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Aegon Ltd. (AEG)

Financial Services | Insurance - Diversified | Schiphol, Netherlands | NYSE
8.33 USD +0.03 (0.361%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:59 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook for Aegon is defined by a heavy cloud of speculative hedging. The options chain reveals a distinct 'bearish bias' where traders are aggressively buying protection at lower strikes ($7.50, $5.00) rather than betting on a rally. This aligns with the recent price action, which has seen the stock drift downward from late September highs, failing to hold key moving averages. Despite a decent 5.8% dividend yield, the payout ratio of 61.5% indicates the company is stretching its earnings to maintain this income, which is risky given the negative revenue growth (-8.2%) and negative free cash flow. Fundamentally, while the long-term trajectory shows a recovery from 2016 lows (+88% over 9 years), the most recent annual performance was flat, and the business is currently contracting in top-line terms. The combination of shrinking revenues, negative cash generation, and a market that has priced in further weakness (evidenced by the options flow) suggests the stock is in a defensive phase. It is not a clear buy yet; the fundamental deterioration in growth metrics outweighs the attractive yield for a growth-oriented investor, making it a hold or a cautious accumulation only for deep value seekers who can stomach the stagnation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.033532
AutoETS0.034278
AutoARIMA0.034281
AutoTheta0.043509

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 23.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.134
Excess Kurtosis 0.23
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-02
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-02
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.673
Revenue per Share 7.687
Market Cap 12,328,322,048
Trailing P/E 12.07
Forward P/E 8.90
Beta 0.65
Profit Margins 8.62%
Previous Name Aegon N.V.
Website https://www.aegon.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:59 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is heavily skewed toward downside protection. In the January 2027 expiration, out-of-the-money put volume (93 contracts) vastly outweighs call volume (21 contracts), creating a dense wall of resistance around the $7.50 strike. While there is some call interest at the $10.00 strike, the overwhelming majority of open interest sits deep in the money for puts, suggesting a consensus view that the stock will struggle to reclaim higher levels and faces significant headwinds in the near-to-intermediate term.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.67% 5.57% 4.87% 4.94%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-03 0.246000 2.673913
2026-06-15 0.247000 2.899061
2025-06-17 0.220000 3.293413
2024-09-05 0.177000 2.945091
2024-06-17 0.172000 2.796748
2023-08-29 0.151000 2.949219
2023-05-26 0.129000 2.873051
2022-08-23 0.110000 2.422908
2022-06-02 0.096000 1.839081
2021-08-26 0.093000 1.897959
2021-06-07 0.073000 1.590414
2020-08-21 0.071000 2.689394
2019-08-23 0.166000 4.426667
2019-05-21 0.167000 3.508403
2018-05-22 0.165000 2.444444
2017-08-17 0.153000 2.665505
2017-05-22 0.146000 2.846004
2016-08-18 0.147000 3.629629
2016-05-23 0.141000 2.913223
2015-08-20 0.133000 2.094488
2015-05-21 0.137000 1.701863
2014-08-21 0.146000 1.891192
2014-05-22 0.151000 1.761960
2013-08-15 0.147000 1.919060
2013-05-17 0.147000 2.261538
2012-08-16 0.123000 2.312030
2012-05-18 0.132000 3.203884
2008-08-08 0.462000 3.911939
2008-04-25 0.491000 3.131377
2007-08-10 0.410000 2.305962
2007-04-26 0.410000 1.965484
2006-08-14 0.306000 1.773913
2006-04-26 0.275000 1.543210
2005-08-15 0.274000 1.866485
2005-04-25 0.276000 2.180095
2004-08-16 0.256000 2.417375
2004-04-21 0.243000 1.797337
2003-08-11 0.048000 0.387097
2002-08-12 0.346154 2.875401
2002-04-17 0.387500 1.607499
2001-08-13 0.314423 1.065841
2001-05-01 0.393269 1.224550
2000-08-14 0.261538 0.663413
2000-04-27 0.313462 0.893152
1999-08-16 0.259615 0.631578
1999-04-28 0.305769 0.666404
1998-08-17 0.222115 0.524999
1998-05-15 0.268510 0.815330
1997-08-27 0.161298 0.888741
1997-05-13 0.204808 1.181284
1996-09-10 0.169952 1.421106
1996-05-13 0.014423 0.121518
1995-09-13 0.090385 1.101836
1995-05-24 0.061731 0.824401
1995-05-03 0.218462 2.931619
1994-05-06 0.042500 0.888442
1993-09-01 0.042308 0.895681
1993-05-06 0.141923 3.226228
1992-09-02 0.064904 1.730773
1992-05-07 0.130913 4.049057
Additional Data
dividendYield 5.83
exDividendDate 2026-09-03
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.42
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.050602406
lastDividendValue 0.246
lastDividendDate 2026-09-03
dividendDate 2026-09-24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.08322501
Address1 Schiphol Boulevard 223
All Time High 62.560097
All Time Low 1.24399
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 43,800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,799,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,892,078
