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Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Franklin, United States | NasdaqGS
30.56 USD -0.72 (-2.302%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 30.56

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Acadia Healthcare is currently broken by deteriorating fundamentals and a catastrophic multi-year price trajectory. Despite the company operating in a stable healthcare sector, the financials tell a grim story: the business is generating negative free cash flow, posting negative earnings growth, and suffering from a crushing return on equity of -41%. The market has already punished this reality severely, with the stock down 63.7% year-over-year and 55% over the last nine years. This is not a temporary slump; it is a structural decline where the market is refusing to assign a higher valuation despite the low price-to-book ratio. The lack of any dividend history confirms the capital is being consumed by operations and debt servicing rather than returned to shareholders. While the stock trades at a discount to book value, the persistent losses and shrinking cash pile suggest this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The heavy put activity in the options chain validates the bearish sentiment, as traders are hedging against further deterioration. Until the company demonstrates a sustained turnaround in profitability and cash generation, the outlook remains deeply bearish.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.072375
AutoARIMA0.096086
AutoETS0.096087
MSTL0.106865

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 3.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.96
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 124.183
Revenue per Share 37.281
Market Cap 2,810,512,128
Forward P/E 17.47
Beta 0.64
Profit Margins -32.84%
Website https://www.acadiahealthcare.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in September and December 2026, with strikes far below the current price. While there is some call volume at higher strikes, the sheer volume of put buying suggests a fear of a significant drop rather than a bet on a rally. Implied volatility remains elevated, reflecting uncertainty.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.29900336
Address1 4,020 Aspen Grove Drive
Address2 Suite 900
All Time High 89.85
All Time Low 0.25
Ask 38.87
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,293,620
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,058,027
Average Volume 3,058,027
Average Volume10Days 4,293,620
Beta 0.643
Bid 22.72
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 21.576
City Franklin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 30.56
Current Ratio 1.711
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 31.85
Day Low 30.2503
Debt To Equity 124.183
Display Name Acadia Healthcare Company
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth -0.496
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.51
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 587,948,992
Ebitda Margins 0.17441
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.447
Enterprise To Revenue 1.648
Enterprise Value 5,554,640,384
Eps Current Year 1.50337
Eps Forward 1.74911
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -12.2
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 26.1328
Fifty Day Average Change 4.4272003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.16941164
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 29.900337
Fifty Two Week High 32.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2600002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06886046
Fifty Two Week Low 11.43
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.13
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.6736656
Fifty Two Week Range 11.43 - 32.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 762,791,400,000
Float Shares 85,138,475
Forward Eps 1.74911
Forward P E 17.471743
Free Cashflow -216,916,256
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 25,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.41809
Gross Profits 1,409,398,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01545
Held Percent Institutions 1.4628999
Implied Shares Outstanding 91,967,027
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=71354&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,320,105,600
Last Split Factor 1:4
Long Business Summary Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. provides behavioral healthcare services in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company owns and operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; specialty treatment facilities comprising residential recovery facilities and eating disorder facilities; comprehensive treatment centers; and residential treatment centers, as well as facilities providing outpatient behavioral healthcare services for the behavioral healthcare and recovery needs of communities. Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee.
Long Name Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,810,512,128
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_26259736
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -1,107,041,024
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,876,728,604
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 30.87
Operating Cashflow 181,952,000
Operating Margins 0.10115
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.37
Phone 615 861 6000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 30.56
Post Market Time 1,783,981,119
Previous Close 31.28
Price Eps Current Year 20.327663
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4163885
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8337161
Profit Margins -0.32839
Quick Ratio 1.443
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.720001
Regular Market Change Percent -2.30179
Regular Market Day High 31.85
Regular Market Day Low 30.2503
Regular Market Day Range 30.2503 - 31.85
Regular Market Open 30.87
Regular Market Previous Close 31.28
Regular Market Price 30.56
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 2,488,490
Return On Assets 0.04204
Return On Equity -0.41050997
Revenue Growth 0.076
Revenue Per Share 37.281
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 91,967,027
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2451
Shares Short 22,539,485
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 22,961,829
Short Name Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3789
Short Ratio 6.83
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol ACHC
Target High Price 39.0
Target Low Price 13.0
Target Mean Price 30.28571
Target Median Price 30.5
Total Cash 158,472,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.723
Total Debt 2,692,616,960
Total Revenue 3,371,066,112
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -12.2
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.3539
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.206099
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.43112022
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,488,490
Website https://www.acadiahealthcare.com
Zip 37,067