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Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI)

Energy | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Austin, United States | NYSE
14.63 USD +0.82 (5.938%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:11 a.m. EDT

Despite a roaring 7.4% yield and a net buy recommendation from analysts, AESI is a long-term hold-only position at current levels. The company is bleeding cash with negative free cash flow and negative profit margins, making the dividend extremely fragile and likely unsustainable. While the recent price surge and convertible note deal offer short-term momentum, the fundamental value traps and high debt-to-equity ratio make it a poor candidate for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.078563
AutoARIMA0.081442
AutoETS0.081442
AutoTheta0.088873

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 6.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.476
Excess Kurtosis -0.45
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2025-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2025-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 51.434
Revenue per Share 8.946
Market Cap 1,826,806,400
Forward P/E 31.29
Beta 0.57
Profit Margins -4.59%
Website https://atlas.energy

As of April 19, 2026, 1:11 a.m. EDT: Options flow indicates a bullish sentiment with significant open interest (OI) and volume in at-the-money (12.5 strike) and out-of-the-money calls ($39M in higher strikes, heavy positioning in Jul/Oct 2026 expirations), while put activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes (7.5, 10.0) suggesting limited fear of a crash. Upcoming earnings may contribute to elevated implied volatility in the near term.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.21% 4.21%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-08-14 0.25 2.208481
2025-05-15 0.25 1.999155
2025-02-21 0.25 1.261296
2024-11-07 0.24 1.226668
2024-08-15 0.23 1.217234
2024-05-15 0.22 1.027091
2024-02-21 0.21 1.246882
2023-11-08 0.20 1.286957
2023-08-09 0.20 1.095573
2023-05-12 0.30 1.996439
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.0
dividendYield 6.84
exDividendDate 2025-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.75
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.05430847
lastDividendValue 0.25
lastDividendDate 2025-08-14
dividendDate 2025-08-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.06245458
Address1 5,918 West Courtyard Drive
Address2 Suite 500
All Time High 26.86
All Time Low 7.642
Ask 15.57
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,414,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,920,919
Average Volume 3,920,919
Average Volume10Days 6,414,130
Beta 0.568
Bid 13.5
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 10
Book Value 9.741
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.63
Current Ratio 1.457
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 14.655
Day Low 13.99
Debt To Equity 51.434
Display Name Atlas Energy
Dividend Date 1,755,734,400
Dividend Rate 1.0
Dividend Yield 6.84
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,989,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,989,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,924,800
Ebitda 179,619,008
Ebitda Margins 0.16399
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.349
Enterprise To Revenue 2.189
Enterprise Value 2,397,650,176
Eps Current Year -0.33
Eps Forward 0.4675
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.41
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,755,129,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.1634
Fifty Day Average Change 2.4666004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.20278874
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.245458
Fifty Two Week High 14.925
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.29500008
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.019765498
Fifty Two Week Low 7.642
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.988
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.91442025
Fifty Two Week Range 7.642 - 14.925
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,678,372,200,000
Float Shares 87,790,742
Forward Eps 0.4675
Forward P E 31.294117
Free Cashflow -32,798,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,511
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.28377
Gross Profits 310,815,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.34642
Held Percent Institutions 0.78675
Implied Shares Outstanding 124,867,153
Industry Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Key oil-gas-equipment-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-03-09
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,755,129,600
Last Dividend Value 0.25
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. produces proppants and provides logistics and distributed power solutions in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. It operates through two segments: Sand and Logistics, and Power. The Sand and Logistics segment operates fourteen proppant production facilities, including large-scale in-basin plants and a distributed mining network. This segment sells products and services primarily to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies, hydraulic fracturing services, and oilfield services companies; and produces locally sourced proppants, such as 40/70-mesh and 100-mesh sand, as well as both dry and damp sand options. It also offers a differentiated logistics platform featuring a fleet of fit-for-purpose trucks, trailers, wellsite equipment, and a 42-mile Dune Express conveyor system for proppant delivery. The Power segment provides distributed power solutions through a fleet of natural gas-powered reciprocating generators designed for heavy-duty, mission-critical applications, primarily supporting oil and gas production and artificial lift operations. The company also offers transportation, storage, contract labor, and distributes power rentals to the oil and gas industry. Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. formerly known as New Atlas HoldCo. Inc. Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Long Name Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,826,806,400
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1823874952
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -50,304,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,826,806,448
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 13.94
Operating Cashflow 117,346,000
Operating Margins -0.08088
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 8.083301
Phone 512 220 1200
Pre Market Change 0.8699999
Pre Market Change Percent 5.946684
Pre Market Price 15.5
Pre Market Time 1,776,845,399
Previous Close 13.81
Price Eps Current Year -44.333332
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5018991
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6678443
Profit Margins -0.04593
Quick Ratio 1.049
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.82
Regular Market Change Percent 5.93772
Regular Market Day High 14.655
Regular Market Day Low 13.99
Regular Market Day Range 13.99 - 14.655
Regular Market Open 13.94
Regular Market Previous Close 13.81
Regular Market Price 14.63
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,602
Regular Market Volume 5,227,591
Return On Assets -0.00247
Return On Equity -0.0448
Revenue Growth -0.081
Revenue Per Share 8.946
Sand P52 Week Change 0.3140242
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 124,867,153
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1146
Shares Short 14,311,299
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 14,524,549
Short Name Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1598
Short Ratio 4.41
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol AESI
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 14.09091
Target Median Price 14.0
Total Cash 40,632,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.327
Total Debt 621,801,984
Total Revenue 1,095,309,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.75
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.05430847
Trailing Eps -0.41
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.3731
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.2568998
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.2863687
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,227,591
Website https://atlas.energy
Zip 78,730