Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA)Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Mountain View, United States | NasdaqGS
18.81 USD
-2.18
(-10.386%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:55 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Aeva is currently paralyzed by a stark contradiction between its explosive recent price recovery and its deteriorating financial reality. While the stock has rallied 800% year-over-year, the underlying business is bleeding cash aggressively, with operating cash flow at -$110 million and free cash flow at -$67 million. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying more debt ($102M) than cash ($99M), forcing the company to rely on dilutive capital raises like the recent $50M convertible debt offering. This financial strain is likely why insiders, including the CFO, are selling shares to cover taxes. The market is deeply conflicted. The long-term rating remains neutral because the multi-year price trajectory shows a brutal collapse from 2022 through 2024, erasing nearly half the company's value despite the recent rebound. The recent surge appears to be a speculative reaction to the 'Physical AI' narrative rather than a validation of sustainable profitability, given the negative margins and lack of revenue growth consistency. Short-term, the outlook is murky. The statistical forecast offers only a weak lean upward, which is insufficient to overcome the fundamental risks. However, the options market tells a compelling story of asymmetry: traders are buying cheap insurance against a crash while placing small, high-risk bets on a moonshot rally. This suggests the smart money is hedging against failure while retail hopes for a miracle. Until the company demonstrates a path to positive cash flow or a clear route to profitability without further dilution, the risk of permanent capital loss remains high. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.347609 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.399827 |
| MSTL | 0.400643 |
| AutoETS | 0.414302 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 1.20 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.067 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.76 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Revenue per Share | 0.355 |
| Market Cap | 1,270,337,024 |
| Forward P/E | -12.21 |
| Beta | 2.40 |
| Website | https://www.aeva.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at 7.5 and 10) expiring late in 2027 and early 2028. This 'insurance' positioning suggests a fear of a prolonged decline or a failed turnaround. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in the 30-50 strike range, indicating speculative bets on a massive recovery to 2x-3x current prices, but the volume is thin compared to the put wall. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty rather than a clear directional consensus.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.29018867 |
| Address1 | 555 Ellis Street |
| All Time High | 109.175 |
| All Time Low | 2.201 |
| Ask | 23.94 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,300,030 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,296,127 |
| Average Volume | 2,296,127 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,300,030 |
| Beta | 2.403 |
| Bid | 14.49 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | -0.197 |
| City | Mountain View |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 18.81 |
| Current Ratio | 4.095 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 20.4378 |
| Day Low | 18.7 |
| Display Name | Aeva |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,097,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,441,600 |
| Ebitda | -126,998,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -9.357 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 56.661 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,188,349,824 |
| Eps Current Year | -1.6775 |
| Eps Forward | -1.54 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.47 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 22.2023 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.3922997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.15279047 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -29.018867 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 33.24 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -14.430002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.43411556 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 8.83 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 9.98 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.1302378 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 8.83 - 33.24 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,582,813,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 36,764,776 |
| Forward Eps | -1.54 |
| Forward P E | -12.214286 |
| Free Cashflow | -67,766,248 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 239 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0463 |
| Gross Profits | 971,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.18253 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.66350996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 67,535,203 |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Disp | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Key | software-infrastructure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-01-28 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,710,806,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:5 |
| Long Business Summary | Aeva Technologies, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of LiDAR sensing systems, and related perception and autonomy-enabling software solutions in North America, Europe, Oceania, and Asia. The company develops its products using frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology. It also offers Aeva Omni, a wide-view short-range 4D LiDAR; Aeva Atlas, a orion long-range 4D LiDAR with data and power over ethernet; CityOS, a AI operating system for real-time traffic intelligence designed to improve safety, efficiency, and data-driven transportation planning in cities; Atlas, a FMCW 4D LiDAR with simultaneous velocity and range detection for mass production and built to meet automotive-grade requirements; Aeva Eve1, a line of high-precision laser displacement sensors for volume industrial automation; and Atlas Ultra, a 4D LiDAR sensor built to meet the performance demands of SAE Level 3 and 4 automated driving systems in passenger and commercial vehicles. Its products are also used in automotive, consumer devices, industrial automation, and security market applications. Aeva Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. |
| Long Name | Aeva Technologies, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,270,337,024 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_418324431 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -145,540,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,285,821,466 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 20.28 |
| Operating Cashflow | -110,133,000 |
| Operating Margins | -5.61099 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 650 481 7070 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.3600006 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.9138789 |
| Pre Market Price | 19.17 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,031,702 |
| Previous Close | 20.99 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -11.213115 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -95.48223 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 60.570114 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.703 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -2.18 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -10.3859 |
| Regular Market Day High | 20.4378 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 18.7 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 18.7 - 20.4378 |
| Regular Market Open | 20.28 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 20.99 |
| Regular Market Price | 18.81 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,667,289 |
| Return On Assets | -0.63164 |
| Return On Equity | -5.1607203 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.859 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.355 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 67,535,203 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0686 |
| Shares Short | 4,689,051 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,219,939 |
| Short Name | Aeva Technologies, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1003 |
| Short Ratio | 1.93 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | AEVA |
| Target High Price | 33.0 |
| Target Low Price | 18.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 25.125 |
| Target Median Price | 24.5 |
| Total Cash | 99,504,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.578 |
| Total Debt | 102,056,000 |
| Total Revenue | 20,973,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.47 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 16.478975 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.3310242 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.14145444 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,667,289 |
| Website | https://www.aeva.com |
| Zip | 94,043 |