Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO)Industrials | Airlines | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
16.35 USD
+0.31
(1.933%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:05 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Grupo Aeromexico is currently fractured by severe balance sheet distress and a lack of shareholder returns. The company carries a massive debt load ($4B+) against minimal cash reserves, resulting in a negative book value and a current ratio well below 1.0, which severely limits operational flexibility. While the forward P/E appears attractive, it masks the reality of a struggling legacy carrier with negative free cash flow potential and a history of passenger volume declines. The absence of any dividend history confirms that capital is being retained solely to service debt, offering no income floor for investors. On the short end, the stock is trading below its 200-day average, and options flow shows significant defensive positioning, suggesting the market expects further volatility or downside before any recovery can be priced in. The analyst consensus is 'Buy' based on potential turnaround premiums, but the fundamental metrics paint a picture of a distressed asset requiring significant restructuring before it can generate sustainable value. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.035179 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.035332 |
| AutoETS | 0.035333 |
| AutoTheta | 0.039913 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 0.85 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.001 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.43 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Revenue per Share | 37.979 |
| Market Cap | 2,385,520,896 |
| Trailing P/E | 1.18 |
| Forward P/E | 8.57 |
| Profit Margins | 3.78% |
| Website | https://www.aeromexico.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, particularly at the $15 strike where new flow suggests hedging against downside. Open interest is concentrated in OTM puts, indicating a fear of further decline rather than a bullish breakout. Implied volatility is elevated on near-term expirations, reflecting uncertainty around upcoming earnings and fuel costs.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.2117936 |
| Address1 | Avenida Paseo de la Reforma 243 |
| Address2 | 25th Floor Col. CuauhtEmoc |
| All Time High | 23.05 |
| All Time Low | 12.26 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 388,520 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 325,185 |
| Average Volume | 325,185 |
| Average Volume10Days | 388,520 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Book Value | -4.385 |
| City | Mexico City |
| Country | Mexico |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 16.35 |
| Current Ratio | 0.62 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 16.43 |
| Day Low | 15.86 |
| Display Name | Grupo Aeroméxico |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,792,526,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,792,526,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,792,440,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,792,440,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,792,440,000 |
| Ebitda | 959,462,016 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.16881001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 5.649 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.954 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,419,527,680 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.91919 |
| Eps Forward | 1.90677 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 13.8 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 15.3878 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.96220016 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.06253006 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -21.17936 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 23.05 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.699999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.29067242 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 12.26 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.09 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.33360523 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 12.26 - 23.05 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,762,439,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 30,700,995 |
| Forward Eps | 1.90677 |
| Forward P E | 8.57471 |
| Free Cashflow | 595,600,512 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 16,895 |
| Fullday Change | 0.30999947 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.932665 |
| Fullday Price | 16.35 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.33103 |
| Gross Profits | 1,881,428,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.65461 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 145,903,409 |
| Industry | Airlines |
| Industry Disp | Airlines |
| Industry Key | airlines |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, provide public air carrier services for passengers and goods. It offers scheduled passenger air carrier services, cargo air carrier services, and other services. The company also offers loyalty program management, training, franchise systems, and investment management services. Its network of destinations includes Mexico, the United States, South America, Central America, the Caribbean, Canada, Europe, and Asia. The company was founded in 1934 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,385,520,896 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_130367928 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 214,956,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,305,273,862 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 15.94 |
| Operating Cashflow | 926,817,984 |
| Operating Margins | 0.0417 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 52 55 9132 4000 |
| Previous Close | 16.04 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 17.787401 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -3.7286203 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.41972226 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03782 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.542 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.66667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.309999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.93266 |
| Regular Market Day High | 16.43 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 15.86 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 15.86 - 16.43 |
| Regular Market Open | 15.94 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 16.04 |
| Regular Market Price | 16.35 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,402 |
| Regular Market Volume | 423,667 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0579 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.126 |
| Revenue Per Share | 37.979 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 145,903,409 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0061000003 |
| Shares Short | 885,751 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 663,289 |
| Short Name | Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.010299999 |
| Short Ratio | 2.38 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | DF |
| Symbol | AERO |
| Target High Price | 30.0 |
| Target Low Price | 20.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 26.82222 |
| Target Median Price | 27.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,036,785,984 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 7.106 |
| Total Debt | 4,068,742,912 |
| Total Revenue | 5,683,570,176 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 13.8 |
| Trailing P E | 1.1847826 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 16.60015 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.25014877 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.0150690675 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 423,667 |
| Website | https://www.aeromexico.com |
| Zip | 6,500 |