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Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Uniondale, United States | NYSE
2.71 USD -0.11 (-3.737%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 11:44 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains deeply concerning due to a severe structural decline in business quality. Over the last nine years, the asset has lost nearly 60% of its value, driven by a catastrophic collapse in the most recent fiscal year where revenue plummeted by 26%. This is not a temporary dip; the company is suffering from deteriorating fundamentals with negative operating margins and a return on equity of barely 2%, signaling a failing business model rather than a cyclical downturn. While the valuation appears cheap on paper, the market has correctly priced in the risk of permanent impairment. The short-term picture is equally bleak, reinforced by a relentless selling pressure evident in the options chain. Traders are dumping thousands of contracts on put options at the $3 strike, creating a dense wall of resistance that suggests the path of least resistance is lower. The recent price action confirms this, with the stock grinding down from $4.39 to $2.87 in just two weeks, erasing nearly half its value in a matter of days. The dividend yield, while mathematically high at over 30%, is a dangerous trap; it is being funded by a collapsing share price and likely unsustainable earnings, offering no real income security. Investors should avoid this security entirely until there is clear evidence of a turnaround in both revenue and profitability.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.080919
AutoETS0.086912
MSTL0.087396
AutoARIMA0.090194

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 4.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.009
Excess Kurtosis 0.17
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 386.741
Revenue per Share 2.572
Market Cap 548,379,904
Trailing P/E 30.06
Forward P/E 6.07
Beta 1.19
Profit Margins 11.58%
Website https://arbor.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for further downside. There is massive volume in out-of-the-money puts (19.7k contracts at the $3 strike) compared to negligible call volume, indicating a strong bearish sentiment. Call activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes ($5, $6), suggesting a speculative hope for a rebound to $5+, but the overwhelming weight of capital is on the downside.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.34% 13.62% 12.89% 11.87%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 0.170 3.339882
2026-05-22 0.170 3.052065
2026-03-10 0.300 3.811944
2025-11-14 0.300 3.412969
2025-08-15 0.300 2.586207
2025-05-16 0.300 2.838221
2025-03-07 0.430 3.515945
2024-11-15 0.430 2.953297
2024-08-16 0.430 3.213752
2024-05-16 0.430 3.113686
2024-03-01 0.430 3.328173
2023-11-16 0.430 3.513072
2023-08-14 0.430 2.674129
2023-05-18 0.420 3.278688
2023-03-10 0.400 3.041825
2022-11-17 0.400 2.855103
2022-08-12 0.390 2.477764
2022-05-19 0.380 2.354399
2022-03-03 0.370 2.101079
2021-11-12 0.360 1.874024
2021-08-13 0.350 1.899078
2021-05-20 0.340 1.936219
2021-03-02 0.330 1.978417
2020-11-13 0.320 2.525651
2020-08-14 0.310 2.736099
2020-06-29 0.300 3.282276
2020-02-27 0.300 2.369668
2019-11-14 0.300 1.990710
2019-08-14 0.290 2.424749
2019-05-22 0.280 2.173913
2019-02-28 0.270 2.086553
2018-12-27 0.030 0.293542
2018-11-14 0.270 2.216749
2018-08-14 0.250 2.185315
2018-05-14 0.250 2.693966
2018-03-07 0.210 2.470588
2017-11-14 0.190 2.294686
2017-08-14 0.180 2.227723
2017-05-15 0.180 2.244389
2017-03-13 0.170 2.222222
2016-11-17 0.160 2.147651
2016-08-15 0.160 2.182810
2016-05-16 0.150 2.173913
2016-03-08 0.150 2.248876
2015-11-16 0.150 2.245509
2015-08-12 0.150 2.307692
2015-05-13 0.150 2.290076
2015-02-23 0.130 1.846591
2014-11-17 0.130 1.908957
2014-08-13 0.130 1.878613
2014-05-13 0.130 1.823282
2014-02-21 0.130 1.906158
2013-11-18 0.130 1.946108
2013-08-12 0.130 1.726428
2013-05-13 0.120 1.675978
2013-03-01 0.120 1.518987
2012-11-16 0.110 2.182540
2012-08-17 0.100 1.763668
2012-05-18 0.075 1.286449
2008-11-12 0.240 5.783132
2008-08-13 0.620 5.677656
2008-05-13 0.620 3.759855
2008-02-13 0.620 3.757576
2007-11-13 0.620 3.336921
2007-08-13 0.620 3.404723
2007-05-14 0.620 2.150538
2007-02-01 0.600 1.885014
2006-11-06 0.580 2.131569
2006-08-03 0.570 2.273634
2006-04-27 0.720 2.824637
2006-01-19 0.700 2.646503
2005-10-25 0.650 2.338130
2005-08-11 0.570 2.065217
2005-04-27 0.550 2.161950
2005-01-27 0.470 1.979781
2004-10-13 0.430 1.985226
2004-07-01 0.350 1.794872
Additional Data
dividendYield 33.45
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.94
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.33451957
lastDividendValue 0.17
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.763468
Address1 333 Earle Ovington Boulevard
Address2 Suite 900
All Time High 34.45
All Time Low 0.56
Ask 2.72
Ask Size 6,000
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 3.4 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,266,440
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,828,070
Average Volume 4,828,070
Average Volume10Days 8,266,440
Beta 1.19
Bid 2.71
Bid Size 10,600
Board Risk 8
Book Value 11.346
City Uniondale
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.705
Current Ratio 2.095
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 2.78
Day Low 2.69
Debt To Equity 386.741
Display Name Arbor Realty Trust
