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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | New York, United States | NYSE
4.34 USD -0.09 (-2.032%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.35 +0.01 (0.230%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:11 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:04 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. The business is deteriorating rapidly, with revenue collapsing by nearly 89% and operating margins deeply negative. This is confirmed by the price history, which shows a brutal six-year decline where the stock has lost over 60% of its value, ending four consecutive years of negative annual returns. Despite the attractive 13.5% yield, this is a classic value trap; the payout ratio of 22% masks the fact that the company is burning cash, with operating cash flow in the negative millions. The balance sheet is precarious with debt-to-equity exceeding 250x. While the dividend hasn't been cut yet, the trajectory suggests it is unsustainable given the lack of earnings and cash generation. Options activity confirms this fear, with traders aggressively buying puts to hedge against further drops. There is no catalyst for recovery visible in the data; the fundamentals are simply too impaired to support a long-term hold.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.090984
MSTL0.092680
AutoARIMA0.093728
AutoTheta0.098914

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 3.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.467
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 258.243
Revenue per Share 0.995
Market Cap 240,788,032
Forward P/E 8.23
Beta 1.21
Profit Margins -36.29%
Website https://www.arescre.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in August and November compared to negligible call volume. While ATM call volume exists, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying at strikes significantly below the current price, indicating a consensus expectation of further weakness rather than a rebound.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.33% 12.92% 13.61% 13.00%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.15 3.333333
2026-03-31 0.15 3.125000
2025-12-31 0.15 3.138075
2025-09-30 0.15 3.325942
2025-06-30 0.15 3.144654
2025-03-31 0.15 3.239741
2024-12-31 0.25 4.244482
2024-09-30 0.25 3.571429
2024-06-28 0.25 3.759398
2024-03-27 0.25 3.392130
2023-12-28 0.33 3.098592
2023-09-28 0.33 3.470031
2023-06-29 0.35 3.455084
2023-03-30 0.35 3.919373
2022-12-29 0.35 3.465346
2022-09-29 0.35 3.421310
2022-06-29 0.35 2.873563
2022-03-30 0.35 2.320955
2021-12-30 0.35 2.417127
2021-09-29 0.35 2.299606
2021-06-29 0.35 2.392344
2021-03-30 0.35 2.538071
2020-12-29 0.33 2.770781
2020-09-29 0.33 3.622393
2020-06-29 0.33 3.674833
2020-03-30 0.33 4.621849
2019-12-27 0.33 2.063790
2019-09-27 0.33 2.159686
2019-06-27 0.33 2.249489
2019-03-28 0.33 2.165354
2018-12-27 0.31 2.380952
2018-09-27 0.29 2.096891
2018-06-28 0.28 2.024584
2017-12-28 0.27 2.068965
2017-09-28 0.27 2.023988
2017-06-28 0.27 2.031603
2017-03-29 0.27 2.036199
2016-12-28 0.26 1.901975
2016-09-28 0.26 2.061856
2016-06-28 0.26 2.159468
2016-03-29 0.26 2.363636
2015-12-29 0.25 2.106150
2015-09-28 0.25 2.072968
2015-06-26 0.25 2.177700
2015-03-27 0.25 2.262443
2014-12-29 0.25 2.155172
2014-09-26 0.25 2.088555
2014-06-26 0.25 2.004812
2014-03-27 0.25 1.912777
2013-12-27 0.25 1.898254
2013-09-26 0.25 2.012882
2013-06-26 0.25 1.954652
2013-04-04 0.25 1.506024
2012-12-27 0.25 1.527184
2012-09-28 0.06 0.351700
2012-06-27 0.06 0.348837
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.6
dividendYield 13.54
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.13544019
lastDividendValue 0.15
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.061440706
Address1 245 Park Avenue
Address2 42nd Floor
All Time High 18.07
All Time Low 2.78
Ask 4.4
Ask Size 2,300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 3.3 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 497,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 422,819
Average Volume 422,819
Average Volume10Days 497,410
Beta 1.21
Bid 4.34
Bid Size 4,300
Board Risk 9
Book Value 8.9
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.34
Current Ratio 7.144
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 4.48
Day Low 4.33
Debt To Equity 258.243
Display Name Ares Commercial Real Estate
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 0.6
Dividend Yield 13.54
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,169,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,169,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 26.066
Enterprise Value 1,426,098,304
Eps Current Year 0.3775
Eps Forward 0.5275
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.36
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.8008
Fifty Day Average Change -0.4607997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.095983945
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -6.1440706
Fifty Two Week High 5.89
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.5499997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26315784
Fifty Two Week Low 4.05
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.28999996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07160492
Fifty Two Week Range 4.05 - 5.89
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,335,533,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 13.53
Float Shares 54,376,771
Forward Eps 0.5275
Forward P E 8.2274885
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 54,712,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0634
Held Percent Institutions 0.47997
Implied Shares Outstanding 55,481,113
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.15
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation, a specialty finance company, engages in the originating and investing in commercial real estate (CRE) loans and related investments in the United States. The company provides loan opportunities for the owners, operators, and sponsors of CRE properties. Its investments includes senior mortgage loans, subordinate debt, preferred equity products, mezzanine loans, and other CRE investments, such as commercial mortgage-backed securities. It has elected and qualified to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for the United States federal income tax purposes under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 240,788,032
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_140508224
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -19,852,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 245,781,330
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 4.46
Operating Cashflow -43,264,000
Operating Margins -2.6851902
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 22.666698
Phone 212 750 7300
Post Market Change 0.009999752
Post Market Change Percent 0.23040903
Post Market Price 4.35
Post Market Time 1,783,984,296
Previous Close 4.43
Price Eps Current Year 11.496689
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.4876405
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.4010096
Profit Margins -0.36285
Quick Ratio 6.686
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.25
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0899997
Regular Market Change Percent -2.0316
Regular Market Day High 4.48
Regular Market Day Low 4.33
Regular Market Day Range 4.33 - 4.48
Regular Market Open 4.46
Regular Market Previous Close 4.43
Regular Market Price 4.34
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 319,539
Return On Assets -0.011829999
Return On Equity -0.03838
Revenue Growth -0.886
Revenue Per Share 0.995
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 55,481,113
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0348
Shares Short 1,928,724
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,035,905
Short Name Ares Commercial Real Estate Cor
Short Percent Of Float 0.0356
Short Ratio 3.85
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol ACRE
Target High Price 5.5
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 5.3
Target Median Price 5.5
Total Cash 86,163,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.554
Total Debt 1,271,634,048
Total Revenue 54,712,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.13544019
Trailing Eps -0.36
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.91125
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.57124996
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.116314575
Type Disp Equity
Volume 319,539
Website https://www.arescre.com
Zip 10,167