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American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Cincinnati, United States | NYSE
149.13 USD +3.40 (2.333%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 149.13
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT

American Financial Group presents a compelling case for a core holding, anchored by robust profitability and a resilient balance sheet. The company recently posted a 44% surge in earnings growth and beat revenue estimates, validating the management's operational execution. While the stock trades near its 52-week high, the underlying fundamentals—specifically a 20% return on equity and a manageable debt load—support a premium valuation. The dividend yield of 2.73% is backed by a conservative 30% payout ratio, offering reliable income without risking capital. However, the long-term revenue growth of roughly 6% falls short of the hyper-growth thresholds seen in top-tier compounders, capping the long-term rating just below exceptional status. On the short end, the technicals are mixed with the price hovering slightly below the 50-day average despite the recent earnings pop, creating a slight hesitation for aggressive momentum plays. Overall, this is a solid buy-and-hold opportunity for investors seeking stability and steady compounding rather than explosive expansion.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.015913
AutoETS0.015964
MSTL0.017752
AutoTheta0.034742

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 0.79
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.389
Excess Kurtosis -0.77
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.232
Revenue per Share 96.839
Market Cap 12,366,077,952
Trailing P/E 13.04
Forward P/E 12.31
Beta 0.58
Profit Margins 11.83%
Website https://www.afginc.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls for October and December expirations, significantly outweighing put positioning. Implied volatility is tighter on calls than puts, suggesting a bullish skew where traders expect limited downside but are willing to pay for upside exposure. The near-term flow indicates a preference for gains over protection.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.67% 5.25% 5.98% 7.63%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-15 0.970000 0.665615
2026-07-15 0.880000 0.638236
2026-04-15 0.880000 0.673865
2026-02-13 1.500000 1.163242
2026-01-15 0.880000 0.667172
2025-11-17 2.000000 1.439988
2025-10-15 0.880000 0.644783
2025-07-15 0.800000 0.634921
2025-04-15 0.800000 0.629723
2025-03-17 2.000000 1.580778
2025-01-14 0.800000 0.597015
2024-11-15 4.000000 2.902336
2024-10-15 0.800000 0.592812
2024-07-15 0.710000 0.560246
2024-04-12 0.710000 0.557694
2024-02-15 2.500000 2.023964
2024-01-11 0.710000 0.594043
2023-11-10 1.500000 1.383126
2023-10-12 0.710000 0.648402
2023-07-13 0.630000 0.538738
2023-04-13 0.630000 0.518092
2023-02-14 4.000000 3.042056
2023-01-12 0.630000 0.446112
2022-11-14 2.000000 1.437298
2022-10-13 0.630000 0.482833
2022-07-14 0.560000 0.422961
2022-05-19 8.000000 6.074873
2022-04-13 0.560000 0.381341
2022-03-14 2.000000 1.459428
2022-01-13 0.560000 0.413101
2021-12-22 2.000000 1.484230
2021-11-12 4.000000 2.859594
2021-10-14 0.560000 0.417008
2021-09-27 4.000000 3.063726
2021-07-23 2.000000 1.588436
2021-07-14 0.500000 0.405252
2021-06-07 14.000000 11.689071
2021-04-14 0.500000 0.419921
2021-01-14 0.500000 0.561419
2020-12-18 2.000000 2.343292
2020-10-14 0.500000 0.712657
2020-07-14 0.450000 0.748628
2020-04-14 0.450000 0.593824
2020-01-14 0.450000 0.408831
2019-11-14 1.800000 1.658528
2019-10-11 0.450000 0.437786
2019-07-12 0.400000 0.380156
2019-05-14 1.500000 1.510726
2019-04-12 0.400000 0.407872
2019-01-14 0.400000 0.430988
2018-11-15 1.500000 1.454193
2018-10-12 0.400000 0.393391
2018-07-12 0.350000 0.325672
2018-05-14 1.500000 1.357343
2018-04-12 0.350000 0.313311
2018-01-11 0.350000 0.323057
2017-11-16 2.000000 1.957522
2017-10-12 0.350000 0.334928
2017-07-12 0.313000 0.315524
2017-05-11 1.500000 1.538304
2017-04-11 0.313000 0.329682
2017-01-11 0.313000 0.356776
2016-11-21 1.000000 1.240387
2016-10-12 0.313000 0.409686
2016-07-13 0.280000 0.387222
2016-04-13 0.280000 0.406327
2016-01-13 0.280000 0.419287
2015-12-11 1.000000 1.404297
2015-10-13 0.280000 0.394366
2015-07-13 0.250000 0.369822
2015-04-13 0.250000 0.385862
2015-01-13 0.250000 0.421301
2014-12-11 1.000000 1.658100
2014-10-10 0.250000 0.441774
2014-07-11 0.220000 0.372124
2014-04-11 0.220000 0.395257
2014-01-13 0.220000 0.389449
2013-12-12 1.000000 1.794688
2013-10-10 0.220000 0.411138
2013-07-11 0.195000 0.381455
2013-04-11 0.195000 0.406250