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Yield 33.45
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,506,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,506,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,501,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,363,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,363,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 24.322
Enterprise Value 12,113,968,128
Eps Current Year 0.23
Eps Forward 0.446
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.09
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 516 506 4345
Fifty Day Average 4.5524
Fifty Day Average Change -1.8474002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.40580794
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -76.3468
Fifty Two Week High 12.18
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.475
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.77791464
Fifty Two Week Low 2.69
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.0149998665
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0055761584
Fifty Two Week Range 2.69 - 12.18
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,081,344,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 11.96
Float Shares 178,095,770
Forward Eps 0.446
Forward P E 6.065022
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 653
Fullday Change 0.013800144
Fullday Change Percent 0.4876376
Fullday Price 2.705
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.79161
Gross Profits 394,275,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.028889999
Held Percent Institutions 0.67917997
Implied Shares Outstanding 202,728,261
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 0.17
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. The company invests in bridge and mezzanine loans, including junior participating interests in first mortgages, and preferred and direct equity, as well as real estate-related joint ventures, real estate-related notes, and various mortgage-related securities. It also offers bridge financing products to borrowers who seek short-term capital to be used in an acquisition of property; financing products to borrowers looking to develop, acquire or refinance conventional, workforce and affordable single-family rental (SFR) housing; multifamily investors short-term floating-rate financing for new and construction-ready multifamily projects; and mezzanine financing in the form of loans that are subordinate to a conventional first mortgage loan and senior to the borrower's equity in a transaction. In addition, the company provides financing by making preferred equity investments in entities that directly or indirectly own real property that are subordinate to a first mortgage loan; and invest in structured transactions, which are primarily comprised of joint ventures formed to acquire, develop and/or sell real estate-related assets. Further, it underwrites, originates, sells, and services financing loans underwritten using similar guidelines of existing agency loans sold to the government-sponsored enterprises; and long-term permanent fixed rate loans on SFR properties. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.
Long Name Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 548,379,904
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_6207506
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 16,325,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 781,678,200
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 2.79
Operating Cashflow 311,756,000
Operating Margins -0.12729
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 11.8889
Peg Ratio 1.65
Phone 516 506 4200
Previous Close 2.81
Price Eps Current Year 11.760869
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.23841001
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.101012
Profit Margins 0.115839995
Quick Ratio 2.01
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.4
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.10500002
Regular Market Change Percent -3.7366555
Regular Market Day High 2.78
Regular Market Day Low 2.69
Regular Market Day Range 2.69 - 2.78
Regular Market Open 2.79
Regular Market Previous Close 2.81
Regular Market Price 2.705
Regular Market Time 1,791,992,650
Regular Market Volume 1,569,171
Return On Assets 0.00423
Return On Equity 0.01975
Revenue Growth -0.248
Revenue Per Share 2.572
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 186,558,043
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2184
Shares Short 40,745,149
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 43,772,850
Short Name Arbor Realty Trust
Short Percent Of Float 0.26700002
Short Ratio 8.26
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol ABR
Target High Price 5.5
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 4.0
Target Median Price 3.5
Total Cash 289,119,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.55
Total Debt 11,142,087,680
Total Revenue 498,068,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.94
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.33451957
Trailing Eps 0.09
Trailing P E 30.055553
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.26875
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.5637503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.56849456
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,569,171
Website https://arbor.com
Zip 11,553