Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)Financial Services | Insurance - Diversified | Pembroke, Bermuda | NasdaqGS
103.06 USD
+2.00
(1.979%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 102.50 -0.56 (-0.560%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 6:45 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:36 a.m. EDT
Arch Capital presents a compelling case for investors seeking value with a fortress-like balance sheet, though the balance sheet carries higher leverage than peers. The valuation is exceptionally attractive, trading at a trailing P/E of roughly 7.8x while generating a robust 21% return on equity. The price trajectory over the last nine years has been stellar, climbing nearly 273% from the start of the window, even though the most recent annual year-over-year performance was a decline. This recent dip appears to be a temporary correction rather than a structural break, given the strong earnings growth of 94% and the recovery in price action over the last two weeks. The stock is currently trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a constructive trend. While the revenue growth is currently contracting, the earnings power remains intact, and the market is pricing in a recovery. The risk lies in the debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 11x, which requires monitoring of capital allocation. For a swing trade, the momentum is favorable, and for a long-term hold, the fundamentals offer a margin of safety that is rarely seen in the insurance sector. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.032062 |
| MSTL | 0.034705 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.035296 |
| AutoETS | 0.036533 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 51% |
| H-stat | 11.22 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.413 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.32 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2024-11-17 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2024-11-17 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 11.282 |
| Revenue per Share | 54.411 |
| Market Cap | 36,008,091,648 |
| Trailing P/E | 7.93 |
| Forward P/E | 10.48 |
| Beta | 0.29 |
| Profit Margins | 24.64% |
| Website | https://www.archgroup.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a bullish year-end outcome with significant call open interest at the 105 strike for December expiration, suggesting a target price well above current levels. However, near-term put open interest is concentrated at lower strikes (85 and 90) for July expiration, indicating hedging against immediate volatility. Implied volatility is elevated for deep out-of-the-money puts in the December series, reflecting a fear of downside risk despite the overall bullish call positioning.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-18 | 5.0 | 5.155702 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.11557567 |
| Address1 | Waterloo House |
| Address2 | Ground Floor 100 Pitts Bay Road |
| All Time High | 116.47 |
| All Time Low | 1.222222 |
| Ask | 110.72 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,830,120 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,352,911 |
| Average Volume | 2,352,911 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,830,120 |
| Beta | 0.292 |
| Bid | 94.04 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 66.454 |
| City | Pembroke |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | Bermuda |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 103.06 |
| Current Ratio | 0.566 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 103.27 |
| Day Low | 101.2 |
| Debt To Equity | 11.282 |
| Display Name | Arch Capital |
| Dividend Date | 1,733,270,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.946 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.824 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,268,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,268,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,268,800 |
| Ebitda | 5,896,999,936 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.29817 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 6.071 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.81 |
| Enterprise Value | 35,800,727,552 |
| Eps Current Year | 9.29539 |
| Eps Forward | 9.83089 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 13.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,731,888,000 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 441 278 9255 |
| Fifty Day Average | 94.2478 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 8.812195 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.09350027 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 11.557568 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 105.09 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.0299988 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.019316765 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 82.45 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 20.61 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.24996969 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 82.45 - 105.09 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 811,085,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 335,705,881 |
| Forward Eps | 9.83089 |
| Forward P E | 10.483283 |
| Free Cashflow | 5,276,125,184 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 8,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.39369 |
| Gross Profits | 7,785,999,872 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.026199998 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.94888 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 349,389,588 |
| Industry | Insurance - Diversified |
| Industry Disp | Insurance - Diversified |
| Industry Key | insurance-diversified |
| Ir Website | http://www.archcapgroup.bm/InvestorRelations.aspx |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,731,888,000 |
| Last Dividend Value | 5.0 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,529,539,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 3:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other specialty products. The Mortgage segment offers U.S. primary mortgage insurance business written predominantly on loans sold to the Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation; reinsurance and underwriting services related to the U.S. credit-risk transfer business and other U.S. mortgage reinsurance transactions; and international mortgage insurance and reinsurance business covering loans. It markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. The company was formerly known as Risk Capital Holdings, Inc. Arch Capital Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda. |
| Long Name | Arch Capital Group Ltd. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 36,008,091,648 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_346919 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 4,832,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 35,309,311,763 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 19 |
| Open | 101.925 |
| Operating Cashflow | 5,902,000,128 |
| Operating Margins | 0.25282 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.05 |
| Phone | 441 278 9250 |
| Post Market Change | -0.55999756 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.5433704 |
| Post Market Price | 102.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,982,721 |
| Previous Close | 101.06 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 11.087216 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.550847 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.8207055 |
| Profit Margins | 0.24635 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.269 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 2.0 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.97902 |
| Regular Market Day High | 103.27 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 101.2 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 101.2 - 103.27 |
| Regular Market Open | 101.925 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 101.06 |
| Regular Market Price | 103.06 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,061,196 |
| Return On Assets | 0.045679998 |
| Return On Equity | 0.21305999 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.033 |
| Revenue Per Share | 54.411 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 349,389,588 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.023699999 |
| Shares Short | 8,282,991 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,797,256 |
| Short Name | Arch Capital Group Ltd. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0278 |
| Short Ratio | 3.5 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ACGL |
| Target High Price | 125.0 |
| Target Low Price | 93.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 109.92105 |
| Target Median Price | 110.0 |
| Total Cash | 3,620,999,936 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 10.406 |
| Total Debt | 2,728,999,936 |
| Total Revenue | 19,776,999,424 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 13.0 |
| Trailing P E | 7.927692 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 93.9713 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 9.088699 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.09671782 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,061,196 |
| Website | https://www.archgroup.com |
| Zip | HM 08 |