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AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER)

Industrials | Rental & Leasing Services | Dublin, Ireland | NYSE
146.75 USD -2.39 (-1.603%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT

AerCap Holdings offers a compelling blend of deep value and robust operational strength. The stock trades at a significant discount to historical norms, with a trailing P/E of roughly 6.6 times earnings and a forward P/E near 8.8. This valuation is supported by a 22 percent return on equity and a 45 percent profit margin, indicating a highly efficient business model. While revenue growth sits at 7.9 percent, the earnings expansion of 42.5 percent demonstrates the power of margin leverage. The balance sheet carries high leverage typical of the leasing sector, but operating cash flow remains strong at $5.5 billion, supporting the dividend despite negative free cash flow. Momentum is constructive, with the price trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting a steady upward trend over the last year. The nine-year price trajectory shows a cumulative gain of over 227 percent, with no recent multi-year decline to worry about. Options activity reveals a cautious but ultimately bullish undercurrent. While there is significant put volume suggesting hedging against volatility, call positioning in the January 2027 expiration leans heavily into the money, signaling long-term confidence. Implied volatility spikes in October suggest market anxiety about a potential downturn later in the year, but the fundamental data does not support a structural decline. The dividend is a modest 1.06 percent yield, but the payout ratio is a mere 5 percent, offering immense safety and room for future increases. Overall, this is a high-conviction long-term hold for investors seeking quality industrial exposure at a discount, though short-term traders should watch for volatility risks highlighted by the options flow.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_70 ✓0.040849
AutoETS0.047438
MSTL0.052189
AutoTheta0.060957
AutoARIMA0.071265
MSTL_1260.096188
MSTL_70_1260.109655

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_70

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 0.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.203
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 234.407
Revenue per Share 51.765
Market Cap 23,140,288,512
Trailing P/E 6.55
Forward P/E 8.58
Beta 0.93
Profit Margins 45.22%
Website https://www.aercap.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound market with a bullish long-term bias. Near-term call options show moderate out-of-the-money interest, while deep in-the-money call positions in January 2027 suggest institutional confidence in the underlying business. Put volume is concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes, indicating hedging activity rather than pure bearish conviction. Implied volatility is elevated for October and January expirations, reflecting uncertainty about potential downside risk later in the year.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.28% 0.78%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-13 0.40 0.279955
2026-02-25 0.40 0.266117
2025-08-13 0.27 0.237342
2025-05-14 0.27 0.239532
2025-03-12 0.27 0.278035
2024-11-13 0.25 0.264271
2024-08-14 0.25 0.268702
2024-05-21 0.25 0.272658
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.6
dividendYield 1.09
exDividendDate 2026-05-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.34
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.008984847
lastDividendValue 0.4
lastDividendDate 2026-05-13
dividendDate 2026-06-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.28054106
Address1 AerCap House
Address2 65 St. Stephen’s Green
All Time High 155.99
All Time Low 1.83
Ask 160.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,064,570
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,313,060
Average Volume 1,313,060
Average Volume10Days 1,064,570
Beta 0.933
Bid 58.7
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 7
Book Value 116.673
City Dublin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country Ireland
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 146.75
Current Ratio 1.327
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 151.7
Day Low 146.72
Debt To Equity 234.407
Display Name AerCap
Dividend Date 1,780,531,200
Dividend Rate 1.6
Dividend Yield 1.09
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth 0.425
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.273
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,328,200
Ebitda 4,853,159,936
Ebitda Margins 0.55903
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.345
Enterprise To Revenue 7.461
Enterprise Value 64,767,721,472
Eps Current Year 17.28914
Eps Forward 17.10553
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 22.41
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 143.1096
Fifty Day Average Change 3.640396
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.025437819
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.054106
Fifty Two Week High 155.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.2400055
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0592346
Fifty Two Week Low 105.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 41.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.38902032
Fifty Two Week Range 105.65 - 155.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,164,119,400,000
Float Shares 149,934,878
Forward Eps 17.10553
Forward P E 8.579097
Free Cashflow -909,374,976
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 668
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.61947
Gross Profits 5,377,856,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.042719997
Held Percent Institutions 0.98769
Implied Shares Outstanding 157,685,101
Industry Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Disp Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Key rental-leasing-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Last Dividend Value 0.4
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines; conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft and engine asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults; repossessing aircraft and engines; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage; registering and de-registering aircraft; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides corporate administrative services comprising accounting, and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements; and cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of companies. Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company has a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft, consisting of 3,500 aircraft, engines, and helicopters. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
Long Name AerCap Holdings N.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 23,140,288,512
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_896178
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 3,925,881,088
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 23,517,155,963
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 150.7
Operating Cashflow 5,489,814,016
Operating Margins 0.60944
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0531
Peg Ratio 0.8
Phone 353 1 819 2010
Pre Market Change -0.7400055
Pre Market Change Percent -0.5042627
Pre Market Price 146.01
Pre Market Time 1,784,114,573
Previous Close 149.14
Price Eps Current Year 8.487987
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2577889
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.665513
Profit Margins 0.45222
Quick Ratio 0.959
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.39
Regular Market Change Percent -1.60252
Regular Market Day High 151.7
Regular Market Day Low 146.72
Regular Market Day Range 146.72 - 151.7
Regular Market Open 150.7
Regular Market Previous Close 149.14
Regular Market Price 146.75
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,202
Regular Market Volume 786,548
Return On Assets 0.041840002
Return On Equity 0.22062
Revenue Growth 0.079
Revenue Per Share 51.765
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 157,685,101
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0082
Shares Short 1,290,332
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,465,695
Short Name AerCap Holdings N.V.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0084
Short Ratio 1.05
Source Interval 15
Symbol AER
Target High Price 179.0
Target Low Price 155.0
Target Mean Price 170.0
Target Median Price 175.0
Total Cash 1,498,429,056
Total Cash Per Share 9.503
Total Debt 43,125,653,504
Total Revenue 8,681,363,456
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.34
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.008984847
Trailing Eps 22.41
Trailing P E 6.548416
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 139.1682
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.5818024
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.054479416
Type Disp Equity
Volume 786,548
Website https://www.aercap.com
Zip D02 YX20