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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)

Consumer Defensive | Farm Products | Chicago, United States | NYSE
82.04 USD +1.63 (2.027%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 82.50 +0.46 (0.561%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:17 a.m. EDT

Archer-Daniels-Midland presents a classic value-versus-growth dilemma. The technicals are telling a bullish story, with the stock trading well above its 200-day moving average and posting a strong five percent gain over the last two weeks, suggesting momentum is building for a short-term bounce. However, the long-term investment case is clouded by sluggish fundamentals; revenue and earnings growth are barely above zero, and operating margins remain thin. While the forward valuation looks attractive compared to the trailing multiple, the high payout ratio of over ninety percent leaves little room for error if earnings slip, making the dividend yield less secure than it appears. The options market mirrors this tension, with traders buying protection against a crash while positioning for a recovery toward the eighty-five dollar level. For now, the technicals outweigh the weak growth, but investors should view this as a defensive hold rather than a growth opportunity.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.076417
MSTL0.077827
AutoTheta0.087889
AutoARIMA0.113370

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.52
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.475
Excess Kurtosis -0.80
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-19
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-19
Debt to Equity Ratio 46.128
Revenue per Share 166.41
Market Cap 39,539,712,000
Trailing P/E 36.63
Forward P/E 15.22
Beta 0.61
Profit Margins 1.34%
Website https://www.adm.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are hedging downside risk with heavy put positioning at lower strikes (30-45 range) for late 2027, indicating a fear of a significant drop. Conversely, call activity shows significant open interest at the 85 and 100 strikes for year-end 2026, suggesting bets on a rebound to higher levels. The implied volatility on deep OTM puts is elevated, reflecting a 'crash' hedge, while near-term call positioning remains relatively balanced.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.67% 3.14% 3.34% 2.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-20 0.520000 0.670535
2026-02-17 0.520000 0.758349
2025-11-19 0.510000 0.875837
2025-08-20 0.510000 0.839783
2025-05-21 0.510000 1.055901
2025-02-18 0.510000 1.110869
2024-11-21 0.500000 0.940026
2024-08-21 0.500000 0.844309
2024-05-15 0.500000 0.832224
2024-02-07 0.500000 0.945537
2023-11-14 0.450000 0.609261
2023-08-15 0.450000 0.545918
2023-05-16 0.450000 0.615174
2023-02-08 0.450000 0.551471
2022-11-15 0.400000 0.423146
2022-08-16 0.400000 0.462000
2022-05-17 0.400000 0.451314
2022-02-07 0.400000 0.526454
2021-11-16 0.370000 0.557229
2021-08-17 0.370000 0.601920
2021-05-18 0.370000 0.551992
2021-02-08 0.370000 0.689655
2020-11-18 0.360000 0.730668
2020-08-18 0.360000 0.812458
2020-05-19 0.360000 1.033889
2020-02-12 0.360000 0.789301
2019-11-20 0.350000 0.823529
2019-08-21 0.350000 0.928628
2019-05-14 0.350000 0.856793
2019-02-15 0.350000 0.833730
2018-11-21 0.335000 0.734649
2018-08-15 0.335000 0.677589
2018-05-16 0.335000 0.752471
2018-02-16 0.335000 0.776722
2017-11-15 0.320000 0.821355
2017-08-15 0.320000 0.760999
2017-05-16 0.320000 0.763723
2017-02-16 0.320000 0.725624
2016-11-14 0.300000 0.699627
2016-08-15 0.300000 0.685401
2016-05-16 0.300000 0.796813
2016-02-11 0.300000 0.948467
2015-11-16 0.280000 0.732218
2015-08-17 0.280000 0.589350
2015-05-19 0.280000 0.533130
2015-02-12 0.280000 0.590219
2014-11-18 0.240000 0.461450
2014-08-19 0.240000 0.482995
2014-05-13 0.240000 0.541638
2014-02-18 0.240000 0.592154
2013-11-12 0.190000 0.470064
2013-08-20 0.190000 0.519268
2013-05-14 0.190000 0.557839
2013-02-15 0.190000 0.583359
2012-11-13 0.175000 0.703094
2012-08-14 0.175000 0.677769
2012-05-15 0.175000 0.538959
2012-02-14 0.175000 0.561798
2011-11-15 0.175000 0.590418
2011-08-16 0.160000 0.570613
2011-05-17 0.160000 0.502986
2011-02-15 0.160000 0.438837
2010-11-16 0.150000 0.507099
2010-08-17 0.150000 0.487329
2010-05-18 0.150000 0.561587
2010-02-16 0.150000 0.508820
2009-11-17 0.140000 0.434783
2009-08-18 0.140000 0.510018
2009-05-19 0.140000 0.543689
2009-02-17 0.140000 0.517369
2008-11-18 0.130000 0.504071
2008-08-19 0.130000 0.513023
2008-05-13 0.130000 0.300996
2008-02-14 0.130000 0.298645
