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Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. (AARD)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
6.62 USD -0.19 (-2.790%) ⇩ (Aug. 27, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 6.62

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:16 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Aardvark Therapeutics has collapsed due to a catastrophic combination of clinical failure and regulatory intervention. The company's lead drug candidate faced a cardiac safety issue, triggering an FDA hold and a voluntary pause of its Phase 3 trials, which sent the stock plummeting 32%. Fundamentally, the business is in distress with negative earnings, negative free cash flow, and a deteriorating return on equity. While the balance sheet currently shows low debt, the path to profitability is blocked until the clinical program is resolved. The market has already priced in a severe decline, pushing the stock to its 52-week low, but the uncertainty surrounding the FDA review and the need for a strategic pivot makes this a dangerous speculative vehicle rather than a viable investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.338468
AutoETS0.347030
AutoARIMA0.348585
AutoTheta0.372106

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 22.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.196
Excess Kurtosis -1.16
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.905
Market Cap 144,877,680
Forward P/E -2.38
Website https://aardvarktherapeutics.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at $2.50 and $5.00) relative to calls. This 'put skew' suggests a fear of a significant drop rather than a belief in a rally, despite the current price hovering near the 52-week low.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.20240963
Address1 4,370 La Jolla Village Drive
Address2 Suite 1050
All Time High 19.58
All Time Low 3.35
Ask 8.62
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 132,400
Average Daily Volume3 Month 251,158
Average Volume 251,158
Average Volume10Days 132,400
Bid 4.97
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.418
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.62
Current Ratio 12.629
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 7.085
Day Low 6.585
Debt To Equity 0.905
Display Name Aardvark Therapeutics
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,513,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,513,600
Ebitda -73,913,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.97
Enterprise Value 71,684,680
Eps Current Year -3.1675
Eps Forward -2.78222
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.22
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.1391
Fifty Day Average Change 0.4808998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07833393
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.240963
Fifty Two Week High 17.94
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.320001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.63099223
Fifty Two Week Low 3.35
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9761194
Fifty Two Week Range 3.35 - 17.94
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,739,457,000,000
Float Shares 10,938,265
Forward Eps -2.78222
Forward P E -2.379395
Free Cashflow -46,898,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 28
Fullday Change -0.19
Fullday Change Percent -2.79002
Fullday Price 6.62
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.16121
Held Percent Institutions 0.52605
Implied Shares Outstanding 21,884,846
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-02-13
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing small-molecule therapeutics to activate innate homeostatic pathways for the treatment of metabolic diseases. Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 144,877,680
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_614979892
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -69,889,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 149,035,801
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 6.89
Operating Cashflow -69,408,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 858 225 7696
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 6.62
Post Market Time 1,787,873,402
Previous Close 6.81
Price Eps Current Year -2.0899763
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9368051
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 11.566
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.25
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.19
Regular Market Change Percent -2.79002
Regular Market Day High 7.085
Regular Market Day Low 6.585
Regular Market Day Range 6.585 - 7.085
Regular Market Open 6.89
Regular Market Previous Close 6.81
Regular Market Price 6.62
Regular Market Time 1,787,860,801
Regular Market Volume 74,111
Return On Assets -0.4038
Return On Equity -0.66019994
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1890428
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 21,884,846
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.027999999
Shares Short 611,764
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 651,789
Short Name Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0418
Short Ratio 4.22
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AARD
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 14.5
Target Median Price 6.5
Total Cash 73,870,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.375
Total Debt 677,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.22
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.109675
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.4896755
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.18369114
Type Disp Equity
Volume 74,111
Website https://aardvarktherapeutics.com
Zip 92,122