Ambev S.A. (ABEV)Consumer Defensive | Beverages - Brewers | São Paulo, Brazil | NYSE
3.06 USD
-0.01
(-0.326%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 3.04 -0.02 (-0.019%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:44 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:46 a.m. EDT
Ambev presents a compelling value story with a fortress-like balance sheet and a massive moat in the Brazilian beer market, yet the stock is currently punished by a multi-year price decline that has erased nearly 60% of its value. While the business fundamentals remain robust—generating strong free cash flow and maintaining healthy margins—the market is pricing in persistent structural issues or macro risks in Brazil that have kept the share price depressed for years. The recent price action shows a slight recovery, trading above its 200-day average, which suggests the worst of the downtrend may be over, but the path forward remains uncertain. The high dividend yield of 5.56% is attractive but comes with a heavy payout ratio of 88.5%, meaning the company is returning almost all its earnings to shareholders, leaving little room for error if profitability dips. For investors, this is a classic 'value trap' candidate: the business is excellent, but the price hasn't caught up yet. The short-term outlook is cautiously optimistic due to the technical bounce, but the long-term bet relies entirely on the market finally recognizing that the low price reflects temporary macro headwinds rather than permanent business deterioration. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.081496 |
| MSTL | 0.087140 |
| AutoETS | 0.090181 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.090182 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 52% |
| H-stat | 0.36 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.012 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.853 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.39 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-06-23 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-06-23 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 3.42 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.653 |
| Market Cap | 47,285,551,104 |
| Trailing P/E | 16.11 |
| Forward P/E | 14.22 |
| Beta | 0.27 |
| Profit Margins | 17.66% |
| Website | https://www.ambev.com.br |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $2.00-$2.50) across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of downside volatility or a 'crash' scenario. Conversely, call activity is concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a belief that the stock will trade sideways or drift upward rather than crash. The disparity in volume versus open interest for deep OTM puts suggests active selling or hedging against a drop, while the lack of significant call volume far above the current price implies limited bullish conviction for a major breakout.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29% | 1.31% | 4.70% | 4.69% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | 0.009000 | 0.287540 |
| 2025-08-11 | 0.023000 | 1.026786 |
| 2025-05-19 | 0.024000 | 0.941176 |
| 2025-03-18 | 0.022000 | 0.936170 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.108000 | 5.684211 |
| 2023-12-22 | 0.147000 | 5.231317 |
| 2022-12-20 | 0.146000 | 5.289855 |
| 2021-12-20 | 0.108000 | 4.060150 |
| 2021-01-14 | 0.015000 | 0.471698 |
| 2020-12-18 | 0.079000 | 2.523962 |
| 2019-12-20 | 0.117000 | 2.560175 |
| 2018-12-19 | 0.083000 | 2.133676 |
| 2018-06-18 | 0.044000 | 0.881764 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.022000 | 0.316547 |
| 2017-12-19 | 0.096000 | 1.548387 |
| 2017-06-26 | 0.049000 | 0.892532 |
| 2017-01-24 | 0.021000 | 0.386740 |
| 2016-12-22 | 0.067000 | 1.404612 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.051000 | 0.905861 |
| 2016-07-12 | 0.039000 | 0.668954 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.027000 | 0.583153 |
| 2015-12-22 | 0.039000 | 0.868597 |
| 2015-09-09 | 0.041000 | 0.815109 |
| 2015-06-02 | 0.033000 | 0.560272 |
| 2015-03-02 | 0.031000 | 0.492063 |
| 2015-01-08 | 0.035000 | 0.565428 |
| 2015-01-02 | 0.048000 | 0.806723 |
| 2014-10-28 | 0.093000 | 1.473851 |
| 2014-07-29 | 0.072000 | 0.983607 |
| 2014-04-03 | 0.057000 | 0.760000 |
| 2014-01-15 | 0.108000 | 1.510489 |
| 2013-09-16 | 0.055200 | 0.744939 |
| 2013-03-06 | 0.065200 | 0.714286 |
| 2012-12-27 | 0.087800 | 1.053769 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.041600 | 0.652651 |
| 2012-06-22 | 0.026000 | 0.438005 |
| 2012-06-07 | 0.002600 | 0.043046 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.091400 | 1.358906 |
| 2011-10-03 | 0.079200 | 1.678677 |
| 2011-07-07 | 0.049400 | 0.869106 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.001800 | 0.034843 |
| 2011-03-10 | 0.066800 | 1.470070 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.073080 | 1.553175 |
| 2010-09-30 | 0.071960 | 1.720543 |
| 2010-05-26 | 0.000080 | 0.002533 |
| 2010-03-19 | 0.024680 | 0.776003 |
| 2009-12-03 | 0.046960 | 1.414458 |
| 2009-09-16 | 0.033760 | 1.230141 |
| 2009-07-06 | 0.023160 | 1.063166 |
| 2009-06-09 | 0.001160 | 0.052968 |
| 2009-04-23 | 0.008240 | 0.467120 |
| 2009-01-15 | 0.006600 | 0.466497 |
| 2008-09-30 | 0.028520 | 1.567033 |
| 2008-07-22 | 0.038640 | 1.894118 |
| 2008-06-04 | 0.000280 | 0.011289 |
| 2008-04-15 | 0.040760 | 1.533715 |
| 2007-12-11 | 0.010560 | 0.377143 |
| 2007-09-26 | 0.032600 | 1.191520 |
| 2007-06-22 | 0.006720 | 0.241414 |
| 2007-06-05 | 0.001920 | 0.069364 |
| 2007-03-22 | 0.014240 | 0.699961 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.011200 | 0.748263 |
| 2006-03-21 | 0.010760 | 0.745979 |
| 2005-12-22 | 0.015400 | 1.198630 |
| 2005-01-18 | 0.005433 | 0.331079 |
| 2004-09-21 | 0.006667 | 0.476214 |
| 2004-03-16 | 0.001533 | 0.139915 |
| 2003-09-30 | 0.014400 | 2.273685 |
| 2003-02-19 | 0.007867 | 1.685785 |
| 2000-12-19 | 0.008200 | 1.174925 |
| 2000-09-27 | 0.004267 | 0.853400 |
| 1999-12-28 | 0.006033 | 1.776591 |
| 1999-07-02 | 0.003100 | 0.978946 |
| 1999-01-11 | 0.004833 | 1.757455 |
| 1998-09-22 | 0.003967 | 1.560785 |
| 1998-04-21 | 0.004867 | 1.123155 |
| 1997-09-23 | 0.005233 | 1.106537 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.31196582 |
| Address1 | Rua Dr. Renato Paes de Barros, 1017 |
| Address2 | 3rd Floor |
| All Time High | 9.296 |
| All Time Low | 0.220833 |
| Ask | 3.07 |
| Ask Size | 205,200 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.0 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 23,598,830 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 27,263,945 |
| Average Volume | 27,263,945 |
