Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO)Industrials | Airlines | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
15.30 USD
-1.43
(-8.548%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Grupo Aeromexico is currently paralyzed by severe balance sheet distress and a lack of capital markets support. The company is trading at a negative book value (-$3.99 per share), a critical red flag that implies the equity is worthless on a liquidation basis. This is compounded by a massive debt load ($3.98 billion) against only $1 billion in cash, resulting in a precarious current ratio of 0.65. While revenue growth is positive (+13.3%) and operating margins remain healthy (~10%), these operational improvements cannot offset the structural financial fragility. The absence of any recent dividend payments confirms that cash flow is being consumed by debt servicing rather than returned to shareholders. With no analyst consensus on a recovery path beyond generic 'Buy' ratings that ignore the solvency risks, and zero speculative interest in the options market, the stock represents a high-risk speculative bet on a turnaround that the balance sheet may not support. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.058916 |
| AutoETS | 0.058917 |
| MSTL | 0.066333 |
| AutoTheta | 0.084250 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 2.38 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.315 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.68 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Revenue per Share | 37.466 |
| Market Cap | 2,232,322,048 |
| Trailing P/E | 0.74 |
| Forward P/E | 7.93 |
| Profit Margins | 6.18% |
| Website | https://www.aeromexico.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely thin and non-directional. Call volume and open interest are negligible across all expirations, with no significant strikes identified. Put activity is similarly sparse, though slightly higher relative to calls in the August expiration. The lack of meaningful open interest or volume suggests a complete absence of speculative positioning, indicating the market is effectively ignoring the stock for directional bets.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.24815726 |
| Address1 | Avenida Paseo de la Reforma 243 |
| Address2 | 25th Floor Col. CuauhtEmoc |
| All Time High | 23.05 |
| All Time Low | 12.26 |
| Ask | 22.0 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 371,560 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 269,940 |
| Average Volume | 269,940 |
| Average Volume10Days | 371,560 |
| Bid | 13.5 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Book Value | -3.994 |
| City | Mexico City |
| Country | Mexico |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 15.3 |
| Current Ratio | 0.649 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 16.9 |
| Day Low | 15.17 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,784,041,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,784,041,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.563 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.509 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,783,972,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,783,972,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,783,972,800 |
| Ebitda | 1,119,100,032 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.20281 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 4.647 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.942 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,200,425,984 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.37559 |
| Eps Forward | 1.92832 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 20.54 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 16.4984 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1983995 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.07263732 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -24.815727 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 23.05 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.749999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.33622557 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 12.26 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.04 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.24796084 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 12.26 - 23.05 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,762,439,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 58,356,986 |
| Forward Eps | 1.92832 |
| Forward P E | 7.9343677 |
| Free Cashflow | 489,318,752 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 17,243 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.37173 |
| Gross Profits | 2,051,195,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.70342004 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 145,903,409 |
| Industry | Airlines |
| Industry Disp | Airlines |
| Industry Key | airlines |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, provide public air carrier services for passengers and goods. It offers scheduled passenger air carrier services, cargo air carrier services, and other services. The company also offers loyalty program management, training, franchise systems, and investment management services. Its network of destinations includes Mexico, the United States, South America, Central America, the Caribbean, Canada, Europe, and Asia. The company was founded in 1934 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,232,322,048 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_130367928 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 340,710,016 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,232,322,157 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 16.59 |
| Operating Cashflow | 932,457,024 |
| Operating Margins | 0.10193 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 52 55 9132 4000 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.22000027 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.4341608 |
| Pre Market Price | 15.56 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,031,381 |
| Previous Close | 16.73 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 11.1225 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -3.8307462 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.4045523 |
| Profit Margins | 0.061750002 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.566 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.66667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.43 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -8.54752 |
| Regular Market Day High | 16.9 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 15.17 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 15.17 - 16.9 |
| Regular Market Open | 16.59 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 16.73 |
| Regular Market Price | 15.3 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 270,328 |
| Return On Assets | 0.07453 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.133 |
| Revenue Per Share | 37.466 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 145,903,409 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.006 |
| Shares Short | 879,687 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,151,564 |
| Short Name | Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.010199999 |
| Short Ratio | 4.35 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | DF |
| Symbol | AERO |
| Target High Price | 30.0 |
| Target Low Price | 20.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 27.1 |
| Target Median Price | 27.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,018,174,976 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.978 |
| Total Debt | 3,984,229,120 |
| Total Revenue | 5,518,005,760 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 20.54 |
| Trailing P E | 0.744888 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.544674 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.2446737 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.12794046 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 270,328 |
| Website | https://www.aeromexico.com |
| Zip | 6,500 |