Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA)Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Mountain View, United States | NasdaqGS
10.47 USD
-0.52
(-4.775%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 12:31 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:09 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Aeva Technologies remains fundamentally fractured despite a recent price rebound. The company is burning through cash aggressively, with free cash flow of -$139 million against mere $21.6 million in revenue, while posting a -150% profit margin. This financial bleed is unsustainable without significant capital raises, which dilute shareholders further. Although the stock rallied 351% year-over-year, this was a one-off anomaly in a five-year trajectory where the asset lost nearly 69% of its value; the market has clearly priced in the lack of profitability and the high risk of insolvency. The balance sheet is precarious, with debt-to-equity exceeding 370x and no dividend to cushion the blow. While the recent price action shows some stabilization near the 50-day average, the underlying business metrics—negative operating cash flow and massive burn—do not support a high-conviction entry. Investors are currently betting on a turnaround story, but the data suggests a high-risk speculative vehicle rather than a viable long-term compounder. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.165007 |
| AutoETS | 0.169933 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.169937 |
| MSTL | 0.252159 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 35% |
| H-stat | 0.05 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.054 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.68 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 371.853 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.352 |
| Market Cap | 729,819,328 |
| Forward P/E | -6.51 |
| Beta | 2.41 |
| Profit Margins | -150.12% |
| Website | https://www.aeva.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 10.00 and 7.50) compared to calls. While there is significant call volume at distant strikes (30.00, 50.00), the put/call ratio and the sheer volume of put open interest suggest a 'bear put spread' or hedging strategy rather than a bullish momentum play. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.3324226 |
| Address1 | 555 Ellis Street |
| All Time High | 109.175 |
| All Time Low | 2.201 |
| Ask | 13.4 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.8 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,622,480 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,634,543 |
| Average Volume | 1,634,543 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,622,480 |
| Beta | 2.407 |
| Bid | 7.78 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 0.401 |
| City | Mountain View |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.47 |
| Current Ratio | 7.846 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 10.97 |
| Day Low | 10.445 |
| Debt To Equity | 371.853 |
| Display Name | Aeva |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Ebitda | -126,708,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -5.453 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 31.989 |
| Enterprise Value | 690,896,832 |
| Eps Current Year | -1.534 |
| Eps Forward | -1.608 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.72 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 16.5984 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -6.1284 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.3692163 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -33.24226 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 31.3 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -20.829998 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.66549516 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 8.83 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.6400003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.1857305 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 8.83 - 31.3 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,582,813,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 41,472,835 |
| Forward Eps | -1.608 |
| Forward P E | -6.511194 |
| Free Cashflow | -139,472,880 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 239 |
| Fullday Change | -0.5249996 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -4.774894 |
| Fullday Price | 10.47 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.27225 |
| Gross Profits | 5,880,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.17472 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.67503 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 69,705,758 |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Disp | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Key | software-infrastructure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-01-28 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,710,806,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:5 |
| Long Business Summary | Aeva Technologies, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of LiDAR sensing systems, and related perception and autonomy-enabling software solutions in North America, Europe, Oceania, and Asia. The company develops its products using frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology. It also offers Aeva Omni, a wide-view short-range 4D LiDAR; Aeva Atlas, a orion long-range 4D LiDAR with data and power over ethernet; CityOS, a AI operating system for real-time traffic intelligence designed to improve safety, efficiency, and data-driven transportation planning in cities; Atlas, a FMCW 4D LiDAR with simultaneous velocity and range detection for mass production and built to meet automotive-grade requirements; Aeva Eve1, a line of high-precision laser displacement sensors for volume industrial automation; and Atlas Ultra, a 4D LiDAR sensor built to meet the performance demands of SAE Level 3 and 4 automated driving systems in passenger and commercial vehicles. Its products are also used in automotive, consumer devices, industrial automation, and security market applications. The company also engages in optical connectivity business. Aeva Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. |
| Long Name | Aeva Technologies, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 729,819,328 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_418324431 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -32,422,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,060,921,636 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 10.826 |
| Operating Cashflow | -111,476,000 |
| Operating Margins | -5.63233 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Phone | 650 481 7070 |
| Previous Close | 10.995 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -6.8252935 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 26.109726 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 33.79106 |
| Profit Margins | -1.50116 |
| Quick Ratio | 7.337 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.8 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.5249996 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.774894 |
| Regular Market Day High | 10.97 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.445 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.445 - 10.97 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.826 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.995 |
| Regular Market Price | 10.47 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,168,304 |
| Regular Market Volume | 452,345 |
| Return On Assets | -0.51715 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.113 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.352 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 69,705,758 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1285 |
| Shares Short | 8,956,904 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,095,811 |
| Short Name | Aeva Technologies, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.18620001 |
| Short Ratio | 5.93 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | AEVA |
| Target High Price | 42.0 |
| Target Low Price | 15.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 29.0 |
| Target Median Price | 27.0 |
| Total Cash | 177,888,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.552 |
| Total Debt | 102,371,000 |
| Total Revenue | 21,598,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.72 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.2699 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -6.799899 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.39374283 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 452,345 |
| Website | https://www.aeva.com |
| Zip | 94,043 |