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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | Raleigh, United States | NYSE
57.27 USD -0.22 (-0.383%) ⇩ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:09 a.m. EDT

Advance Auto Parts is a value trap with deteriorating fundamentals (negative free cash flow, shrinking margins) supported by inflated deep ITM put protection rather than organic growth. The bullish options flow is likely a tactical play on short-term volume bounces, while the structural long-term outlook remains dire; avoid.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.072856
AutoARIMA0.076252
AutoETS0.076255
AutoTheta0.084659

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.76
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.632
Excess Kurtosis -0.68
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 257.461
Revenue per Share 143.589
Market Cap 3,455,053,824
Trailing P/E 50.68
Forward P/E 14.62
Beta 1.07
Profit Margins 0.51%
Website https://www.AdvanceAutoParts.com

As of April 19, 2026, 1:09 a.m. EDT: Speculator sentiment is highly conflicted and showing signs of uncertainty. Calls show strong positioning at near-term strikes (57.5, 60.0) and significant volume/flow into 58.0/59.0 for the April 24 expiry, suggesting a bullish bias targeting recent highs. However, the ATM IV on puts is roughly 2x the ATM IV on calls, and long-term puts (June) show massive OI walls at deep ITM strikes (17.5, 30.0, 40.0), indicating a 'priced-in' fear of a crash or a hedge-heavy long-term position. The mismatch in implied volatility suggests a market anticipating high downside tail risk despite the near-term upside bets.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.46% 1.95% 2.02% 2.57%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-10 0.25 0.457959
2026-01-09 0.25 0.572789
2025-10-10 0.25 0.510511
2025-07-11 0.25 0.405789
2025-04-11 0.25 0.790239
2025-01-10 0.25 0.556121
2024-10-11 0.25 0.688373
2024-07-12 0.25 0.413358
2024-04-11 0.25 0.351234
2024-01-11 0.25 0.419642
2023-10-12 0.25 0.526438
2023-07-13 0.25 0.374116
2023-04-13 1.50 1.291462
2022-12-15 1.50 1.125219
2022-09-15 1.50 0.971650
2022-06-16 1.50 0.993155
2022-03-17 1.50 0.796237
2021-12-16 1.00 0.465428
2021-09-16 1.00 0.538202
2021-06-17 1.00 0.577827
2021-03-18 0.25 0.153618
2020-12-17 0.25 0.176270
2020-09-17 0.25 0.182909
2020-06-18 0.25 0.191949
2020-03-19 0.25 0.330355
2019-12-19 0.06 0.043682
2019-09-19 0.06 0.044751
2019-06-20 0.06 0.044631
2019-03-21 0.06 0.040476
2018-12-20 0.06 0.044891
2018-09-20 0.06 0.040392
2018-06-21 0.06 0.049110
2018-03-22 0.06 0.061354
2017-12-21 0.06 0.068485
2017-09-21 0.06 0.073245
2017-06-21 0.06 0.057164
2017-03-22 0.06 0.045411
2016-12-21 0.06 0.039606
2016-09-21 0.06 0.046978
2016-06-15 0.06 0.044762
2016-03-16 0.06 0.043281
2015-12-22 0.06 0.046557
2015-09-16 0.06 0.038553
2015-06-17 0.06 0.043321
2015-03-18 0.06 0.046234
2014-12-23 0.06 0.042763
2014-09-17 0.06 0.051318
2014-06-16 0.06 0.055184
2014-03-19 0.06 0.055428
2013-12-18 0.06 0.063194
2013-09-18 0.06 0.085976
2013-06-19 0.06 0.082244
2013-03-20 0.06 0.086252
2012-12-19 0.06 0.096132
2012-09-19 0.06 0.101495
2012-06-20 0.06 0.100481
2012-03-21 0.06 0.077907
2011-12-21 0.06 0.101415
2011-09-21 0.06 0.116290
2011-06-22 0.06 0.118666
2011-03-23 0.06 0.106625
2010-12-21 0.06 0.104500
2010-09-22 0.06 0.116695
2010-06-23 0.06 0.137344
2010-03-24 0.06 0.161213
2009-12-22 0.06 0.168908
2009-09-23 0.06 0.181587
2009-06-24 0.06 0.171304
2009-03-25 0.06 0.175882
2008-12-23 0.06 0.228249
2008-09-17 0.06 0.184614
2008-06-18 0.06 0.176536
2008-03-18 0.06 0.216465
2007-12-19 0.06 0.186529
2007-09-19 0.06 0.206239
2007-06-20 0.06 0.173546
2007-03-21 0.06 0.181871
2006-12-20 0.06 0.198183
2006-09-20 0.06 0.215184
2006-06-21 0.06 0.191494
2006-03-22 0.06 0.172736
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.0
dividendYield 1.75
exDividendDate 2026-04-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.017394328
lastDividendValue 0.25
lastDividendDate 2026-04-10
dividendDate 2026-04-24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.73861563
Address1 4,200 Six Forks Road
All Time High 244.55
All Time Low 12.33
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,386,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,769,719
Average Volume 1,769,719
Average Volume10Days 1,386,160
Beta 1.071
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 36.633
City Raleigh
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 57.27
Current Ratio 1.746
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 57.785
Day Low 56.41
Debt To Equity 257.461
Display Name Advance Auto Parts
Dividend Date 1,776,988,800
Dividend Rate 1.0
Dividend Yield 1.75
