Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | San Jose, United States | NYSE
4.85 USD
+0.30
(6.593%)
⇧
(July 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.85 |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT
Archer Aviation presents a classic high-risk, high-reward binary scenario where the business fundamentals are currently insufficient to support a long-term buy rating, yet the options market is pricing in a significant near-term catalyst. Fundamentally, the company is burning cash with negative operating margins and no revenue, trading at a valuation that defies traditional logic despite a clean balance sheet. The lack of dividends and negative returns confirm its speculative nature. While the multi-year price trajectory shows a net gain, this is driven by a single massive surge rather than sustained operational excellence, leaving the underlying business quality unproven. The short-term outlook is neutral-to-slightly-bearish based on weak statistical forecasts and the stock trading below its moving averages, yet the options flow tells a different story: traders are aggressively buying calls, anticipating a 'Tesla-like' pivot or certification milestone that could trigger a parabolic move. Until the company demonstrates consistent profitability or a clear path to cash-flow-positive operations, the investment case remains purely speculative, relying entirely on the success of the upcoming catalysts rather than the quality of the business itself. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.091283 |
| AutoETS | 0.092129 |
| AutoTheta | 0.092318 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.093456 |
| MSTL_97 | 0.124910 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.153070 |
| MSTL_97_126 | 0.193683 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 31% |
| H-stat | 3.55 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.202 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.99 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 5.857 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.003 |
| Market Cap | 3,699,894,784 |
| Forward P/E | -5.12 |
| Beta | 3.19 |
| Website | https://www.archer.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside moves, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls at strikes like $7.00, $8.00, and $12.00 across various expirations. This bullish skew contrasts sharply with relatively light put volume, suggesting traders are betting on a catalyst-driven rally rather than hedging against downside risk. However, the presence of deep out-of-the-money puts with inflated implied volatility indicates some fear of a sharp drop if the anticipated catalyst fails to materialize.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.5959147 |
| Address1 | 190 West Tasman Drive |
| All Time High | 18.6 |
| All Time Low | 1.62 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 16,900 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.9 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 29,220,680 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 42,020,383 |
| Average Volume | 42,020,383 |
| Average Volume10Days | 29,220,680 |
| Beta | 3.192 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 34,100 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | 2.744 |
| City | San Jose |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.85 |
| Current Ratio | 18.059 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 4.87 |
| Day Low | 4.55 |
| Debt To Equity | 5.857 |
| Display Name | Archer Aviation |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,533,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,533,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,529,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,392,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,392,000 |
| Ebitda | -813,900,032 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -2.494 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1,068.395 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,029,950,336 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.92534 |
| Eps Forward | -0.94756 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.17 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.7094 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.8594003 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.15052374 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -59.591473 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 14.62 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -9.77 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6682627 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.51 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.33999968 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.07538795 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.51 - 14.62 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,608,301,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 642,566,744 |
| Forward Eps | -0.94756 |
| Forward P E | -5.118409 |
| Free Cashflow | -417,224,992 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,160 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.15788999 |
| Gross Profits | 300,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.14939 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.49185002 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 762,864,879 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Archer Aviation Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops aircraft and related technologies and services for commercial and defense sectors in the United States and internationally. The company offers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air taxi operations. Archer Aviation Inc. is based in San Jose, California. |
| Long Name | Archer Aviation Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,699,894,784 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_681233855 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -742,499,968 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,471,035,199 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 4.61 |
| Operating Cashflow | -487,400,000 |
| Operating Margins | -157.625 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 650 272 3233 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 4.85 |
| Post Market Time | 1,784,073,598 |
| Previous Close | 4.55 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -5.241317 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.7674927 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1,947.313 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 16.881 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.88889 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.3 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 6.5934 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.87 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.55 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.55 - 4.87 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.61 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.55 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.85 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,059,203 |
| Regular Market Volume | 28,413,514 |
| Return On Assets | -0.29594 |
| Return On Equity | -0.48047 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.003 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 762,864,879 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.14220001 |
| Shares Short | 108,476,072 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 92,082,595 |
| Short Name | Archer Aviation Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.16379999 |
| Short Ratio | 2.37 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | ACHR |
| Target High Price | 18.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 10.5 |
| Target Median Price | 11.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,775,900,032 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.338 |
| Total Debt | 121,800,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,900,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.17 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 7.4232 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.5732002 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.34664297 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 28,413,514 |
| Website | https://www.archer.com |
| Zip | 95,134 |