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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGLO)

Financial Services | Insurance - Diversified | Pembroke, Bermuda | NasdaqGS
18.48 USD +0.08 (0.435%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:29 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish due to a confluence of deteriorating operational metrics and a precarious balance sheet. While the stock trades at a fraction of book value, the underlying business is contracting; revenue has declined by over 10% and earnings are down nearly 15%, indicating a loss of scale rather than a temporary dip. This contraction is exacerbated by a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 17, which suggests significant leverage risk in a sector where capital preservation is paramount. Although the company offers an attractive 7.5% yield, this payout appears to be a 'yield trap'—likely funded by the sale of assets or aggressive leverage rather than robust free cash flow generation, given the shrinking top line. The recent price action shows the stock struggling to recover from its lows, trading below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a lack of near-term momentum. Investors should view this as a speculative play on a turnaround that has yet to materialize, rather than a stable income vehicle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.019191
AutoARIMA0.022302
AutoETS0.022302
MSTL0.022453

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 106.12
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.103
Excess Kurtosis 0.11
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 17.836
Revenue per Share 53.992
Trailing P/E 3.94
Beta 0.26
Profit Margins 24.40%
Website https://www.archgroup.com

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.87% 6.99% 6.44% 6.30%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-15 0.341 1.872598
2026-06-15 0.341 1.775117
2026-03-13 0.341 1.688119
2025-12-15 0.341 1.655340
2025-09-15 0.341 1.568537
2025-06-13 0.341 1.693148
2025-03-14 0.341 1.617647
2024-12-13 0.341 1.551410
2024-09-13 0.341 1.443692
2024-06-14 0.341 1.545084
2024-03-14 0.341 1.425585
2023-12-14 0.341 1.483899
2023-09-14 0.341 1.607732
2023-06-14 0.341 1.476190
2023-03-14 0.341 1.590485
2022-12-14 0.341 1.588263
2022-09-14 0.341 1.542289
2022-06-14 0.341 1.595695
2022-03-14 0.341 1.447983
2021-12-14 0.341 1.339356
2021-09-14 0.341 1.310530
2021-06-14 0.341 1.279070
2021-03-12 0.341 1.308017
2020-12-14 0.341 1.282437
2020-09-14 0.341 1.303517
2020-06-12 0.341 1.381686
2020-03-12 0.341 1.481964
2019-12-12 0.341 1.346761
2019-09-12 0.341 1.329435
2019-06-13 0.341 1.378279
2019-03-14 0.341 1.439426
2018-12-13 0.341 1.619953
2018-09-13 0.341 1.415819
2018-06-14 0.341 1.405606
2018-03-14 0.341 1.385053
2017-12-14 0.507 2.000000
Additional Data
dividendYield 7.39
exDividendDate 2026-09-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.341
lastDividendDate 2026-09-15
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.14365155
Address1 Waterloo House
Address2 Ground Floor 100 Pitts Bay Road
All Time High 27.06
All Time Low 15.25
Ask 18.23
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 37,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 34,446
Average Volume 34,446
Average Volume10Days 37,830
Beta 0.256
Bid 18.4
Bid Size 1
Book Value 68.318
City Pembroke
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Bermuda
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.48
Current Ratio 0.589
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 18.6197
Day Low 18.38
Debt To Equity 17.836
Display Name Arch Capital
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Yield 7.39
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,746,018,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,746,018,000
Earnings Growth -0.071
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.146
Earnings Timestamp End 1,754,049,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,753,700,340
Ebitda 5,565,000,192
Ebitda Margins 0.28936002
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.246
Enterprise To Revenue 0.36
Enterprise Value 6,931,848,704
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.691
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 441 278 9255
Fifty Day Average 18.7873
Fifty Day Average Change -0.30730057
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.016356824
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -14.365154
Fifty Two Week High 21.85
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.3700008
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15423344
Fifty Two Week Low 17.91
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.5699997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.031825777
Fifty Two Week Range 17.91 - 21.85
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,503,322,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 6.16
Float Shares 326,905,534
Free Cashflow 4,302,125,056
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 8,000
Fullday Change 0.07999992
Fullday Change Percent 0.43454602
Fullday Price 18.48
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.38758
Gross Profits 7,454,000,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.28011
Industry Insurance - Diversified
Industry Disp Insurance - Diversified
Industry Key insurance-diversified
Ir Website http://www.archcapgroup.bm/InvestorRelations.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Last Dividend Value 0.341
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other specialty products. The Mortgage segment offers U.S. primary mortgage insurance business written predominantly on loans sold to the Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation; reinsurance and underwriting services related to the U.S. credit-risk transfer business and other U.S. mortgage reinsurance transactions; and international mortgage insurance and reinsurance business covering loans. It markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. The company was formerly known as Risk Capital Holdings, Inc. Arch Capital Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Long Name Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_346919
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,652,000,256
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Open 18.4
Operating Cashflow 6,099,999,744
Operating Margins 0.26584998
Phone 441 278 9250
Previous Close 18.4
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.2704997
Profit Margins 0.24396999
Quick Ratio 0.288
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0799999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.434782
Regular Market Day High 18.6197
Regular Market Day Low 18.38
Regular Market Day Range 18.38 - 18.6197
Regular Market Open 18.4
Regular Market Previous Close 18.4
Regular Market Price 18.48
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 35,886
Return On Assets 0.04124
Return On Equity 0.19936001
Revenue Growth -0.105
Revenue Per Share 53.992
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 402,939,008
Shares Short 138,946
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 44,742
Short Name Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos
Short Ratio 3.13
Source Interval 15
Symbol ACGLO
Total Cash 4,464,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 13.136
Total Debt 4,286,000,128
Total Revenue 19,232,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 4.691
Trailing P E 3.9394584
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 19.787615
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.3076153
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.066082515
Type Disp Equity
Volume 35,886
Website https://www.archgroup.com
Zip HM 08