CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX)Cboe Indices
14.84
-0.57
(-3.699%) ⇩
(Oct. 9, 2026, 3:15 p.m.
CDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 3, 2026, 1:08 a.m. CDT
The VIX is currently trapped in a 'calm before the storm' dynamic, hovering just above its 50-day average while technically below its 200-day mean, yet the options chain screams impending chaos. While the recent price action shows a recovery from the 14.21 low, the sheer density of speculative buying at the 20-30 strike range for October and November expirations signals that traders are pricing in a catastrophic breakdown of the current peace or a geopolitical escalation that will shatter the 16-17 range. The market is complacent on the surface, but the derivatives data reveals a collective bet on a rapid reversion to 30+ volatility. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.141837 |
| MSTL | 0.143724 |
| AutoTheta | 0.151630 |
| AutoETS | 0.161608 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 1.77 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.058 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.22 |
As of Oct. 3, 2026, 1:08 a.m. CDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a sustained volatility spike, evidenced by massive out-of-the-money call volume and open interest at strikes 20, 30, and 35 across multiple expirations (Oct 21, Nov 18, Dec 16). This 'call wall' suggests a bet on a sharp market decline. Conversely, put buyers have constructed a dense defensive floor between 15.5 and 18.0, indicating a fear of a crash that would breach current levels but likely not a total collapse. The extreme IV skew on deep OTM calls versus near-ATM puts confirms a asymmetric fear of a sudden, violent downside move rather than a slow grind.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -28.855032 |
| All Time High | 89.53 |
| All Time Low | 8.56 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 0 |
| Average Volume | 0 |
| Average Volume10Days | 0 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 0 |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | LOW |
| Day High | 15.34 |
| Day Low | 14.77 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | CXI |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/Chicago |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | CDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 15.5118 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.67179966 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.043308944 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -28.855032 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 35.3 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -20.46 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5796034 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.38 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.46 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.10911809 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.38 - 35.3 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 631,267,200,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe Indices |
| Fullday Change | -0.5699997 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -3.698895 |
| Fullday Price | 14.84 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -18,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Long Name | CBOE Volatility Index |
| Market | cboe_market |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_INDEXVIX |
| Open | 15.34 |
| Previous Close | 15.41 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Type | INDEX |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.5699997 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -3.698895 |
| Regular Market Day High | 15.34 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 14.77 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 14.77 - 15.34 |
| Regular Market Open | 15.34 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 15.41 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.84 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,576,901 |
| Regular Market Volume | 0 |
| Short Name | CBOE Volatility Index |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ^VIX |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 0 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 18.06115 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.2211494 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.17834687 |
| Type Disp | Index |
| Volume | 0 |