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ADC Therapeutics SA (ADCT)

Healthcare | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Epalinges, Switzerland | NYSE
1.12 USD +0.07 (6.667%) ⇧ (Aug. 27, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.11 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (Aug. 27, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:37 a.m. EDT

The investment case for ADC Therapeutics is currently broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating clinical data and a collapsing market valuation. The recent underwhelming results from the LOTIS-5 trial, coupled with patient deaths in other trials, have shattered the narrative of a dominant competitive position. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative operating margins and free cash flow, while revenue growth has stalled at a mere 2%. The balance sheet is strained with debt exceeding cash reserves, and the book value is negative. The price action reflects this structural deterioration, having lost over 90% of its value over the last five years. While there was a brief recovery in 2024, the most recent annual data shows the stock is still down significantly from its peak, and the latest year-to-date performance remains negative. The market has correctly priced in the high risk of total failure or a prolonged period of non-recovery. Options activity confirms a bearish sentiment, with traders aggressively buying puts to hedge against further declines rather than betting on a rebound. With no dividend to provide income and a very low analyst recommendation driven by fear of further clinical setbacks, the security offers no margin of safety. It is a speculative vehicle for those willing to bet on a miraculous turnaround, but for a standard investment thesis, it warrants avoidance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.994263
AutoARIMA1.042077
AutoETS1.042077
MSTL1.044700

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 0.89
Ljung-Box p 0.020
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 10.13
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 0.534
Market Cap 142,987,824
Forward P/E -0.75
Beta 1.84
Profit Margins -121.77%
Website https://www.adctherapeutics.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:37 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across all expirations, with heavy concentration in out-of-the-money strikes ($5.00 and $7.50). This indicates a market consensus expecting further price weakness or a potential collapse, despite the stock trading near its 52-week low.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.63517916
Address1 BiopOle
Address2 Route de la Corniche 3B
All Time High 56.59
All Time Low 0.36
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 2,300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,184,990
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,984,522
Average Volume 1,984,522
Average Volume10Days 2,184,990
Beta 1.835
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 5,500
Board Risk 7
Book Value -1.791
City Epalinges
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country Switzerland
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.12
Current Ratio 3.031
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.14
Day Low 1.05
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,624,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,313,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,313,800
Ebitda -93,706,496
Ebitda Margins -1.1774501
Enterprise To Ebitda -3.864
Enterprise To Revenue 4.55
Enterprise Value 362,071,808
Eps Forward -1.49
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.58
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.13924
Fifty Day Average Change -0.019240022
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.016888471
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -63.517918
Fifty Two Week High 4.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.8600001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7751004
Fifty Two Week Low 0.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.34000003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4358975
Fifty Two Week Range 0.78 - 4.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,589,808,600,000
Float Shares 88,561,803
Forward Eps -1.49
Forward P E -0.7516779
Free Cashflow -68,119,872
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 188
Fullday Change 0.0700001
Fullday Change Percent 6.66667
Fullday Price 1.11
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins -0.11594
Gross Profits -9,227,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.14419
Held Percent Institutions 0.67533994
Implied Shares Outstanding 127,667,695
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Industry Disp Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Industry Key drug-manufacturers-specialty-generic
Ipo Expected Date 2,020-05-15
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary ADC Therapeutics SA provides antibody drug conjugate (ADC) technology platform in Switzerland and the United States. Its flagship product includes ZYNLONTA, a CD19-directed ADC, received accelerated approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, conditional approval from the European Commission, and conditional approval from the China National Medical Products Administration for the treatment of relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) after two or more lines of systemic therapy. The company is also seeking to continue expanding ZYNLONTA into international markets and into earlier lines of DLBCL and indolent lymphomas, including follicular lymphoma (FL) and marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) as a single agent and in combination through its LOTIS-5 confirmatory Phase 3 clinical trial and LOTIS-7 Phase 1b clinical trial, as well as through investigator-initiated trials (IITs). In addition, it is investigating a CD-22 targeted compound' and ADCT-602 that is in a Phase 1/2 IIT in refractory B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Further, the company's pre-clinical stage pipeline includes a portfolio of next generation investigational ADCs targeting Claudin-6, NaPi2b, PSMA, NaPi2b, and ASCT2. ADC Therapeutics SA was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Epalinges, Switzerland.
Long Name ADC Therapeutics SA
Market us_market
Market Cap 142,987,824
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_183083930
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -96,908,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 134,051,079
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 1.05
Operating Cashflow -102,270,000
Operating Margins -1.18142
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 41 21 653 02 00
Post Market Change -0.00999999
Post Market Change Percent -0.8928563
Post Market Price 1.11
Post Market Time 1,787,873,407
Previous Close 1.05
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.625349
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7966906
Profit Margins -1.21768
Quick Ratio 2.863
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.8
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0700001
Regular Market Change Percent 6.66667
Regular Market Day High 1.14
Regular Market Day Low 1.05
Regular Market Day Range 1.05 - 1.14
Regular Market Open 1.05
Regular Market Previous Close 1.05
Regular Market Price 1.12
Regular Market Time 1,787,860,803
Regular Market Volume 1,402,880
Return On Assets -0.19565001
Revenue Growth 0.022
Revenue Per Share 0.534
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1890428
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 127,667,695
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0484
Shares Short 6,175,703
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 5,534,142
Short Name ADC Therapeutics SA
Short Percent Of Float 0.056999996
Short Ratio 7.04
Source Interval 15
Symbol ADCT
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 2.0
Target Mean Price 3.33333
Target Median Price 3.0
Total Cash 219,107,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.716
Total Debt 438,191,008
Total Revenue 79,584,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.58
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.04653
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.92653
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.6323686
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,402,880
Website https://www.adctherapeutics.com
Zip 1,066