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Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Seattle, United States | NasdaqGS
14.47 USD +0.39 (2.770%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.53 +0.06 (0.428%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 5:48 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:41 p.m. EDT

ADPT is a 'Buy and Hope' high-beta biotech play driven by robust revenue growth (51% YoY) and analyst optimism, selling near its 3-year high despite negative profitability. The fundamental risk is a value trap with no earnings replay multiple, making the valuation (P/S of 8.0) entirely speculative. Short-term momentum is supported by call flow targeting upside, but the lack of free cash flow and negative operating margins necessitates patience unless a major catalyst closes the earnings gap. Current price action shows volatility around the 14.00-15.00 resistance zone, with limited short-term downside support based on options flow.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.243359
MSTL0.253335
AutoTheta0.293372
AutoARIMA0.308048

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 3.70
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.476
Excess Kurtosis -0.50
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 93.491
Revenue per Share 1.826
Market Cap 2,228,113,408
Forward P/E -53.88
Beta 2.30
Profit Margins -21.48%
Website https://www.adaptivebiotech.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:41 p.m. EDT: Speculative positioning is heavily skewed towards calls (Upside bias). Call Open Interest peaks significantly at strikes above the current price (15.0 and 20.0), suggesting break-even targets 1-3 months out. Conversely, Put Open Interest is flat, with zero volume reported for key strikes in the near term (May), indicating a lack of organized downside hedging. Implied Volatility is elevated for puts (8.39 ATM vs 0.83 for calls in May), offering potential value but reflecting fear premiums at far OTM strikes, while call activity is concentrated in OTM territory. The skew suggests a narrative focused on earnings-driven rallies rather than downside protection.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.1185944
Address1 1,165 Eastlake Avenue East
All Time High 71.25
All Time Low 2.28
Ask 14.56
Ask Size 16
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,842,360
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,009,787
Average Volume 2,009,787
Average Volume10Days 1,842,360
Beta 2.296
Bid 14.35
Bid Size 16
Board Risk 8
Book Value 1.423
City Seattle
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.47
Current Ratio 3.339
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 14.91
Day Low 14.385
Debt To Equity 93.491
Display Name Adaptive Biotechnologies
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,013,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,013,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda -39,290,000
Ebitda Margins -0.14185001
Enterprise To Ebitda -56.444
Enterprise To Revenue 8.007
Enterprise Value 2,217,697,280
Eps Current Year -0.48
Eps Forward -0.26857
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.39
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 206 659 0667
Fifty Day Average 14.688
Fifty Day Average Change -0.21799946
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.014842011
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 111.85944
Fifty Two Week High 20.76
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.29
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3029865
Fifty Two Week Low 6.775
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.695
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1357933
Fifty Two Week Range 6.775 - 20.76
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,561,642,200,000
Float Shares 118,709,005
Forward Eps -0.26857
Forward P E -53.877945
Free Cashflow 950,875
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 624
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.74236
Gross Profits 205,616,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02024
Held Percent Institutions 0.99594
Implied Shares Outstanding 153,981,561
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation, a commercial-stage company, develops an immune medicine platform for the diagnosis and treatment of various diseases. The company offers immunosequencing platform which combines a suite of proprietary chemistry, computational biology, and machine learning to generate clinical immunomics data to decode the adaptive immune system. It provides clonoSEQ diagnostic test which detects and monitors the remaining number of cancer cells that are present in a patient's body during and after treatment, known as Minimal Residual Disease (MRD). The company offers products and services for life sciences research, clinical diagnostics, and drug discovery applications. The company was formerly known as Adaptive TCR Corporation and changed its name to Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation in December 2011. Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Long Name Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,228,113,408
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_100147173
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -59,499,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,229,653,003
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 14.55
Operating Cashflow -45,986,000
Operating Margins -0.17819001
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 206 659 0067
Post Market Change 0.06199932
Post Market Change Percent 0.428468
Post Market Price 14.532
Post Market Time 1,776,462,489
Previous Close 14.08
Price Eps Current Year -30.145834
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.168658
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.044428
Profit Margins -0.21482
Quick Ratio 3.101
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.39
Regular Market Change Percent 2.76989
Regular Market Day High 14.91
Regular Market Day Low 14.385
Regular Market Day Range 14.385 - 14.91
Regular Market Open 14.55
Regular Market Previous Close 14.08
Regular Market Price 14.47
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 1,565,687
Return On Assets -0.06787
Return On Equity -0.27817
Revenue Growth 0.51
Revenue Per Share 1.826
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 153,981,561
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0556
Shares Short 8,558,955
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 8,877,604
Short Name Adaptive Biotechnologies Corpor
Short Percent Of Float 0.071
Short Ratio 3.66
Source Interval 15
State WA
Symbol ADPT
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 19.0
Target Mean Price 20.57143
Target Median Price 21.0
Total Cash 226,980,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.474
Total Debt 210,356,000
Total Revenue 276,976,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.39
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.774075
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.3040743
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.020581612
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,565,687
Website https://www.adaptivebiotech.com
Zip 98,109