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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)

Consumer Defensive | Farm Products | Chicago, United States | NYSE
83.18 USD +2.76 (3.426%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 2:47 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:49 a.m. EDT

Archer-Daniels-Midland presents a classic defensive commodity play with a recovering price trajectory. The nine-year track record shows a net gain of over 40 percent, capped off by a positive year-to-date performance in the most recent fiscal year, which avoids the structural decline penalty often seen in this sector. However, the underlying economics remain constrained by thin profit margins and a significant debt burden relative to equity, preventing a top-tier long-term rating. Short-term momentum is mixed, trading just below the fifty-day average but supported by the two-hundred-day line, while options flow suggests traders are betting on a sideways grind between 75 and 90 rather than a breakout. The dividend yield offers a tangible floor, but the business quality is solid rather than exceptional.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.037795
MSTL0.043110
AutoETS0.045109
AutoARIMA0.045111

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 0.17
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.243
Excess Kurtosis -1.23
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-18
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-18
Debt to Equity Ratio 39.134
Revenue per Share 169.276
Market Cap 40,086,732,800
Trailing P/E 22.79
Forward P/E 14.63
Beta 0.63
Profit Margins 2.16%
Website https://www.adm.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome between 75 and 90 over the next few months, with heavy open interest at the 85 and 90 strike levels for calls and 77.5 and 80 for puts. While near-term sentiment leans slightly bullish with call volume exceeding put volume at key resistance levels, deep out-of-the-money puts show elevated implied volatility, indicating a hedge against a sharp downside event.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.64% 2.95% 3.38% 2.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-19 0.520000 0.643883
2026-05-20 0.520000 0.670535
2026-02-17 0.520000 0.758349
2025-11-19 0.510000 0.875837
2025-08-20 0.510000 0.839783
2025-05-21 0.510000 1.055901
2025-02-18 0.510000 1.110869
2024-11-21 0.500000 0.940026
2024-08-21 0.500000 0.844309
2024-05-15 0.500000 0.832224
2024-02-07 0.500000 0.945537
2023-11-14 0.450000 0.609261
2023-08-15 0.450000 0.545918
2023-05-16 0.450000 0.615174
2023-02-08 0.450000 0.551471
2022-11-15 0.400000 0.423146
2022-08-16 0.400000 0.462000
2022-05-17 0.400000 0.451314
2022-02-07 0.400000 0.526454
2021-11-16 0.370000 0.557229
2021-08-17 0.370000 0.601920
2021-05-18 0.370000 0.551992
2021-02-08 0.370000 0.689655
2020-11-18 0.360000 0.730668
2020-08-18 0.360000 0.812458
2020-05-19 0.360000 1.033889
2020-02-12 0.360000 0.789301
2019-11-20 0.350000 0.823529
2019-08-21 0.350000 0.928628
2019-05-14 0.350000 0.856793
2019-02-15 0.350000 0.833730
2018-11-21 0.335000 0.734649
2018-08-15 0.335000 0.677589
2018-05-16 0.335000 0.752471
2018-02-16 0.335000 0.776722
2017-11-15 0.320000 0.821355
2017-08-15 0.320000 0.760999
2017-05-16 0.320000 0.763723
2017-02-16 0.320000 0.725624
2016-11-14 0.300000 0.699627
2016-08-15 0.300000 0.685401
2016-05-16 0.300000 0.796813
2016-02-11 0.300000 0.948467
2015-11-16 0.280000 0.732218
2015-08-17 0.280000 0.589350
2015-05-19 0.280000 0.533130
2015-02-12 0.280000 0.590219
2014-11-18 0.240000 0.461450
2014-08-19 0.240000 0.482995
2014-05-13 0.240000 0.541638
2014-02-18 0.240000 0.592154
2013-11-12 0.190000 0.470064
2013-08-20 0.190000 0.519268
2013-05-14 0.190000 0.557839
2013-02-15 0.190000 0.583359
2012-11-13 0.175000 0.703094
2012-08-14 0.175000 0.677769
2012-05-15 0.175000 0.538959
2012-02-14 0.175000 0.561798
2011-11-15 0.175000 0.590418
2011-08-16 0.160000 0.570613
2011-05-17 0.160000 0.502986
2011-02-15 0.160000 0.438837
2010-11-16 0.150000 0.507099
2010-08-17 0.150000 0.487329
2010-05-18 0.150000 0.561587
2010-02-16 0.150000 0.508820
2009-11-17 0.140000 0.434783
2009-08-18 0.140000 0.510018
2009-05-19 0.140000 0.543689
2009-02-17 0.140000 0.517369
2008-11-18 0.130000 0.504071
2008-08-19 0.130000 0.513023
2008-05-13 0.130000 0.300996
2008-02-14 0.130000 0.298645
2007-11-20 0.115000 0.315847
2007-08-13 0.115000 0.339433
2007-05-15 0.115000 0.318560
2007-02-14 0.115000 0.329041
2006-11-15 0.100000 0.280505
