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Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO)

Industrials | Airlines | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
15.65 USD +0.35 (2.288%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.96 +0.31 (1.981%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 7:42 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Grupo Aeromexico is currently paralyzed by severe balance sheet distress and a lack of capital markets support. The company is trading at a negative book value (-$3.99 per share), a critical red flag that implies the equity is worthless on a liquidation basis. This is compounded by a massive debt load ($3.98 billion) against only $1 billion in cash, resulting in a precarious current ratio of 0.65. While revenue growth is positive (+13.3%) and operating margins remain healthy (~10%), these operational improvements cannot offset the structural financial fragility. The absence of any recent dividend payments confirms that cash flow is being consumed by debt servicing rather than returned to shareholders. With no analyst consensus on a recovery path beyond generic 'Buy' ratings that ignore the solvency risks, and zero speculative interest in the options market, the stock represents a high-risk speculative bet on a turnaround that the balance sheet may not support.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.058916
AutoETS0.058917
MSTL0.066333
AutoTheta0.084250

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 2.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.315
Excess Kurtosis -0.68
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Revenue per Share 37.466
Market Cap 2,283,388,160
Trailing P/E 0.68
Forward P/E 8.12
Profit Margins 6.18%
Website https://www.aeromexico.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely thin and non-directional. Call volume and open interest are negligible across all expirations, with no significant strikes identified. Put activity is similarly sparse, though slightly higher relative to calls in the August expiration. The lack of meaningful open interest or volume suggests a complete absence of speculative positioning, indicating the market is effectively ignoring the stock for directional bets.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.24815726
Address1 Avenida Paseo de la Reforma 243
Address2 25th Floor Col. CuauhtEmoc
All Time High 23.05
All Time Low 12.26
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 371,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 269,940
Average Volume 269,940
Average Volume10Days 371,560
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 500
Book Value -3.994
City Mexico City
Country Mexico
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.65
Current Ratio 0.649
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 16.045
Day Low 14.82
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,041,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,041,200
Earnings Growth -0.563
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.509
Earnings Timestamp 1,783,972,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,783,972,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,783,972,800
Ebitda 1,119,100,032
Ebitda Margins 0.20281
Enterprise To Ebitda 4.647
Enterprise To Revenue 0.942
Enterprise Value 5,200,425,984
Eps Current Year 1.37559
Eps Forward 1.92832
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 22.98
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.4984
Fifty Day Average Change -0.8484001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.051423177
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -24.815727
Fifty Two Week High 23.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.3999996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3210412
Fifty Two Week Low 12.26
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.3899994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.27650893
Fifty Two Week Range 12.26 - 23.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,762,439,400,000
Float Shares 58,356,986
Forward Eps 1.92832
Forward P E 8.115872
Free Cashflow 489,318,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 17,243
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.37173
Gross Profits 2,051,195,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.70342004
Implied Shares Outstanding 145,903,409
Industry Airlines
Industry Disp Airlines
Industry Key airlines
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, provide public air carrier services for passengers and goods. It offers scheduled passenger air carrier services, cargo air carrier services, and other services. The company also offers loyalty program management, training, franchise systems, and investment management services. Its network of destinations includes Mexico, the United States, South America, Central America, the Caribbean, Canada, Europe, and Asia. The company was founded in 1934 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,283,388,160
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_130367928
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 340,710,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,232,322,157
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 14.82
Operating Cashflow 932,457,024
Operating Margins 0.10193
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 52 55 9132 4000
Post Market Change 0.31000042
Post Market Change Percent 1.9808334
Post Market Price 15.96
Post Market Time 1,784,072,533
Previous Close 15.3
Price Eps Current Year 11.376937
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -3.9183774
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.41380677
Profit Margins 0.061750002
Quick Ratio 0.566
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.349999
Regular Market Change Percent 2.28758
Regular Market Day High 16.045
Regular Market Day Low 14.82
Regular Market Day Range 14.82 - 16.045
Regular Market Open 14.82
Regular Market Previous Close 15.3
Regular Market Price 15.65
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,202
Regular Market Volume 244,286
Return On Assets 0.07453
Revenue Growth 0.133
Revenue Per Share 37.466
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 145,903,409
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.006
Shares Short 879,687
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,151,564
Short Name Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V
Short Percent Of Float 0.010199999
Short Ratio 4.35
Source Interval 15
State DF
Symbol AERO
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 20.0
Target Mean Price 27.1
Target Median Price 27.0
Total Cash 1,018,174,976
Total Cash Per Share 6.978
Total Debt 3,984,229,120
Total Revenue 5,518,005,760
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 22.98
Trailing P E 0.681027
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.544674
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.8946743
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10799142
Type Disp Equity
Volume 244,286
Website https://www.aeromexico.com
Zip 6,500