Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC)Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Franklin, United States | NasdaqGS
31.67 USD
+1.44
(4.763%)
⇧
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 31.60 -0.07 (-0.070%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:38 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Acadia Healthcare is currently broken by a deteriorating business trajectory and a lack of shareholder returns. Fundamentally, the company is trapped in a multi-year decline, having lost nearly half its value over the last nine years with three consecutive years of negative annual returns. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt that exceeds equity, while free cash flow is negative and earnings are contracting sharply. There is no dividend to provide income, and the recent price action shows the stock struggling to find support, trading well below its moving averages despite a recent spike in volume. While the options market is buzzing with speculation about a potential big move—likely driven by the upcoming earnings report on July 29—the data suggests this is a gamble on a turnaround rather than a confirmation of one. The statistical forecast models offer no help, showing a weak bearish lean with low confidence. Until the company demonstrates a sustained recovery in revenue growth and profitability, or until the debt load is significantly reduced, the risk-reward profile remains unfavorable. The current setup favors waiting for clarity rather than deploying capital. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.141469 |
| MSTL | 0.146958 |
| AutoETS | 0.150186 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.222891 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 2.74 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.147 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.36 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 118.057 |
| Revenue per Share | 37.192 |
| Market Cap | 2,948,485,632 |
| Forward P/E | 17.15 |
| Beta | 0.63 |
| Profit Margins | -33.44% |
| Website | https://www.acadiahealthcare.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money at the $35 strike, suggesting bets on a massive rally, while put open interest concentrates deep in-the-money at strikes like $15 and $25, indicating a hedge against a severe crash. This 'straddle' style positioning implies traders expect a binary event or a sharp move in either direction, rather than a steady trend.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.22487843 |
| Address1 | 4,020 Aspen Grove Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 900 |
| All Time High | 89.85 |
| All Time Low | 0.25 |
| Ask | 38.96 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,464,930 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,927,870 |
| Average Volume | 1,927,870 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,464,930 |
| Beta | 0.625 |
| Bid | 22.89 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 21.78 |
| City | Franklin |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 31.67 |
| Current Ratio | 1.572 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 31.89 |
| Day Low | 29.84 |
| Debt To Equity | 118.057 |
| Display Name | Acadia Healthcare |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.636 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.637 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Ebitda | 534,847,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.15882 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 10.428 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.656 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,577,551,872 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.55283 |
| Eps Forward | 1.84676 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -12.42 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 28.969 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 2.7010002 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.09323761 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 22.487843 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 35.83 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.1600018 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.116103865 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.43 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 20.24 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.7707785 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.43 - 35.83 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 762,791,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 91,530,604 |
| Forward Eps | 1.84676 |
| Forward P E | 17.148952 |
| Free Cashflow | -104,957,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 25,000 |
| Fullday Change | 1.4400005 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 4.763482 |
| Fullday Price | 31.67 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.41057 |
| Gross Profits | 1,382,662,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01538 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.4805901 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 93,100,275 |
| Industry | Medical Care Facilities |
| Industry Disp | Medical Care Facilities |
| Industry Key | medical-care-facilities |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=71354&p=irol-irhome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,320,105,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:4 |
| Long Business Summary | Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. provides behavioral healthcare services in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company owns and operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; specialty treatment facilities comprising residential recovery facilities and eating disorder facilities; comprehensive treatment centers; and residential treatment centers, as well as facilities providing outpatient behavioral healthcare services for the behavioral healthcare and recovery needs of communities. Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee. |
| Long Name | Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,948,485,632 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_26259736 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -1,126,240,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,654,288,840 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 14 |
| Open | 29.955 |
| Operating Cashflow | 210,515,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.10137 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.37 |
| Phone | 615 861 6000 |
| Post Market Change | -0.069999695 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.2210284 |
| Post Market Price | 31.6 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,021,093 |
| Previous Close | 30.23 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 20.395021 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.4540863 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.8755261 |
| Profit Margins | -0.33443 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.352 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.07143 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.44 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.76348 |
| Regular Market Day High | 31.89 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 29.84 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 29.84 - 31.89 |
| Regular Market Open | 29.955 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 30.23 |
| Regular Market Price | 31.67 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,926,683 |
| Return On Assets | 0.035720002 |
| Return On Equity | -0.41445 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.004 |
| Revenue Per Share | 37.192 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Sector Disp | Healthcare |
| Sector Key | healthcare |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 93,100,275 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2446 |
| Shares Short | 22,770,844 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 22,583,163 |
| Short Name | Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.3756 |
| Short Ratio | 15.7 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | TN |
| Symbol | ACHC |
| Target High Price | 41.0 |
| Target Low Price | 17.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 33.78571 |
| Target Median Price | 32.5 |
| Total Cash | 171,290,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.84 |
| Total Debt | 2,587,631,104 |
| Total Revenue | 3,367,673,088 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -12.42 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 24.69425 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 6.97575 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.2824848 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,926,683 |
| Website | https://www.acadiahealthcare.com |
| Zip | 37,067 |