2006-08-16 0.100000 0.247219
2006-05-17 0.100000 0.237023
2006-02-15 0.100000 0.326797
2005-11-16 0.085000 0.352113
2005-08-17 0.085000 0.409047
2005-05-17 0.085000 0.435228
2005-02-15 0.085000 0.348361
2004-11-17 0.075000 0.362669
2004-08-18 0.075000 0.469631
2004-05-14 0.075000 0.439367
2004-02-11 0.075000 0.443787
2003-11-14 0.060000 0.421348
2003-08-20 0.060000 0.444774
2003-05-07 0.060000 0.552995
2003-02-05 0.060000 0.493421
2002-11-15 0.060000 0.436364
2002-08-15 0.060000 0.506757
2002-05-08 0.050000 0.362319
2002-02-06 0.050000 0.379651
2001-11-07 0.050000 0.343879
2001-08-09 0.047619 0.372023
2001-05-09 0.047619 0.395257
2001-01-31 0.047619 0.334896
2000-11-08 0.047619 0.454545
2000-08-09 0.045351 0.526310
2000-05-03 0.045351 0.490792
2000-02-02 0.045351 0.425527
1999-11-03 0.045351 0.418844
1999-08-04 0.043192 0.344829
1999-05-05 0.043192 0.303031
1999-02-03 0.043192 0.327870
1998-11-04 0.043192 0.293041
1998-08-05 0.041135 0.299625
1998-05-06 0.041135 0.237388
1998-02-04 0.041135 0.227920
1997-11-05 0.411351 2.185791
1997-08-06 0.039176 0.223462
1997-05-07 0.037609 0.254303
1997-02-05 0.039176 0.259738
1996-11-06 0.039176 0.227271
1996-08-07 0.037311 0.272111
1996-05-01 0.037311 0.261440
1996-01-31 0.037311 0.263160
1995-11-01 0.037311 0.312502
1995-08-02 0.017767 0.152671
1995-05-01 0.017767 0.136054
1995-01-30 0.017767 0.124223
1994-10-31 0.018004 0.132752
1994-08-01 0.011281 0.104170
1994-05-02 0.011281 0.109293
1994-01-31 0.011281 0.094343
1993-11-01 0.011281 0.111115
1993-08-02 0.010743 0.107522
1993-05-03 0.010743 0.102036
1993-02-01 0.010743 0.097083
1992-11-02 0.010743 0.092588
1992-08-03 0.010232 0.092594
1992-05-04 0.010232 0.102042
1992-02-03 0.010232 0.080973
1991-11-04 0.010232 0.091744
1991-08-05 0.009745 0.102568
1991-05-06 0.009745 0.108700
1991-01-28 0.009745 0.122704
1990-11-05 0.009745 0.105824
1990-07-30 0.009281 0.098526
1990-04-30 0.009281 0.106387
1990-01-29 0.009281 0.134234
1989-11-06 0.006187 0.084032
1989-07-31 0.005892 0.076040
1989-05-01 0.005892 0.093451
1989-01-30 0.005892 0.108100
1988-10-31 0.005892 0.117638
1988-08-01 0.058812 1.285882
1988-05-02 0.005612 0.111114
1988-02-01 0.005612 0.125789
1987-11-02 0.005612 0.134231
1987-08-03 0.005345 0.098529
1987-05-04 0.005345 0.131588
1987-02-02 0.005345 0.136064
1986-10-27 0.005345 0.136996
1986-07-28 0.005090 0.136983
1986-04-28 0.004751 0.140710
1986-02-03 0.004751 0.127278
1985-10-28 0.004751 0.160007
1985-07-29 0.004525 0.164722
1985-04-29 0.004525 0.170748
1985-02-04 0.004525 0.163759
1984-10-29 0.004525 0.212142
1984-08-01 0.004309 0.204375
1984-04-30 0.004309 0.195799
1984-01-30 0.004309 0.155552
1983-10-31 0.004309 0.148145
1983-08-01 0.004104 0.160923
1983-05-02 0.004104 0.155559
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.08
dividendYield 2.59
exDividendDate 2026-08-19
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.06
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.025615519
lastDividendValue 0.52
lastDividendDate 2026-08-19
dividendDate 2026-09-09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.30024254
Address1 77 West Wacker Drive
Address2 Suite 4600
All Time High 98.88
All Time Low 1.367969
Ask 82.93
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,111,210
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,668,582
Average Volume 3,668,582
Average Volume10Days 3,111,210
Beta 0.629
Bid 82.89
Bid Size 500
Board Risk 8
Book Value 48.907
City Chicago
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 83.175
Current Ratio 1.389
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 83.175
Day Low 80.61
Debt To Equity 39.134
Display Name Archer-Daniels-Midland
Dividend Date 1,788,912,000
Dividend Rate 2.08
Dividend Yield 2.59
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Earnings Growth 3.156
Earnings Quarterly Growth 3.146
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,709,000
Ebitda 2,995,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.03648
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.795
Enterprise To Revenue 0.576
Enterprise Value 47,307,190,272
Eps Current Year 5.50938
Eps Forward 5.68524
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.65
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,097,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 81.8086
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3664017
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.016702421
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 30.024254
