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The AES Corporation (AES)

Utilities | Utilities - Diversified | Arlington, United States | NYSE
14.73 USD -0.02 (-0.136%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.72 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:39 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains fundamentally compromised despite the attractive valuation metrics. While the company trades at a low P/E and offers a robust dividend yield, the multi-year price trajectory tells a different story: the stock has suffered three consecutive years of negative annual returns, culminating in a sharp 24% drop last year. This persistent decline suggests the market views the current low valuation as a reflection of deteriorating business quality or structural issues, rather than a margin of safety. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing equity and free cash flow turning negative, which limits the ability to sustain aggressive growth or easily cover the dividend without external capital. Consequently, the investment case relies entirely on a mean-reversion thesis that the market has already priced in, making it a risky hold rather than a compelling buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.004506
AutoETS0.004533
AutoTheta0.004538
MSTL0.004646

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 9.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.245
Excess Kurtosis -1.08
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 256.886
Revenue per Share 18.296
Market Cap 10,504,812,544
Trailing P/E 5.52
Forward P/E 6.20
Beta 0.95
Profit Margins 14.34%
Website https://www.aes.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at strikes below the current price (14.00), particularly for the November 2026 expiration where out-of-the-money puts dominate. Call activity is skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (16.00, 19.00, 20.00) with very low implied volatility compared to the near-term puts, suggesting a 'crash protection' strategy rather than a bullish breakout expectation.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.20% 4.90% 4.95% 4.06%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-31 0.176000 1.198910
2026-05-01 0.176000 1.232493
2026-01-30 0.176000 1.201365
2025-10-31 0.176000 1.268926
2025-08-01 0.176000 1.330310
2025-05-01 0.176000 1.768844
2025-01-31 0.176000 1.600000
2024-11-01 0.173000 1.176071
2024-08-01 0.173000 0.965941
2024-04-30 0.173000 0.966480
2024-01-31 0.173000 1.037170
2023-10-31 0.166000 1.114094
2023-07-31 0.166000 0.767453
2023-04-28 0.166000 0.701606
2023-01-31 0.166000 0.605618
2022-10-31 0.158000 0.603976
2022-07-29 0.158000 0.711071
2022-04-28 0.158000 0.750951
2022-01-31 0.158000 0.712353
2021-11-01 0.151000 0.595191
2021-07-30 0.151000 0.637131
2021-04-29 0.151000 0.541219
2021-01-28 0.151000 0.615071
2020-10-29 0.143000 0.732207
2020-07-31 0.143000 0.938936
2020-04-30 0.143000 1.079245
2020-01-30 0.143000 0.708622
2019-10-31 0.137000 0.803519
2019-07-31 0.137000 0.815962
2019-04-30 0.137000 0.800234
2019-01-31 0.137000 0.835876
2018-10-31 0.130000 0.891632
2018-08-02 0.130000 0.959410
2018-04-30 0.130000 1.062092
2018-01-31 0.130000 1.124567
2017-10-31 0.120000 1.128881
2017-08-01 0.120000 1.071429
2017-04-27 0.120000 1.062888
2017-01-30 0.120000 1.070473
2016-10-28 0.110000 0.944206
2016-07-28 0.110000 0.897959
2016-04-28 0.110000 0.989209
2016-01-29 0.110000 1.157895
2015-10-29 0.100000 0.909091
2015-07-30 0.100000 0.788022
2015-05-01 0.100000 0.753579
2015-01-30 0.100000 0.818331
2014-10-30 0.050000 0.358423
2014-07-30 0.050000 0.333556
2014-04-29 0.050000 0.349162
2014-01-30 0.050000 0.358423
2013-10-30 0.040000 0.280899
2013-07-30 0.040000 0.323102
2013-04-29 0.040000 0.292826
2013-01-30 0.040000 0.367647
2012-10-26 0.040000 0.382775
1994-11-04 0.042000 0.850633
1993-11-04 0.040453 0.781249
1993-07-19 0.040453 0.806450
1993-02-23 0.024272 0.550462
1992-09-02 0.016181 0.459764
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.7
dividendYield 4.77
exDividendDate 2026-07-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.704
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.047728814
lastDividendValue 0.176
lastDividendDate 2026-07-31
dividendDate 2026-08-14