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,987,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,987,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,770,989,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,779,366,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,779,366,600
Ebitda 473,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.05499
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.638
Enterprise To Revenue 0.695
Enterprise Value 5,977,927,168
Eps Current Year 2.75016
Eps Forward 3.91721
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.13
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,775,779,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 53.6156
Fifty Day Average Change 3.6543999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06815927
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 73.861565
Fifty Two Week High 70.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.73
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18185714
Fifty Two Week Low 30.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change 26.43
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.85700387
Fifty Two Week Range 30.84 - 70.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,007,044,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.93
Float Shares 59,657,664
Forward Eps 3.91721
Forward P E 14.620099
Free Cashflow -260,250,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 28,274
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.43867
Gross Profits 3,772,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00751
Held Percent Institutions 1.26296
Implied Shares Outstanding 60,329,208
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=130560&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,775,779,200
Last Dividend Value 0.25
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Last Split Date 1,127,692,800
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive aftermarket parts. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives, and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors, and exterior accessories; washes, waxes, and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores and independently owned branded stores in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Mexico, and various Caribbean islands primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade brands. The company also offers its products online. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
Long Name Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,455,053,824
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_24333
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,398,400
Net Income To Common 68,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,455,053,742
Number Of Analyst Opinions 19
Open 57.57
Operating Cashflow -46,000,000
Operating Margins 0.03396
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.885
Peg Ratio 1.49
Phone 540 362 4911
Previous Close 57.49
Price Eps Current Year 20.824244
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5633446
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.40170375
Profit Margins 0.0051200003
Quick Ratio 0.839
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.220001
Regular Market Change Percent -0.382677
Regular Market Day High 57.785
Regular Market Day Low 56.41
Regular Market Day Range 56.41 - 57.785
Regular Market Open 57.57
Regular Market Previous Close 57.49
Regular Market Price 57.27
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,203
Regular Market Volume 1,010,510
Return On Assets 0.011109999
Return On Equity 0.031140001
Revenue Growth -0.012
Revenue Per Share 143.589
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 60,329,208
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.175
Shares Short 10,556,482
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 11,433,921
Short Name Advance Auto Parts Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2838
Short Ratio 6.84
Source Interval 15
State NC
Symbol AAP
Target High Price 70.0
Target Low Price 31.0
Target Mean Price 57.15789
Target Median Price 59.0
Total Cash 3,123,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 51.963
Total Debt 5,658,999,808
Total Revenue 8,600,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.017394328
Trailing Eps 1.13
Trailing P E 50.681416
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4795
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.3147
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.9552994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.07418778
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,010,510
Website https://www.AdvanceAutoParts.com
Zip 27,609