Average Volume 4,892,078
Average Volume10Days 5,799,300
Beta 0.647
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 25,600
Book Value 6.700284
City Schiphol
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Netherlands
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.33
Current Ratio 1.164
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 8.38
Day Low 8.27
Debt To Equity 42.673
Display Name Aegon
Dividend Date 1,790,208,000
Dividend Yield 5.83
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,227,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,227,200
Earnings Growth 0.079
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.051
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,229,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,229,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,229,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 1.093
Enterprise Value 12,761,171,968
Eps Forward 0.936
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.69
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,393,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.0124
Fifty Day Average Change -0.68239975
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.075717874
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.322501
Fifty Two Week High 9.61
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.2799997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13319457
Fifty Two Week Low 6.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.5799999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.23407406
Fifty Two Week Range 6.75 - 9.61
Financial Currency EUR
First Trade Date Milliseconds 488,813,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.7
Float Shares 1,208,733,915
Forward Eps 0.936
Forward P E 8.899572
Free Cashflow -4,314,749,952
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 12,100
Fullday Change 0.029999733
Fullday Change Percent 0.36144257
Fullday Price 8.2999
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.45736
Gross Profits 5,342,000,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.08472
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,479,990,634
Industry Insurance - Diversified
Industry Disp Insurance - Diversified
Industry Key insurance-diversified
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,393,600
Last Dividend Value 0.246
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,050,537,600
Last Split Factor 104:100
Long Business Summary Aegon Ltd. provides insurance services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers retirement plans, mutual funds, and unit-linked products; and annuities, life, and health insurance. The company provides its products under the Transamerica and World Financial Group brands. Aegon Ltd. was founded in 1844 and is based in Schiphol, the Netherlands.
Long Name Aegon Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,328,322,048
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247906
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-14
Net Income To Common 970,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 13,197,849,993
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 8.38
Operating Cashflow 1,776,000,000
Operating Margins 0.0582
Payout Ratio 0.6152
Peg Ratio 14.09
Phone 31 20 259 2500
Pre Market Change -0.030099869
Pre Market Change Percent -0.36134297
Pre Market Price 8.2999
Pre Market Time 1,791,979,202
Prev Name Aegon N.V.
Previous Close 8.3
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2432308
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.0555071
Profit Margins 0.086219996
Quick Ratio 0.026
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0299997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.361443
Regular Market Day High 8.38
Regular Market Day Low 8.27
Regular Market Day Range 8.27 - 8.38
Regular Market Open 8.38
Regular Market Previous Close 8.3
Regular Market Price 8.33
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 4,231,218
Return On Assets 0.00097000005
Return On Equity 0.110690005
Revenue Growth -0.082
Revenue Per Share 7.687
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 1,471,793,504
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0033000002
Shares Short 4,845,750
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,682,925
Short Name Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh
Short Percent Of Float 0.0041
Short Ratio 1.05
Source Interval 15
Symbol AEG
Target High Price 10.6
Target Low Price 9.15
Target Mean Price 9.875
Target Median Price 9.875
Total Cash 3,515,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 2.367
Total Debt 3,835,000,064
Total Revenue 11,680,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.42
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.050602406
Trailing Eps 0.69
Trailing P E 12.072464
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.2698
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.060199738
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.007279467
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,231,218
Website https://www.aegon.com
Zip 1,118 BH