2007-11-20 0.115000 0.315847
2007-08-13 0.115000 0.339433
2007-05-15 0.115000 0.318560
2007-02-14 0.115000 0.329041
2006-11-15 0.100000 0.280505
2006-08-16 0.100000 0.247219
2006-05-17 0.100000 0.237023
2006-02-15 0.100000 0.326797
2005-11-16 0.085000 0.352113
2005-08-17 0.085000 0.409047
2005-05-17 0.085000 0.435228
2005-02-15 0.085000 0.348361
2004-11-17 0.075000 0.362669
2004-08-18 0.075000 0.469631
2004-05-14 0.075000 0.439367
2004-02-11 0.075000 0.443787
2003-11-14 0.060000 0.421348
2003-08-20 0.060000 0.444774
2003-05-07 0.060000 0.552995
2003-02-05 0.060000 0.493421
2002-11-15 0.060000 0.436364
2002-08-15 0.060000 0.506757
2002-05-08 0.050000 0.362319
2002-02-06 0.050000 0.379651
2001-11-07 0.050000 0.343879
2001-08-09 0.047619 0.372023
2001-05-09 0.047619 0.395257
2001-01-31 0.047619 0.334896
2000-11-08 0.047619 0.454545
2000-08-09 0.045351 0.526310
2000-05-03 0.045351 0.490792
2000-02-02 0.045351 0.425527
1999-11-03 0.045351 0.418844
1999-08-04 0.043192 0.344829
1999-05-05 0.043192 0.303031
1999-02-03 0.043192 0.327870
1998-11-04 0.043192 0.293041
1998-08-05 0.041135 0.299625
1998-05-06 0.041135 0.237388
1998-02-04 0.041135 0.227920
1997-11-05 0.411351 2.185791
1997-08-06 0.039176 0.223462
1997-05-07 0.037609 0.254303
1997-02-05 0.039176 0.259738
1996-11-06 0.039176 0.227271
1996-08-07 0.037311 0.272111
1996-05-01 0.037311 0.261440
1996-01-31 0.037311 0.263160
1995-11-01 0.037311 0.312502
1995-08-02 0.017767 0.152671
1995-05-01 0.017767 0.136054
1995-01-30 0.017767 0.124223
1994-10-31 0.018004 0.132752
1994-08-01 0.011281 0.104170
1994-05-02 0.011281 0.109293
1994-01-31 0.011281 0.094343
1993-11-01 0.011281 0.111115
1993-08-02 0.010743 0.107522
1993-05-03 0.010743 0.102036
1993-02-01 0.010743 0.097083
1992-11-02 0.010743 0.092588
1992-08-03 0.010232 0.092594
1992-05-04 0.010232 0.102042
1992-02-03 0.010232 0.080973
1991-11-04 0.010232 0.091744
1991-08-05 0.009745 0.102568
1991-05-06 0.009745 0.108700
1991-01-28 0.009745 0.122704
1990-11-05 0.009745 0.105824
1990-07-30 0.009281 0.098526
1990-04-30 0.009281 0.106387
1990-01-29 0.009281 0.134234
1989-11-06 0.006187 0.084032
1989-07-31 0.005892 0.076040
1989-05-01 0.005892 0.093451
1989-01-30 0.005892 0.108100
1988-10-31 0.005892 0.117638
1988-08-01 0.058812 1.285882
1988-05-02 0.005612 0.111114
1988-02-01 0.005612 0.125789
1987-11-02 0.005612 0.134231
1987-08-03 0.005345 0.098529
1987-05-04 0.005345 0.131588
1987-02-02 0.005345 0.136064
1986-10-27 0.005345 0.136996
1986-07-28 0.005090 0.136983
1986-04-28 0.004751 0.140710
1986-02-03 0.004751 0.127278
1985-10-28 0.004751 0.160007
1985-07-29 0.004525 0.164722
1985-04-29 0.004525 0.170748
1985-02-04 0.004525 0.163759
1984-10-29 0.004525 0.212142
1984-08-01 0.004309 0.204375
1984-04-30 0.004309 0.195799
1984-01-30 0.004309 0.155552
1983-10-31 0.004309 0.148145
1983-08-01 0.004104 0.160923
1983-05-02 0.004104 0.155559
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.08
dividendYield 2.59
exDividendDate 2026-05-20
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.05
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.025494339
lastDividendValue 0.52
lastDividendDate 2026-05-20
dividendDate 2026-06-10

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.48084712
Address1 77 West Wacker Drive
Address2 Suite 4600
All Time High 98.88
All Time Low 1.367969
Ask 82.46
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 3.2 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,264,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,744,486
Average Volume 3,744,486
Average Volume10Days 3,264,640
Beta 0.609
Bid 80.81
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 8
Book Value 47.311
City Chicago
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 82.04
Current Ratio 1.311
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 82.47
Day Low 80.73
Debt To Equity 46.128
Dividend Date 1,781,049,600
Dividend Rate 2.08
Dividend Yield 2.59
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Earnings Growth 0.009
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.01
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,846,600
Ebitda 2,539,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.03151
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.642
Enterprise To Revenue 0.619
Enterprise Value 49,871,712,256
Eps Current Year 4.67455
Eps Forward 5.39118
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.24
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 78.6742
Fifty Day Average Change 3.365799
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.042781483
