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The AES Corporation (AES)

Utilities | Utilities - Diversified | Arlington, United States | NYSE
14.76 USD -0.02 (-0.135%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.75 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT

The AES Corporation sits in a precarious limbo between a distressed utility and a potential takeover target. Fundamentally, the business is struggling; the stock has suffered a brutal multi-year decline, dropping nearly 33% in the most recent year alone, and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged with negative free cash flow. This structural deterioration justifies a neutral-to-bearish long-term outlook despite the attractive 4.8% yield, which is likely a compensation for the capital risk rather than a sign of safety. In the short term, the narrative is dominated by the consortium deal with Global Infrastructure Partners and EQT. While this offers a potential exit for shareholders, the market remains skeptical, evidenced by the heavy put positioning and the stock trading near its 52-week lows. The statistical forecast model offers almost no directional guidance, reflecting the noise surrounding the deal. Until the acquisition closes or a clearer path to profitability emerges, the stock lacks a strong directional catalyst, making it a hold rather than a buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.008759
AutoARIMA0.012893
AutoETS0.012975
AutoTheta0.022296
MSTL_1050.062344

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 1.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.143
Excess Kurtosis 0.08
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 259.603
Revenue per Share 17.526
Market Cap 10,526,208,000
Trailing P/E 7.69
Forward P/E 6.20
Beta 0.94
Profit Margins 10.82%
Website https://www.aes.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at strikes below the current price, particularly for July and August expirations. While there is some call activity at the $15 strike, the overwhelming open interest in out-of-the-money puts suggests a fear of further downside or a hedge against the pending acquisition uncertainty. Implied volatility is elevated on near-term puts relative to calls, indicating a skewed risk premium against a drop.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.23% 5.03% 4.81% 3.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-01 0.176000 1.232493
2026-01-30 0.176000 1.201365
2025-10-31 0.176000 1.268926
2025-08-01 0.176000 1.330310
2025-05-01 0.176000 1.768844
2025-01-31 0.176000 1.600000
2024-11-01 0.173000 1.176071
2024-08-01 0.173000 0.965941
2024-04-30 0.173000 0.966480
2024-01-31 0.173000 1.037170
2023-10-31 0.166000 1.114094
2023-07-31 0.166000 0.767453
2023-04-28 0.166000 0.701606
2023-01-31 0.166000 0.605618
2022-10-31 0.158000 0.603976
2022-07-29 0.158000 0.711071
2022-04-28 0.158000 0.750951
2022-01-31 0.158000 0.712353
2021-11-01 0.151000 0.595191
2021-07-30 0.151000 0.637131
2021-04-29 0.151000 0.541219
2021-01-28 0.151000 0.615071
2020-10-29 0.143000 0.732207
2020-07-31 0.143000 0.938936
2020-04-30 0.143000 1.079245
2020-01-30 0.143000 0.708622
2019-10-31 0.137000 0.803519
2019-07-31 0.137000 0.815962
2019-04-30 0.137000 0.800234
2019-01-31 0.137000 0.835876
2018-10-31 0.130000 0.891632
2018-08-02 0.130000 0.959410
2018-04-30 0.130000 1.062092
2018-01-31 0.130000 1.124567
2017-10-31 0.120000 1.128881
2017-08-01 0.120000 1.071429
2017-04-27 0.120000 1.062888
2017-01-30 0.120000 1.070473
2016-10-28 0.110000 0.944206
2016-07-28 0.110000 0.897959
2016-04-28 0.110000 0.989209
2016-01-29 0.110000 1.157895
2015-10-29 0.100000 0.909091
2015-07-30 0.100000 0.788022
2015-05-01 0.100000 0.753579
2015-01-30 0.100000 0.818331
2014-10-30 0.050000 0.358423
2014-07-30 0.050000 0.333556
2014-04-29 0.050000 0.349162
2014-01-30 0.050000 0.358423
2013-10-30 0.040000 0.280899
2013-07-30 0.040000 0.323102
2013-04-29 0.040000 0.292826
2013-01-30 0.040000 0.367647
2012-10-26 0.040000 0.382775
1994-11-04 0.042000 0.850633
1993-11-04 0.040453 0.781249
1993-07-19 0.040453 0.806450
1993-02-23 0.024272 0.550462
1992-09-02 0.016181 0.459764
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.7
dividendYield 4.76
exDividendDate 2026-05-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.704
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.047631934
lastDividendValue 0.176
lastDividendDate 2026-05-01
dividendDate 2026-05-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.17488074
Address1 4,300 Wilson Boulevard
Address2 11th Floor
All Time High 72.8125
All Time Low 0.92
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 65,800
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 10,329,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 10,060,390
Average Volume 10,060,390
Average Volume10Days 10,329,900
Beta 0.942
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 34,600
Board Risk 8
Book Value 6.198
City Arlington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.76
Current Ratio 0.73
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 14.8
Day Low 14.76
Debt To Equity 259.603