2013-01-11 0.195000 0.470787
2012-12-13 0.250000 0.629723
2012-10-11 0.195000 0.511677
2012-07-11 0.175000 0.473741
2012-04-11 0.175000 0.466169
2012-01-11 0.175000 0.468415
2011-10-12 0.175000 0.529181
2011-07-13 0.163000 0.468525
2011-04-13 0.163000 0.465847
2011-01-12 0.163000 0.494389
2010-10-13 0.163000 0.523443
2010-07-13 0.138000 0.472279
2010-04-13 0.138000 0.476519
2010-01-13 0.138000 0.546968
2009-10-13 0.130000 0.504658
2009-07-13 0.130000 0.574713
2009-04-13 0.130000 0.686378
2009-01-13 0.130000 0.626808
2008-10-10 0.125000 0.782228
2008-07-11 0.125000 0.448994
2008-04-11 0.125000 0.487140
2008-01-11 0.125000 0.438905
2007-10-11 0.100000 0.335345
2007-07-11 0.100000 0.301568
2007-04-11 0.100000 0.289352
2007-01-10 0.100000 0.288268
2006-10-11 0.092000 0.286070
2006-07-12 0.092000 0.325933
2006-04-11 0.092000 0.331571
2006-01-11 0.092000 0.352490
2005-10-12 0.083333 0.384851
2005-07-13 0.083333 0.375261
2005-04-13 0.083333 0.420025
2005-01-12 0.083333 0.415419
2004-10-13 0.083333 0.426619
2004-07-13 0.083333 0.408762
2004-04-13 0.083333 0.418478
2004-01-13 0.083333 0.468163
2003-10-10 0.083333 0.569733
2003-07-11 0.083333 0.544423
2003-04-11 0.083333 0.609159
2003-01-13 0.083333 0.535789
2002-10-10 0.083333 0.561796
2002-07-11 0.083333 0.550416
2002-04-11 0.083333 0.428080
2002-01-16 0.083333 0.523887
2001-10-11 0.166667 1.157410
2001-07-11 0.166667 0.832780
2001-04-10 0.166667 1.019994
2001-01-10 0.166667 1.005027
2000-10-11 0.166667 1.230772
2000-07-12 0.166667 0.941178
2000-04-12 0.166667 0.919542
2000-01-13 0.166667 1.017814
1999-10-13 0.166667 0.936770
1999-07-13 0.166667 0.715565
1999-04-13 0.166667 0.729929
1999-01-13 0.166667 0.647250
1998-10-13 0.166667 0.792081
1998-07-13 0.166667 0.571430
1998-04-13 0.166667 0.567377
1998-01-13 0.166667 0.634922
1997-10-10 0.166667 0.555557
1997-07-11 0.166667 0.568183
1997-04-11 0.166667 0.716847
1997-01-13 0.166667 0.701756
1996-10-10 0.166667 0.760458
1996-07-11 0.166667 0.858371
1996-04-11 0.166667 0.851066
1996-01-10 0.166667 0.809718
1995-09-27 0.166667 0.833335
1995-06-28 0.166667 0.970876
1995-03-27 0.166667 1.036272
1994-12-23 0.166667 1.030930
1994-12-13 0.166667 1.052634
1994-09-26 0.146667 0.814817
1994-06-24 0.146667 0.858539
1994-03-25 0.146667 0.862747
1993-12-27 0.146667 0.709679
1993-09-24 0.140000 0.672000
1993-06-24 0.140000 0.633962
1993-03-29 0.140000 0.796209
1992-12-24 0.140000 0.884211
1992-09-24 0.133333 1.052629
1992-07-02 1.000000 7.741935
1992-06-10 0.133333 0.987652
1992-03-30 0.133333 0.869563
1991-12-24 0.133333 0.772945
1991-09-24 0.113333 0.693876
1991-06-24 0.113333 0.715787
1991-04-01 0.113333 0.697434
1990-12-24 0.113333 0.866240
1990-09-25 0.080000 0.548571
1990-06-25 0.080000 0.524590
1990-03-30 0.080000 0.475248
1989-12-22 0.080000 0.468293
1989-09-25 0.066667 0.372095
1989-06-26 0.066667 0.377360
1989-03-30 0.066667 0.423283
1988-12-23 0.066667 0.425534
1987-12-23 0.016667 0.118697
1987-08-13 2.833333 14.847161
1986-12-22 0.016667 0.092809
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.88
dividendYield 2.66
exDividendDate 2026-10-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.52
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.024154259
lastDividendValue 0.97
lastDividendDate 2026-10-15
dividendDate 2026-10-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.11150944
Address1 301 East Fourth Street
All Time High 152.29
All Time Low 4.666667
Ask 150.2
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 373,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 371,862
Average Volume 371,862
Average Volume10Days 373,550
Beta 0.577
Bid 131.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 58.143
City Cincinnati
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 149.13
Current Ratio 2.085
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 149.31
Day Low 146.34
Debt To Equity 42.232
Display Name American Financial
Dividend Date 1,792,713,600
Dividend Rate 3.88
Dividend Yield 2.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Earnings Growth 0.443
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.425
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 1,415,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.17562
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.105
Enterprise To Revenue 1.599
Enterprise Value 12,884,078,592
Eps Current Year 12.58286
Eps Forward 12.11
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.44
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 513 352 9230
Fifty Day Average 142.4894
Fifty Day Average Change 6.6406097
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04660424
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.150944