Fifty Two Week High 88.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.574997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.062816866
Fifty Two Week Low 55.58
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.595001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.49649155
Fifty Two Week Range 55.58 - 88.75
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.54
Float Shares 477,838,829
Forward Eps 5.68524
Forward P E 14.629991
Free Cashflow 1,164,625,024
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 40,798
Fullday Change 2.755005
Fullday Change Percent 3.425771
Fullday Price 83.175
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0687
Gross Profits 5,640,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0070700003
Held Percent Institutions 0.89255995
Implied Shares Outstanding 481,956,527
Industry Farm Products
Industry Disp Farm Products
Industry Key farm-products
Ir Website http://www.adm.com/en-US/investors/Pages/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,097,600
Last Dividend Value 0.52
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 999,129,600
Last Split Factor 105:100
Long Business Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp. It is also involved in the grain sourcing, handling, and multimodal transportation network supporting import, export, and distribution activities; structured trade finance activities; corn and wheat wet and dry milling and related processing activities; production of distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, and corn gluten meal for use as animal feed ingredients; and carbon capture and sequestration and other emissions-reduction initiatives. In addition, the company engages in the creation, manufacturing, sale, and distribution of an array of ingredients and solutions comprising plant-based proteins, flavors and colors derived from nature, flavor systems, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, botanical extracts, and other specialty food and feed ingredients and systems. Further, it is involved in the derivatives and commodity exchanges and clearing houses; and insurance coverage for certain property, casualty, marine, medical, and other miscellaneous risks. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Long Name Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 40,086,732,800
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_251704
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,770,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 39,592,979,743
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 80.84
Operating Cashflow 2,795,000,064
Operating Margins 0.04008
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.56439996
Peg Ratio 0.95
Phone 312 634 8100
Previous Close 80.42
Price Eps Current Year 15.096981
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7006768
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.48827308
Profit Margins 0.021559998
Quick Ratio 0.301
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.755005
Regular Market Change Percent 3.425771
Regular Market Day High 83.175
Regular Market Day Low 80.61
Regular Market Day Range 80.61 - 83.175
Regular Market Open 80.84
Regular Market Previous Close 80.42
Regular Market Price 83.175
Regular Market Time 1,791,917,231
Regular Market Volume 1,179,126
Return On Assets 0.02257
Return On Equity 0.07642
Revenue Growth 0.072
Revenue Per Share 169.276
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 481,956,527
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.026500002
Shares Short 12,765,808
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 14,442,218
Short Name Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0347
Short Ratio 3.37
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol ADM
Target High Price 95.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 80.2
Target Median Price 82.5
Total Cash 1,092,999,936
Total Cash Per Share 2.268
Total Debt 9,342,000,128
Total Revenue 82,099,003,392
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.06
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.025615519
Trailing Eps 3.65
Trailing P E 22.787672
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.0151
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 75.1095
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.065506
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.1073833
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,179,126
Website https://www.adm.com
Zip 60,601