Display Name The AES
Dividend Date 1,778,803,200
Dividend Rate 0.7
Dividend Yield 4.76
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,452,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,452,800
Earnings Growth 9.511
Earnings Quarterly Growth 9.587
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Ebitda 3,755,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.30071
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.919
Enterprise To Revenue 3.885
Enterprise Value 48,510,205,952
Eps Current Year 2.26405
Eps Forward 2.37954
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.92
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.5886
Fifty Day Average Change 0.17140007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.011748904
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 17.488075
Fifty Two Week High 17.65
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.8899994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16373934
Fifty Two Week Low 12.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.4300003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19708031
Fifty Two Week Range 12.33 - 17.65
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 677,943,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.83
Float Shares 708,671,951
Forward Eps 2.37954
Forward P E 6.20288
Free Cashflow -2,964,999,936
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 8,336
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.19299999
Gross Profits 2,409,999,872
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0057599996
Held Percent Institutions 0.89919
Implied Shares Outstanding 713,157,713
Industry Utilities - Diversified
Industry Disp Utilities - Diversified
Industry Key utilities-diversified
Ir Website http://investor.aes.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=76149&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Last Dividend Value 0.176
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 959,904,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Utilities, Energy Infrastructure, and New Energy Technologies. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market, as well as investments in technologies to support leading-edge greener energy solutions. It uses various fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as solar, hydro, wind, coal, and gas, as well as renewables comprising energy storage and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 34,740 megawatts and distributes power to 2.7 million customers. The company operates in the United States, Chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Mexico, Bulgaria, Panama, Colombia, Argentina, Vietnam, Jordan, Puerto Rico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.
Long Name The AES Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 10,526,208,000
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_35312
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,380,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 10,540,470,998
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 14.79
Operating Cashflow 4,961,999,872
Operating Margins 0.18742001
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.3666
Peg Ratio 0.81
Phone 703 522 1315
Post Market Change -0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent -0.06775223
Post Market Price 14.75
Post Market Time 1,783,986,332
Previous Close 14.78
Price Eps Current Year 6.519291
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3814135
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.84297335
Profit Margins 0.10819
Quick Ratio 0.417
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0199995
Regular Market Change Percent -0.135315
Regular Market Day High 14.8
Regular Market Day Low 14.76
Regular Market Day Range 14.76 - 14.8
Regular Market Open 14.79
Regular Market Previous Close 14.78
Regular Market Price 14.76
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 7,369,962
Return On Assets 0.027139999
Return On Equity 0.052600004
Revenue Growth 0.087
Revenue Per Share 17.526
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 713,157,713
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.028299998
Shares Short 20,207,646
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 21,919,358
Short Name The AES Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.028499998
Short Ratio 2.52
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol AES
Target High Price 15.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 15.0
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 1,651,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 2.315
Total Debt 31,804,000,256
Total Revenue 12,487,000,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.704
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.047631934
Trailing Eps 1.92
Trailing P E 7.6875005
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.4636
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.29640007
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.020492828
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,369,962
Website https://www.aes.com
Zip 22,203