar stores, and companies with an omni-channel presence. The company's merchants represent a range of industries, including electronics; equipment and auto; fashion and beauty; general merchandise; home and lifestyle services; sporting goods and outdoors; and travel and ticketing. Affirm Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Affirm Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 25,617,020,928
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_695381746
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,929,793,024
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,313,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 22,975,013,320
Number Of Analyst Opinions 32
Open 68.5
Operating Cashflow 1,230,973,952
Operating Margins 0.1263
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 7.99
Phone 415 960 1518
Pre Market Change -0.4399948
Pre Market Change Percent -0.5795506
Pre Market Price 75.48
Pre Market Time 1,792,151,014
Previous Close 70.51
Price Eps Current Year 19.714514
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.6679783
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.011858
Profit Margins 0.45289
Quick Ratio 8.364
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.58824
Region US
Regular Market Change 5.41
Regular Market Change Percent 7.67266
Regular Market Day High 76.17
Regular Market Day Low 68.39
Regular Market Day Range 68.39 - 76.17
Regular Market Open 68.5
Regular Market Previous Close 70.51
Regular Market Price 75.92
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 5,916,513
Return On Assets 0.019340001
Return On Equity 0.45126
Revenue Growth 0.33
Revenue Per Share 12.714
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 296,881,962
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.053000003
Shares Short 17,882,143
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 15,666,710
Short Name Affirm Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.060700003
Short Ratio 3.79
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AFRM
Target High Price 115.0
Target Low Price 66.0
Target Mean Price 98.59375
Target Median Price 100.0
Total Cash 1,701,895,040
Total Cash Per Share 5.044
Total Debt 10,022,802,432
Total Revenue 4,261,082,112
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 5.53
Trailing P E 13.728751
Trailing Peg Ratio 8.2617
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 66.81435
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.105652
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.13628289
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,916,513
Website https://www.affirm.com
Zip 94,105