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.0999254
Address1 4,300 Wilson Boulevard
Address2 11th Floor
All Time High 72.8125
All Time Low 0.92
Ask 14.72
Ask Size 31,900
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 7,733,020
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,912,561
Average Volume 7,912,561
Average Volume10Days 7,733,020
Beta 0.952
Bid 14.72
Bid Size 73,000
Board Risk 8
Book Value 6.93
City Arlington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.73
Current Ratio 0.746
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 14.75
Day Low 14.71
Debt To Equity 256.886
Display Name The AES
Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Dividend Rate 0.7
Dividend Yield 4.77
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,452,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,452,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 4,070,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.31178
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.157
Enterprise To Revenue 3.79
Enterprise Value 49,480,949,760
Eps Forward 2.37772
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.67
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.7272
Fifty Day Average Change 0.0027999878
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.00019012357
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 9.99254
Fifty Two Week High 17.65
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.92
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1654391
Fifty Two Week Low 12.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.3999996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19464718
Fifty Two Week Range 12.33 - 17.65
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 677,943,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.83
Float Shares 708,808,413
Forward Eps 2.37772
Forward P E 6.1950097
Free Cashflow -3,089,125,120
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 8,336
Fullday Change -0.0200005
Fullday Change Percent -0.135596
Fullday Price 14.72
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.2027
Gross Profits 2,646,000,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0057599996
Held Percent Institutions 0.91332
Implied Shares Outstanding 713,157,713
Industry Utilities - Diversified
Industry Disp Utilities - Diversified
Industry Key utilities-diversified
Ir Website http://investor.aes.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=76149&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Last Dividend Value 0.176
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 959,904,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Utilities, Energy Infrastructure, and New Energy Technologies. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market, as well as investments in technologies to support leading-edge greener energy solutions. It uses various fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as solar, hydro, wind, coal, and gas, as well as renewables comprising energy storage and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 34,740 megawatts and distributes power to 2.7 million customers. The company operates in the United States, Chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Mexico, Bulgaria, Panama, Colombia, Argentina, Vietnam, Jordan, Puerto Rico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.
Long Name The AES Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 10,504,812,544
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_35312
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,911,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 10,523,219,792
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 14.73
Operating Cashflow 5,032,000,000
Operating Margins 0.18673
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.2636
Peg Ratio 0.81
Phone 703 522 1315
Post Market Change -0.009999275
Post Market Change Percent -0.067883745
Post Market Price 14.72
Post Market Time 1,787,961,001
Previous Close 14.75
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1255412
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8047198
Profit Margins 0.1434
Quick Ratio 0.45
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0200005
Regular Market Change Percent -0.135596
Regular Market Day High 14.75
Regular Market Day Low 14.71
Regular Market Day Range 14.71 - 14.75
Regular Market Open 14.73
Regular Market Previous Close 14.75
Regular Market Price 14.73
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 5,672,730
Return On Assets 0.02964
Return On Equity 0.095740005
Revenue Growth 0.199
Revenue Per Share 18.296
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 713,157,713
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0241
Shares Short 17,221,477
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 22,913,861
Short Name The AES Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.024300002
Short Ratio 2.6
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol AES
Target High Price 15.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 15.0
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 1,852,999,936
Total Cash Per Share 2.597
Total Debt 32,942,999,552
Total Revenue 13,054,000,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.704
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.047728814
Trailing Eps 2.67
Trailing P E 5.516854
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.5686
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.16139984
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.01107861
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,672,730
Website https://www.aes.com
Zip 22,203