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ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
22.17 USD +0.92 (4.329%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 22.01 -0.16 (-0.160%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 6:35 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT

While fundamental pricing (fwd PEG > 1) and discretionary analyst sentiment remain neutral-to-beige, the options market is aggressively positioning for a 20%+ upside move by mid-2026, with heavy capital deployed in $25-$27 calls and $37 LEaps. This divergence suggests smart money sees a catalyst (likely PPS pipeline approval or revenue growth) missing from current analyst models, making ACAD a speculative long play with asymmetric upside despite medium-term technical resistance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.145422
AutoETS0.146700
MSTL0.146845
AutoTheta0.149663

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 3.03
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.259
Excess Kurtosis -0.48
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.252
Revenue per Share 6.365
Market Cap 3,779,865,600
Trailing P/E 9.64
Forward P/E 24.39
Beta 0.83
Profit Margins 36.49%
Website https://www.acadia.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT: Despite a negative statistical forecast direction, options flow reveals distinct bullish divergence. Long-dated calls (Jan 2027) show massive commitment at $37 strikes, signaling speculator belief in a significant multi-year rebound. Near-term May/June calls show high volume at $25-$26 strikes, targeting a ~15-20% upside. Conversely, put activity is negligible and defensive, with low volume and open interest at strikes below the current price, indicating a lack of immediate downside hedging. Implied volatility compression in long-dated calls suggests a broad-based bet on recovery rather than event-driven hedging.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.54172456
Address1 12,830 El Camino Real
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 58.72
All Time Low 0.65
Ask 25.07
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,192,100
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,835,532
Average Volume 1,835,532
Average Volume10Days 2,192,100
Beta 0.834
Bid 22.12
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 3
Book Value 7.207
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 22.17
Current Ratio 3.833
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 22.29
Day Low 21.6584
Debt To Equity 4.252
Display Name ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,099,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,099,400
Earnings Growth 0.862
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.903
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,097,600
Ebitda 116,571,000
Ebitda Margins 0.108789995
Enterprise To Ebitda 25.841
Enterprise To Revenue 2.811
Enterprise Value 3,012,366,592
Eps Current Year 0.49038
Eps Forward 0.90893
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.3
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 858 558 2872
Fifty Day Average 22.3456
Fifty Day Average Change -0.17560005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.007858372
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 54.172455
Fifty Two Week High 28.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.1800003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21798943
Fifty Two Week Low 14.08
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5745739
Fifty Two Week Range 14.08 - 28.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,085,664,600,000
Float Shares 126,611,005
Forward Eps 0.90893
Forward P E 24.391317
Free Cashflow -54,821,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 796
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.61008
Gross Profits 653,705,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0057300003
Held Percent Institutions 0.99541
Implied Shares Outstanding 170,494,613
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ir Website http://ir.acadia-pharm.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=125180&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for neurological and rare disease in North America. The company offers NUPLAZID (pimavanserin), a selective serotonin inverse agonist/antagonist for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson's disease psychosis; and DAYBUE, a novel synthetic analog of the amino-terminal tripeptide of insulin-like growth factor 1 to treat the symptoms of Rett syndrome by reducing neuroinflammation and supporting synaptic function. It also develops remlifanserin, which is in phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of alzheimer's disease psychosis and lewy body dementia psychosis; ACP-211, which is in phase 2 clinical trial to treat major depressive disorder; ACP-711, which is in phase I clinical trial for the treatment of essential tremor; and ACP-271, a GPR88 agonist for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia and huntington's disease and is in phase I trial. In addition, the company develops ACP-2591, a cGP analogue which is in Phase 1 clinical trial to treat rett syndrome and fragile X syndrome; and STOKE Antisense Oligonucleotide Program, which is in discovery program for SYNGAP1 syndrome. It has a license agreement with Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited to trofinetide for Rett syndrome and other indications; and a license and collaboration agreement with Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. to discover, develop, and commercialize novel RNA-based medicines for the potential treatment of severe and rare genetic neurodevelopmental diseases of the CNS. The company was formerly known as Receptor Technologies, Inc. and changed its name ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. in 1997. ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,779,865,600
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_683713
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 391,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,776,455,677
Number Of Analyst Opinions 20
Open 21.77
Operating Cashflow 109,836,000
Operating Margins 0.061240003
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 50.86
Phone 858 558 2871
Post Market Change -0.15999985
Post Market Change Percent -0.7216953
Post Market Price 22.01
Post Market Time 1,776,465,328
Previous Close 21.25
Price Eps Current Year 45.20984
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.076176
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.527623
Profit Margins 0.36491
Quick Ratio 3.493
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.7619
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.92
Regular Market Change Percent 4.32941
Regular Market Day High 22.29
Regular Market Day Low 21.6584
Regular Market Day Range 21.6584 - 22.29
Regular Market Open 21.77
Regular Market Previous Close 21.25
Regular Market Price 22.17
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 5,424,281
Return On Assets 0.04761
Return On Equity 0.39894
Revenue Growth 0.094
Revenue Per Share 6.365
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 170,494,613
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0624
Shares Short 10,638,508
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 9,490,106
Short Name ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.09729999
Short Ratio 5.6
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ACAD
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 31.8
Target Median Price 32.5
Total Cash 819,686,016
Total Cash Per Share 4.808
Total Debt 52,187,000
Total Revenue 1,071,505,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.3
Trailing P E 9.639131
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.71915
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5491505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06531222
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,424,281
Website https://www.acadia.com
Zip 92,130