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Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI)

Technology | Communication Equipment | Sugar Land, United States | NasdaqGM
100.68 USD -8.96 (-8.172%) ⇩ (Oct. 12, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 99.09 -1.59 (-1.595%) ⇩ (Oct. 12, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:50 a.m. EDT

Applied Optoelectronics presents a stark dichotomy: the stock has rallied dramatically from its 2025 anchor levels, yet the underlying business continues to bleed cash with negative operating and free cash flows. While the balance sheet remains fortified with net cash and low debt, the lack of profitability and the high beta create significant uncertainty for a long-term hold. Short-term traders are aggressively positioning for further upside near current levels, evidenced by heavy call volume at the money, but the elevated implied volatility suggests the market is bracing for a volatile correction. Without a return to profitability, the current valuation remains speculative.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.115253
AutoETS0.117887
AutoTheta0.203592
AutoARIMA0.320791

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.890
Excess Kurtosis 0.27
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 17.994
Revenue per Share 8.179
Market Cap 8,548,365,312
Forward P/E 21.88
Beta 3.84
Profit Margins -9.57%
Website https://www.ao-inc.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility with heavy call volume concentrated at strikes near the current price, indicating a bullish bias for the immediate week. However, put volume remains substantial at lower strikes, creating a defensive floor. Implied volatility is elevated across expirations, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent price surge can sustain itself against the backdrop of weak fundamentals.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.5351124
Address1 13,139 Jess Pirtle Boulevard
All Time High 233.67
All Time Low 1.48
Ask 154.24
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,296,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 9,811,768
Average Volume 9,811,768
Average Volume10Days 11,296,560
Beta 3.843
Bid 106.36
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 19.767
City Sugar Land
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 100.68
Current Ratio 2.777
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 106.41
Day Low 99.217
Debt To Equity 17.994
Display Name Applied Optoelectronics
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda -32,106,000
Ebitda Margins -0.05387
Enterprise To Ebitda -258.981
Enterprise To Revenue 13.952
Enterprise Value 8,314,833,920
Eps Current Year 0.68
Eps Forward 4.602
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.82
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 114.0174
Fifty Day Average Change -13.337402
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.1169769
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 253.51123
Fifty Two Week High 233.67
Fifty Two Week High Change -132.98999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5691359
Fifty Two Week Low 18.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 82.18
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 4.442162
Fifty Two Week Range 18.5 - 233.67
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,380,202,200,000
Float Shares 80,850,728
Forward Eps 4.602
Forward P E 21.877443
Free Cashflow -887,050,112
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 4,691
Fullday Change -10.554802
Fullday Change Percent -9.6267805
Fullday Price 100.68
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.28916
Gross Profits 172,330,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.097720005
Held Percent Institutions 0.63541
Implied Shares Outstanding 84,906,289
Industry Communication Equipment
Industry Disp Communication Equipment
Industry Key communication-equipment
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of fiber-optic networking products in the United States, Taiwan, and China. The company offers optical modules, optical filters, lasers, laser components, subassemblies, transmitters and transceivers, turn-key equipment, headend, node, and distribution equipment, as well as amplifiers. It sells its products to internet data center operators, cable television, telecom equipment manufacturers, fiber-to-the-home, and internet service providers through its direct and indirect sales channels. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.
Long Name Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,548,365,312
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1043391
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -57,020,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,582,327,692
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 106.122
Operating Cashflow -131,820,000
Operating Margins -0.12884
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.78
Phone 281 295 1800
Post Market Change -1.5948029
Post Market Change Percent -1.5840315
Post Market Price 99.0852
Post Market Time 1,791,849,590
Previous Close 109.64
Price Eps Current Year 148.05882
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.0933375
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 14.343617
Profit Margins -0.09568
Quick Ratio 1.899
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -8.96
Regular Market Change Percent -8.1722
Regular Market Day High 106.41
Regular Market Day Low 99.217
Regular Market Day Range 99.217 - 106.41
Regular Market Open 106.122
Regular Market Previous Close 109.64
Regular Market Price 100.68
Regular Market Time 1,791,835,201
Regular Market Volume 10,919,897
Return On Assets -0.0272
Return On Equity -0.05449
Revenue Growth 0.864
Revenue Per Share 8.179
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17318833
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 84,906,289
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1634
Shares Short 13,870,138
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 12,086,618
Short Name Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1692
Short Ratio 2.07
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol AAOI
Target High Price 220.0
Target Low Price 109.0
Target Mean Price 163.4
Target Median Price 178.0
Total Cash 499,736,992
Total Cash Per Share 5.909
Total Debt 300,140,000
Total Revenue 595,969,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.82
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 111.26118
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.581177
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.095102146
Type Disp Equity
Volume 10,919,897
Website https://www.ao-inc.com
Zip 77,478