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 48.084713
Fifty Two Week High 85.37
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.3300018
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.039006695
Fifty Two Week Low 52.23
Fifty Two Week Low Change 29.810001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5707448
Fifty Two Week Range 52.23 - 85.37
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.73
Float Shares 477,941,829
Forward Eps 5.39118
Forward P E 15.217448
Free Cashflow 1,578,499,968
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 40,798
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.062979996
Gross Profits 5,074,999,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00661
Held Percent Institutions 0.87235
Implied Shares Outstanding 481,956,527
Industry Farm Products
Industry Disp Farm Products
Industry Key farm-products
Ir Website http://www.adm.com/en-US/investors/Pages/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Last Dividend Value 0.52
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 999,129,600
Last Split Factor 105:100
Long Business Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp. It is also involved in the grain sourcing, handling, and multimodal transportation network supporting import, export, and distribution activities; structured trade finance activities; corn and wheat wet and dry milling and related processing activities; production of distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, and corn gluten meal for use as animal feed ingredients; and carbon capture and sequestration and other emissions-reduction initiatives. In addition, the company engages in the creation, manufacturing, sale, and distribution of an array of ingredients and solutions comprising plant-based proteins, flavors and colors derived from nature, flavor systems, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, botanical extracts, and other specialty food and feed ingredients and systems. Further, it is involved in the derivatives and commodity exchanges and clearing houses; and insurance coverage for certain property, casualty, marine, medical, and other miscellaneous risks. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Long Name Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 39,539,712,000
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_251704
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,080,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 38,754,124,336
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 81.16
Operating Cashflow 5,944,000,000
Operating Margins 0.01274
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.9152
Peg Ratio 2.44
Phone 312 634 8100
Post Market Change 0.4598999
Post Market Change Percent 0.5605801
Post Market Price 82.4999
Post Market Time 1,783,986,967
Previous Close 80.41
Price Eps Current Year 17.550352
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7340577
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.49066454
Profit Margins 0.013409999
Quick Ratio 0.268
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.18182
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.63
Regular Market Change Percent 2.02711
Regular Market Day High 82.47
Regular Market Day Low 80.73
Regular Market Day Range 80.73 - 82.47
Regular Market Open 81.16
Regular Market Previous Close 80.41
Regular Market Price 82.04
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 2,593,862
Return On Assets 0.01669
Return On Equity 0.047659997
Revenue Growth 0.016
Revenue Per Share 166.41
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 481,956,527
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0365
Shares Short 17,596,532
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 13,318,642
Short Name Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0479
Short Ratio 4.82
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol ADM
Target High Price 95.0
Target Low Price 58.0
Target Mean Price 74.6
Target Median Price 76.0
Total Cash 624,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.295
Total Debt 10,657,000,448
Total Revenue 80,583,999,488
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.05
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.025494339
Trailing Eps 2.24
Trailing P E 36.625
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.4395
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 67.88295
Two Hundred Day Average Change 14.157051
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.20855092
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,593,862
Website https://www.adm.com
Zip 60,601