| Average Volume10Days | 23,598,830 |
| Beta | 0.265 |
| Bid | 3.06 |
| Bid Size | 27,700 |
| Book Value | 1.122877 |
| City | São Paulo |
| Country | Brazil |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 3.06 |
| Current Ratio | 1.028 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 3.11 |
| Day Low | 3.04 |
| Debt To Equity | 3.42 |
| Display Name | Ambev |
| Dividend Date | 1,799,625,600 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.17 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.51 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,995,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,995,000 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.024 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.02 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,414,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,414,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,414,600 |
| Ebitda | 27,010,926,592 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.30621 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 1.181 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.362 |
| Enterprise Value | 31,888,893,952 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.19591 |
| Eps Forward | 0.21522 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.19 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,782,259,200 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 3.1532 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.09319997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.029557265 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 31.196583 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 3.45 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.3900001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.11304351 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.1 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.96000004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.4571429 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.1 - 3.45 |
| Financial Currency | BRL |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 857,572,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 5.12 |
| Float Shares | 4,204,712,746 |
| Forward Eps | 0.21522 |
| Forward P E | 14.218009 |
| Free Cashflow | 18,203,940,864 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 39,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.51479 |
| Gross Profits | 45,409,562,624 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.06852 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 15,452,795,091 |
| Industry | Beverages - Brewers |
| Industry Disp | Beverages - Brewers |
| Industry Key | beverages-brewers |
| Ir Website | http://www.mzweb.com.br/ambev2009/web/default_en.asp?idioma=1&conta=44 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,782,259,200 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.009 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,384,128,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 5:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft drinks, malt and food, and other beverages in Brazil, Central America and Caribbean, Latin America South, and Canada. The company offers beer, ready-to-drink cocktails and spritzers, soft drinks, water, teas, and isotonic drinks under the Brahma, Skol, Antarctica, Original, Quilmes, Andes Origen, Patricia, Paceha, Huari, Pilsen, Presidente, Balboa, Guaraná Antarctica, and Beats brands. It sells its products to distributors, supermarkets, and retailers within a broad distribution network. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Ambev S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Interbrew International B.V. |
| Long Name | Ambev S.A. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 47,285,551,104 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_134386019 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 15,577,716,736 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 47,175,457,031 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 3.04 |
| Operating Cashflow | 26,407,190,528 |
| Operating Margins | 0.26229 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.885 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.19 |
| Phone | 55 80 0725 8000 |
| Post Market Change | -0.018899918 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.61764437 |
| Post Market Price | 3.0411 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,252 |
| Previous Close | 3.07 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.619416 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 2.7251425 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.5360592 |
| Profit Margins | 0.1766 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.683 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.00999999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.325733 |
| Regular Market Day High | 3.11 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 3.04 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 3.04 - 3.11 |
| Regular Market Open | 3.04 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 3.07 |
| Regular Market Price | 3.06 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 21,175,716 |
| Return On Assets | 0.09784 |
| Return On Equity | 0.17251 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.001 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.653 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Shares Outstanding | 15,452,795,091 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0081 |
| Shares Short | 137,819,004 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 133,769,687 |
| Short Name | Ambev S.A. |
| Short Ratio | 4.77 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | SP |
| Symbol | ABEV |
| Target High Price | 4.0 |
| Target Low Price | 2.55 |
| Target Mean Price | 3.3734 |
| Target Median Price | 3.435 |
| Total Cash | 19,640,588,288 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.259 |
| Total Debt | 3,105,732,096 |
| Total Revenue | 88,209,571,840 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.859 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.2798046 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.19 |
| Trailing P E | 16.105263 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 2.1895 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 2.7784 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.2816 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.101353295 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 21,175,716 |
| Website | https://www.ambev.com.br |
| Zip | 04,530-001 |