Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Huntsville, United States | NYSE
11.45 USD
+0.30
(2.691%)
⇧
(Oct. 9, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT
Despite a dismal fundamental reality characterized by negative operating margins, negative free cash flow, and a forward P/E that implies a distant turnaround, the market is pricing in a massive speculative re-rating. The stock is trading at a discount to its IPO highs, yet the options chain screams 'moonshot,' with traders betting heavily on a rapid ascent to $15-$20. This disconnect suggests the current price is a bargain only for those willing to ignore the fact that the company is currently burning cash and has no dividend to cushion a fall. The short-term outlook remains cautiously bearish due to the lack of immediate catalysts to ignite the massive call volume, but the asymmetric risk/reward profile for a long-term holder is compelling if the aerospace supply chain story holds true. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.255083 |
| MSTL | 0.265853 |
| AutoETS | 0.268756 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.291903 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 32% |
| H-stat | 21.41 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.077 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.22 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 52.126 |
| Revenue per Share | 3.341 |
| Market Cap | 1,973,905,792 |
| Forward P/E | 28.81 |
| Profit Margins | -30.24% |
| Website | https://applied-ad.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on upside potential, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (99% of total volume) compared to negligible put activity. Traders are positioning for significant rallies toward the $15-$20 range, while downside protection is virtually ignored.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.3976854 |
| Address1 | 335 Quality Circle NW |
| All Time High | 24.24 |
| All Time Low | 10.94 |
| Ask | 11.6 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,066,530 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,611,087 |
| Average Volume | 1,611,087 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,066,530 |
| Bid | 11.1 |
| Bid Size | 400 |
| Book Value | 4.802 |
| City | Huntsville |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 11.45 |
| Current Ratio | 2.509 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,789,430,400 |
| Day High | 11.5 |
| Day Low | 11.04 |
| Debt To Equity | 52.126 |
| Display Name | Applied Aerospace & Defense |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,537,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,537,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,537,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,400,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,400,200 |
| Ebitda | -18,325,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.03182 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -128.49 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 4.088 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,354,583,040 |
| Eps Current Year | -1.02 |
| Eps Forward | 0.3975 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.42 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 14.593 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.1430006 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.21537727 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -39.76854 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 24.24 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -12.79 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5276403 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 10.94 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.5100002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.04661794 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 10.94 - 24.24 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,780,493,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 45,539,472 |
| Forward Eps | 0.3975 |
| Forward P E | 28.80503 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,542 |
| Fullday Change | 0.0 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Fullday Price | 11.45 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.25565 |
| Gross Profits | 147,232,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00041 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.9918 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 172,393,518 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures integrated aerospace and defense subsystems for space and defense applications. The company provides Space and launch Systems, which include propellant tanks and engine nozzles; nose cones, fairings, and payload adapters; solar arrays and deployable systems; satellite bus and payload assemblies; Spinnaker® de-orbit systems; antennas and precision platforms; and landing legs, tubes, and booms; Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems, which support airborne mission platforms for air dominance, ground attack, electronic warfare, air-to-air refueling, transport, and autonomous collaborative combat, and include wings and control surfaces, landing gear and arresters, engine shafts, gears, and transmissions; fuel tanks and refueling booms; and fuselage structures; C5ISR and Precision Strike Systems, which support land and maritime based integrated defense systems for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, forward presence, and stand-off missions, and include radar and communications antennas; missile bodies and launchers; directed energy systems; and electronic enclosures; detection and tracking platforms; and maritime sensors and propulsion. It also provides design, prototyping and manufacturing of hardware and assemblies using composite, metallic, and polymer manufacturing. The company uses IP-enabled processes and production supported by specialized equipment and experience. It offers in-house testing and inspection along with materials and testing services to support performance and verification requirements. The company also provides Spinnaker® Deorbit Systems with configurations for satellites and launch vehicle components to support de-orbit applications. The company was formerly known as GB Eagle Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. in November 2025. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is a subsidiary of AA&D Holdings, LP. |
| Long Name | Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,973,905,792 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_24943 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -174,139,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,187,673,743 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 11.255 |
| Operating Cashflow | -94,366,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.57514 |
| Phone | 202 983 3291 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.0 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Pre Market Price | 11.45 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,791,792,156 |
| Previous Close | 11.15 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -11.225491 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.384423 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.4274614 |
| Profit Margins | -0.30236998 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.017 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.375 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.3 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.69058 |
| Regular Market Day High | 11.5 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 11.04 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 11.04 - 11.5 |
| Regular Market Open | 11.255 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 11.15 |
| Regular Market Price | 11.45 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,576,002 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,147,702 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.474 |
| Revenue Per Share | 3.341 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17383456 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 172,393,518 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.019 |
| Shares Short | 3,268,914 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,786,665,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,626,788 |
| Short Name | Applied Aerospace & Defense, In |
| Short Ratio | 1.81 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AL |
| Symbol | AADX |
| Target High Price | 30.0 |
| Target Low Price | 20.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 25.125 |
| Target Median Price | 24.0 |
| Total Cash | 18,108,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.105 |
| Total Debt | 431,540,000 |
| Total Revenue | 575,908,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.42 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 16.786556 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.3365564 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.31790656 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,147,702 |
| Website | https://applied-ad.com |
| Zip | 35,806 |