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Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)

Financial Services | Credit Services | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
81.93 USD -1.49 (-1.786%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:56 a.m. EDT

The stock is riding a powerful recovery wave, surging nearly 15 percent over the last fortnight as it trades well above its moving averages. Fundamentally, the business is firing on all cylinders with revenue expanding at a blistering 32 percent pace and earnings climbing even faster, though the 76 times trailing earnings multiple reflects the aggressive pricing of this growth. The balance sheet carries significant leverage, which keeps the long-term risk profile elevated despite the strong cash generation. For the immediate horizon, momentum is clearly the driver, with options traders betting on further gains, but the statistical models whisper caution about the noise. There is no income component here, so investors must rely entirely on capital appreciation in a high-volatility environment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_105 ✓0.172078
AutoARIMA0.220683
AutoETS0.220690
AutoTheta0.221404
MSTL0.222133
MSTL_66_1050.230865
MSTL_660.316584

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_105

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 2.12
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.166
Excess Kurtosis -0.15
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 240.279
Revenue per Share 11.958
Market Cap 27,438,239,744
Trailing P/E 75.86
Forward P/E 21.65
Beta 3.67
Profit Margins 9.63%
Website https://www.affirm.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside continuation with significant call volume at strikes above the current price (90-110 range), while heavy put open interest at lower strikes (50-80) suggests hedging against a potential pullback. Implied volatility remains elevated across expirations, indicating uncertainty.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.30242002
Address1 650 California Street
All Time High 176.65
All Time Low 8.62
Ask 88.71
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,299,620
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,996,424
Average Volume 4,996,424
Average Volume10Days 4,299,620
Beta 3.674
Bid 75.94
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 11.299
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 81.93
Current Ratio 13.542
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 84.0
Day Low 81.11
Debt To Equity 240.279
Display Name Affirm
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,187,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,187,600
Earnings Growth 35.293
Earnings Quarterly Growth 35.698
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,860,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,860,800
Ebitda 631,558,976
Ebitda Margins 0.15902
Enterprise To Ebitda 55.038
Enterprise To Revenue 8.752
Enterprise Value 34,759,991,296
Eps Current Year 3.09817
Eps Forward 3.78371
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.08
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 71.1598
Fifty Day Average Change 10.770203
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.15135235
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 30.242002
Fifty Two Week High 100.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.07
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1807
Fifty Two Week Low 42.095
Fifty Two Week Low Change 39.835
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9463119
Fifty Two Week Range 42.095 - 100.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,610,548,200,000
Float Shares 281,251,164
Forward Eps 3.78371
Forward P E 21.65335
Free Cashflow 301,085,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,206
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.48369
Gross Profits 1,920,979,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04346
Held Percent Institutions 0.87164
Implied Shares Outstanding 334,898,565
Industry Credit Services
Industry Disp Credit Services
Industry Key credit-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-01-13
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Long Business Summary Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its platform includes point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. The company's commerce platform, agreements with originating banks, and capital markets partners enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time. It has active merchants covering small businesses, large enterprises, direct-to-consumer brands, brick-and-mortar stores, and companies with an omni-channel presence. The company's merchants represent a range of industries, including sporting goods and outdoors, home and lifestyle, travel and ticketing, electronics, fashion and beauty, equipment and auto, and general merchandise. Affirm Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Affirm Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 27,438,239,744
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_695381746
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 382,424,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 27,937,238,291
Number Of Analyst Opinions 29
Open 83.4416
Operating Cashflow 1,009,448,000
Operating Margins 0.08513
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.82
Phone 415 960 1518
Pre Market Change -0.26999664
Pre Market Change Percent -0.32954553
Pre Market Price 81.66
Pre Market Time 1,784,017,808
Previous Close 83.42
Price Eps Current Year 26.444643
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.2510843
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.908717
Profit Margins 0.09629
Quick Ratio 9.572
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.69697
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.49
Regular Market Change Percent -1.78614
Regular Market Day High 84.0
Regular Market Day Low 81.11
Regular Market Day Range 81.11 - 84.0
Regular Market Open 83.4416
Regular Market Previous Close 83.42
Regular Market Price 81.93
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 3,016,067
Return On Assets 0.017380001
Return On Equity 0.114870004
Revenue Growth 0.326
Revenue Per Share 11.958
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 294,357,801
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0577
Shares Short 19,326,088
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 18,900,130
Short Name Affirm Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.066199996
Short Ratio 4.11
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AFRM
Target High Price 117.0
Target Low Price 55.1
Target Mean Price 88.1069
Target Median Price 88.0
Total Cash 1,768,999,040
Total Cash Per Share 5.282
Total Debt 9,090,749,440
Total Revenue 3,971,538,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.08
Trailing P E 75.86111
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8222
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 66.18185
Two Hundred Day Average Change 15.748154
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.23795277
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,016,067
Website https://www.affirm.com
Zip 94,108