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Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | San Jose, United States | NYSE
4.55 USD -0.18 (-3.805%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.54 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT

Archer Aviation presents a classic high-risk, high-reward binary scenario where the business fundamentals are currently insufficient to support a long-term buy rating, yet the options market is pricing in a significant near-term catalyst. Fundamentally, the company is burning cash with negative operating margins and no revenue, trading at a valuation that defies traditional logic despite a clean balance sheet. The lack of dividends and negative returns confirm its speculative nature. While the multi-year price trajectory shows a net gain, this is driven by a single massive surge rather than sustained operational excellence, leaving the underlying business quality unproven. The short-term outlook is neutral-to-slightly-bearish based on weak statistical forecasts and the stock trading below its moving averages, yet the options flow tells a different story: traders are aggressively buying calls, anticipating a 'Tesla-like' pivot or certification milestone that could trigger a parabolic move. Until the company demonstrates consistent profitability or a clear path to cash-flow-positive operations, the investment case remains purely speculative, relying entirely on the success of the upcoming catalysts rather than the quality of the business itself.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.091283
AutoETS0.092129
AutoTheta0.092318
AutoARIMA0.093456
MSTL_970.124910
MSTL_1260.153070
MSTL_97_1260.193683

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 3.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.202
Excess Kurtosis -0.99
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.857
Revenue per Share 0.003
Market Cap 3,471,035,392
Forward P/E -4.80
Beta 3.19
Website https://www.archer.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside moves, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls at strikes like $7.00, $8.00, and $12.00 across various expirations. This bullish skew contrasts sharply with relatively light put volume, suggesting traders are betting on a catalyst-driven rally rather than hedging against downside risk. However, the presence of deep out-of-the-money puts with inflated implied volatility indicates some fear of a sharp drop if the anticipated catalyst fails to materialize.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.56203705
Address1 190 West Tasman Drive
All Time High 18.6
All Time Low 1.62
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 31,400
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 32,005,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 41,963,142
Average Volume 41,963,142
Average Volume10Days 32,005,540
Beta 3.192
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 58,100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 2.744
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.55
Current Ratio 18.059
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 4.74
Day Low 4.51
Debt To Equity 5.857
Display Name Archer Aviation
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,533,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,533,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Ebitda -813,900,032
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.214
Enterprise To Revenue 948.458
Enterprise Value 1,802,070,912
Eps Current Year -0.92534
Eps Forward -0.94756
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.06
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.7304
Fifty Day Average Change -1.1803999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.2059891
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -56.203705
Fifty Two Week High 14.62
Fifty Two Week High Change -10.07
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.68878245
Fifty Two Week Low 4.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.03999996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.008869171
Fifty Two Week Range 4.51 - 14.62
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,608,301,800,000
Float Shares 642,566,744
Forward Eps -0.94756
Forward P E -4.801807
Free Cashflow -417,224,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,160
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.15788999
Gross Profits 300,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.14939
Held Percent Institutions 0.49209
Implied Shares Outstanding 762,864,879
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Archer Aviation Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops aircraft and related technologies and services for commercial and defense sectors in the United States and internationally. The company offers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air taxi operations. Archer Aviation Inc. is based in San Jose, California.
Long Name Archer Aviation Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,471,035,392
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_681233855
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -742,499,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,608,350,877
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 4.67
Operating Cashflow -487,400,000
Operating Margins -157.625
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 272 3233
Post Market Change -0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent -0.21978524
Post Market Price 4.54
Post Market Time 1,783,987,195
Previous Close 4.73
Price Eps Current Year -4.917112
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.6581633
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1,826.8607
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 16.881
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -3.80549
Regular Market Day High 4.74
Regular Market Day Low 4.51
Regular Market Day Range 4.51 - 4.74
Regular Market Open 4.67
Regular Market Previous Close 4.73
Regular Market Price 4.55
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 23,979,168
Return On Assets -0.29594
Return On Equity -0.48047
Revenue Per Share 0.003
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 762,864,879
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.14220001
Shares Short 108,476,072
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 92,082,595
Short Name Archer Aviation Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.16379999
Short Ratio 2.37
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ACHR
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 4.5
Target Mean Price 10.61111
Target Median Price 11.0
Total Cash 1,775,900,032
Total Cash Per Share 2.338
Total Debt 121,800,000
Total Revenue 1,900,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.06
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.45045
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.9004498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.3892986
Type Disp Equity
Volume 23,979,168
Website https://www.archer.com
Zip 95,134