Fifty Two Week High 149.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.17999268
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0012054965
Fifty Two Week Low 123.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change 26.040009
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2115526
Fifty Two Week Range 123.09 - 149.31
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.05
Float Shares 66,574,328
Forward Eps 12.11
Forward P E 12.314617
Free Cashflow 142,250,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 8,500
Fullday Change 3.4000092
Fullday Change Percent 2.3330882
Fullday Price 149.13
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.20156
Gross Profits 1,624,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.20264
Held Percent Institutions 0.68807
Implied Shares Outstanding 82,921,466
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Ir Website http://www.afginc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=89330&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Last Dividend Value 0.97
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,166,400,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It operates through Property and Casualty Insurance and Other segments. The company offers property and transportation insurance products, such as physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks, other specialty transportation niches, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products, and other commercial property coverages; specialty casualty insurance, including primarily excess and surplus, executive and professional liability, general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and specialty coverage in targeted markets, as well as customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers compensation insurance; and specialty financial insurance products comprising risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, fidelity and surety products, and trade credit insurance. It sells its property and casualty insurance products through independent insurance agents and brokers. American Financial Group, Inc. was formerly known as American Financial Group Holdings Inc and changed its name to American Financial Group, Inc. in July 1997. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
Long Name American Financial Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,366,077,952
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_295539
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 953,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 11,579,153,512
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 146.06
Operating Cashflow 1,566,000,000
Operating Margins 0.17241
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.3007
Peg Ratio 2.3
Phone 513 579 2121
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 149.13
Post Market Time 1,792,185,686
Previous Close 145.73
Price Eps Current Year 11.851837
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.5648832
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.5348241
Profit Margins 0.11828
Quick Ratio 0.862
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.42857
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.40001
Regular Market Change Percent 2.33309
Regular Market Day High 149.31
Regular Market Day Low 146.34
Regular Market Day Range 146.34 - 149.31
Regular Market Open 146.06
Regular Market Previous Close 145.73
Regular Market Price 149.13
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,803
Regular Market Volume 389,348
Return On Assets 0.025980001
Return On Equity 0.20413
Revenue Growth 0.058
Revenue Per Share 96.839
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 82,921,466
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0211
Shares Short 1,752,356
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,585,979
Short Name American Financial Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0254
Short Ratio 4.46
Source Interval 15
State OH
Symbol AFG
Target High Price 170.0
Target Low Price 136.0
Target Mean Price 153.33333
Target Median Price 151.5
Total Cash 1,518,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 18.306
Total Debt 2,036,000,000
Total Revenue 8,056,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.52
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.024154259
Trailing Eps 11.44
Trailing P E 13.03584
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 135.4759
Two Hundred Day Average Change 13.6540985
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.10078618
Type Disp Equity
Volume 389,348
Website https://www.afginc.com
Zip 45,202